PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s1

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

57.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1984

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0362

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.567013	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.569117	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.58814	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.600028	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.59995	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.583924	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.613345	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.563394	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.55596	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.591696	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.583108	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.627181	-7.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.627864	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.614997	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.602364	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.618682	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.61944	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.692601	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.759965	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.672157	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.704166	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.666477	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.680982	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.647724	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.638584	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.624799	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.593246	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.628156	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.592738	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.561337	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.56278	-2.70%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0752	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.561665	-2.12%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0783	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.497694	-2.90%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2071	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.518535	-3.70%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1973	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.517596	-3.88%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1926	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.490207	-4.87%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1941	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.491683	-4.60%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2510	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.471922	-3.13%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.1936	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.487076	-1.95%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1656	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.467124	-1.58%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2577	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.476224	-0.93%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2365	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.486785	-0.67%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3006	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485253	-1.43%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3076	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.47674	-0.32%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3066	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.437968	-0.03%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3675	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.445638	-0.64%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3735	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.418615	-1.04%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4280	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.412129	-0.79%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5591	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.408648	-0.74%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6590	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408775	+0.02%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5478	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.403651	-0.60%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5904	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.41121	-0.65%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5092	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.414197	+0.40%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5328	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.42121	+1.00%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4573	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.432503	+1.75%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4210	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.433788	+3.26%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3916	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.437739	+5.23%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3297	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.429158	+5.08%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4150	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.440544	+4.88%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3187	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.46766	+4.50%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1984	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.419487	+3.14%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2986	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.40081	+2.09%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3342	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.427961	+1.75%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1739	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.389509	-1.99%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3137	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.380386	-4.35%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3298	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.362978	-6.42%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3397	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.345792	-6.16%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3837	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.34416	-6.36%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3312	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.354556	-5.78%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3148	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.350676	-5.02%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2803	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.359887	-4.80%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2732	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.360315	-4.90%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2866	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.371683	-5.10%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2521	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.381573	-4.79%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1879	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.388046	-5.10%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0838	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.372542	-5.17%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1445	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.373658	-4.97%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0939	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.373861	-5.34%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0657	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.374566	-5.03%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0454	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.381795	-4.88%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0108	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.392412	-5.40%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0163	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.413171	-6.14%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0484	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.415037	-6.73%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0562	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.410116	-5.85%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0307	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.424116	-6.01%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0359	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.409572	-5.68%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0027	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.401012	-6.02%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0185	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.377239	-5.32%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0581	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.361665	-4.35%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1221	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.369532	-4.24%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1589	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.371637	-3.58%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0600	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.367018	-3.43%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0389	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.35191	-3.36%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1451	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.330511	-3.16%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1649	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.315053	-2.87%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2230	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.338249	-3.33%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1370	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.353295	-3.62%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0431	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.375596	-4.86%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0179	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.37671	-4.29%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0016	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.37278	-3.74%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0032	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.370678	-3.49%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0255	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.377376	-3.42%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0009	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.400121	-3.75%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0206	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.402642	-3.47%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0052	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.400804	-3.23%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0174	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.383139	-2.51%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0199	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.392958	-1.64%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0076	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.40695	-1.82%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0326	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.397299	-2.05%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0091	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.380945	-2.57%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0510	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.404496	-3.71%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0239	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.410309	-3.32%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0672	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.405753	-2.55%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0886	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.410055	-1.43%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0525	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415113	-0.57%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0668	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.451353	-0.76%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0440	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456422	-0.76%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0737	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.453751	-1.33%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1355	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.421753	-1.41%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1161	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.426823	-1.79%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1068	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.44703	-2.59%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1506	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.483558	-3.68%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2394	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.516346	-4.65%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3460	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.526012	-4.53%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4279	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.533821	-4.42%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4968	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.544328	-3.51%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4401	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.575495	-4.56%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4494	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.530898	-3.81%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2958	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.535194	-4.04%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3058	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.559241	-4.36%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3666	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.55555	-4.63%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3687	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.566042	-4.53%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3692	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.583049	-5.47%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3385	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.533424	-3.64%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2461	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.559166	-4.64%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3070	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.555624	-4.55%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3501	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.56972	-5.47%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3531	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.592868	-6.80%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3579	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.598981	-7.00%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3985	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.597989	-7.55%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4318	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.57264	-6.64%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3053	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.570746	-6.37%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2868	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.568566	-6.10%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2713	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.589276	-6.72%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2591	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.585633	-6.38%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1784	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.584728	-5.40%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.1074	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.580665	-4.66%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0906	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.595034	-5.01%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1194	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.602834	-5.66%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1290	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.576783	-5.24%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.584928	-5.26%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.586539	-4.98%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.618397	-5.21%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.60605	-5.11%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0813	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.624395	-5.42%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0770	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.597268	-5.44%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1423	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.547149	-4.83%	0.603	+4.89%	0.2968	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.603415	-4.93%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.684412	-5.23%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.723088	-5.23%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0481	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.679341	-4.56%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.708151	-4.34%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0522	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.66953	-4.68%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1394	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.729362	-4.89%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.766925	-4.18%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0168	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.861799	-5.38%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.1053	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.892098	-11.07%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1461	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.781397	-9.80%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.595103	-5.87%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3528	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.