PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s1

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

59.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0907

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0136

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.589405	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.587827	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.609169	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.622161	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.620786	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.605112	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.638772	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.584458	-1.28%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0074	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.577313	-1.24%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0121	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.613198	-1.63%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0114	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.606379	-1.67%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0441	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.659061	-2.75%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0314	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.659902	-2.88%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0606	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.643656	-2.64%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0220	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.626404	-2.29%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0592	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.64252	-2.41%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0833	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.642353	-2.34%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0144	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.719472	-2.91%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1283	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.787701	-3.21%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1338	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.698047	-2.81%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0172	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.726053	-2.80%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0834	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.683347	-2.66%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0469	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.696459	-2.86%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0546	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.661535	-2.73%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0160	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.65076	-2.97%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1178	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.637647	-2.81%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2315	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.604656	-2.10%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1701	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.642027	-2.95%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1489	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.604994	-2.23%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1458	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.569968	-1.71%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2346	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.570586	-1.35%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1928	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.56686	-1.22%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1915	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.506652	-1.15%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2368	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.530214	-1.53%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1321	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.529873	-1.60%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2010	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.505113	-1.98%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1523	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.505138	-1.99%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0876	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.480029	-1.46%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1339	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.491147	-1.13%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1151	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.470013	-0.97%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0651	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.475832	-1.01%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1041	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.482881	-1.46%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0915	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.482109	-2.07%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0675	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.473322	-1.03%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.0958	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.438511	+0.09%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1176	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.450019	+0.34%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1026	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.427734	+1.12%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1211	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.421217	+1.40%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1448	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.418374	+1.62%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1696	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.416835	+1.99%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1890	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.412871	+1.67%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1435	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.420953	+1.70%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0362	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.420867	+2.02%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0619	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.424762	+1.85%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0141	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.432336	+1.71%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0455	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.426611	+1.55%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0419	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.42149	+1.32%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0344	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.412288	+0.95%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0088	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.422458	+0.57%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0162	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.448551	+0.23%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0823	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406728	+0.01%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0252	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391786	-0.21%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0783	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419065	-0.37%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0036	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.392691	-1.18%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0487	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.390582	-1.79%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0295	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.379864	-2.07%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0880	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.362253	-1.70%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1925	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361298	-1.70%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0996	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370157	-1.63%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0379	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364313	-1.32%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1192	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.373008	-1.33%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0517	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.373969	-1.30%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0521	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.385901	-1.47%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0024	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.394795	-1.49%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0706	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.402266	-1.62%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0840	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.387181	-1.44%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0224	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.387544	-1.44%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0443	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.388659	-1.59%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0253	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.388065	-1.61%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0195	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.394558	-1.70%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0054	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.406353	-2.04%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0157	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.428762	-2.60%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0528	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.432114	-2.90%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1028	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.423951	-2.67%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0825	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.437678	-3.01%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1013	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.421514	-2.93%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0678	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.414071	-2.96%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0313	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.389818	-2.17%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0625	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.371453	-1.76%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1741	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.378638	-1.88%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1653	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.378352	-1.84%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1440	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.373389	-1.75%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1903	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.359477	-1.28%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1956	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.338251	-0.89%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2408	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.322662	-0.52%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2148	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347454	-0.70%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0826	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363462	-0.84%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0614	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.389784	-1.27%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0118	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389194	-1.12%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0282	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.38338	-1.00%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0564	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380424	-0.96%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1141	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.3875	-0.83%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1903	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.410678	-1.21%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1635	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412036	-1.21%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1206	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.409112	-1.23%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0348	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.3892	-0.97%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0095	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396257	-0.81%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0306	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.410253	-1.02%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0706	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.401451	-1.02%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0217	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.387759	-0.83%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0691	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.415319	-1.14%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0021	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.419764	-1.09%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0185	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.413026	-0.80%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0546	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414567	-0.34%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0434	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.41802	+0.12%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0215	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.451733	-0.67%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1132	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.457575	-0.51%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1632	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.458788	-0.23%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0928	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.4304	+0.61%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0173	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.438071	+0.80%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0533	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.460064	+0.25%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0999	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499233	-0.56%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1815	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.535058	-1.20%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1684	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.544156	-1.24%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1739	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.550692	-1.40%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1869	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.557202	-1.23%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2697	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.591555	-1.90%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3113	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.545694	-1.12%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1704	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.550413	-1.32%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0896	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.574858	-1.69%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0584	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.572628	-1.69%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0374	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.582516	-1.75%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0420	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.602884	-2.26%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0663	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.549078	-0.82%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0942	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.579711	-1.14%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0569	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.576522	-0.96%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0430	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.593313	-1.56%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0214	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.620939	-2.38%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0691	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.629256	-2.30%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0693	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.631367	-2.39%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0302	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.604432	-1.46%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0863	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.602238	-1.21%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0104	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.59778	-1.28%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0121	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.618757	-2.05%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0369	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.613353	-1.95%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1415	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.607992	-1.64%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1936	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.601015	-1.32%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.1984	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.616951	-1.51%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0902	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.627958	-1.73%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1191	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.600328	-1.38%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1374	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.608136	-1.50%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.608368	-1.45%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0730	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.641127	-1.73%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.628588	-1.58%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.648047	-1.84%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.62103	-1.67%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0702	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.567758	-1.24%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0820	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.624616	-1.59%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.707029	-2.10%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.745079	-2.35%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1140	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.698488	-1.87%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.726922	-1.81%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.690202	-1.74%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0656	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.75168	-1.98%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2208	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.785066	-1.92%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1523	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.883105	-3.04%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1411	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.939054	-6.39%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1755	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.82403	-4.88%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1322	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.624467	-1.22%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1568	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.