TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1292
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0511
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.845168 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.862484 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.870613 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.813423 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.853658 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.861331 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0101 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.996934 | -3.21% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.982444 | -3.09% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.956094 | -3.16% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0617 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0467 | -3.69% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0871 | -4.37% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0146 | -4.04% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.992202 | -4.21% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.035 | -4.69% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0846 | -5.13% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0572 | -5.15% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1027 | -5.67% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1229 | -6.60% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.805492 | -4.22% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2954 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.814368 | -4.51% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.833936 | -5.03% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.944939 | -5.95% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0508 | -7.69% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.996787 | -8.17% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.851023 | -5.67% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3416 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.777204 | -5.13% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0739 | ✗ | 1.00 |