TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0653
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0099
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.869738 | -0.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.885929 | -0.60% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0130 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.894548 | -0.59% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.834055 | -0.43% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0755 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.875573 | -0.49% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0428 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.882681 | -0.48% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0367 | -0.63% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0235 | -0.63% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0076 | -0.61% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.981305 | -0.60% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0785 | -0.76% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0650 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1262 | -0.93% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0487 | -0.81% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0273 | -0.82% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0756 | -0.95% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1306 | -1.10% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1022 | -1.11% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1538 | -1.29% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1831 | -1.58% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.834373 | -0.78% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.845548 | -0.85% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.869329 | -1.00% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.990557 | -1.41% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1142 | -2.12% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0603 | -2.32% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.889372 | -1.42% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.808558 | -1.30% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 1.00 |