PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s1

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

48.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1666

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0240

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097445	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097098	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094135	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085366	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088211	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091293	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.094971	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097464	-1.45%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0356	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.101567	-1.59%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0085	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.105231	-1.74%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0934	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.106941	-1.86%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2121	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.110462	-2.12%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2208	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.110566	-1.99%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1857	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.110698	-2.02%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1440	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110375	-1.84%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1076	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.110834	-1.79%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0799	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.112209	-1.82%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0593	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.113232	-1.79%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0566	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.113281	-1.70%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0164	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.114156	-1.94%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0200	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114094	-1.90%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0187	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.115343	-2.00%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0397	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.114178	-2.10%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0128	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.113593	-2.14%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0138	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.112947	-2.11%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0290	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.119569	-2.26%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0295	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.119891	-2.28%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0283	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.118153	-2.24%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0143	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.116351	-2.13%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0131	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.111657	-1.94%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0406	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.118486	-1.93%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0316	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.115975	-1.81%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0175	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.113096	-2.07%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.0955	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.114455	-2.07%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0861	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112071	-1.89%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0920	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.107112	-1.64%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1588	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.107641	-1.52%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1131	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.105964	-1.37%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1991	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.11129	-1.77%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1167	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.10891	-1.53%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0883	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.115401	-1.68%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0405	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.112764	-1.52%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0390	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.108319	-1.22%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0040	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.116438	-1.22%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0804	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.124253	-1.15%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1636	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.131641	-0.69%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1559	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.127183	-0.35%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1596	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125916	-0.17%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0851	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.123777	-0.11%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0907	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.130397	+1.00%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1993	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.136792	+0.18%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1455	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.150202	+0.97%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1747	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.161296	+1.69%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1939	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.176928	+1.72%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3176	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.18626	+2.15%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3848	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.191667	+2.40%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4305	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.207823	+2.50%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4723	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20943	+2.67%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4344	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.217633	+2.58%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3854	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.224775	+2.22%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3503	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.235269	+1.76%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.3023	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.231798	+1.05%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2360	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.254222	+0.76%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3081	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.248888	-3.08%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1757	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.30554	-3.51%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4103	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.425691	-5.00%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8768	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.373428	-4.32%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7123	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.377811	-4.98%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.6935	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.337424	-4.84%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5768	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.334519	-4.63%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.4902	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.288416	-3.92%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2576	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.309568	-4.40%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0753	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.314114	-4.85%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3362	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.290951	-4.53%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2843	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.263354	-4.17%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4480	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.286721	-4.67%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2463	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.271288	-4.48%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2891	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.267245	-4.45%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1305	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.260256	-4.26%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2387	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.246289	-4.20%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.3015	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.246775	-4.51%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.2038	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.252514	-4.89%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0623	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.230633	-4.65%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2304	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.232889	-5.38%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1647	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.232617	-5.89%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1919	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.202246	-4.51%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2860	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.175724	-3.04%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3778	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.175013	-3.20%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3929	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.18441	-3.73%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3871	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.176347	-2.38%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3295	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.175589	-2.33%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3494	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.168549	-1.97%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3860	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.167182	-1.87%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2573	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.173018	-2.18%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0708	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.170091	-2.17%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0754	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.16869	-2.08%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1209	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.168785	-2.27%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0737	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.166679	-2.02%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0736	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.165873	-1.77%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0193	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.166377	-1.81%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0097	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.171545	-2.02%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0129	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.162311	-1.79%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0352	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.167395	-2.11%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0183	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165948	-1.93%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0309	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.17028	-2.14%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0008	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.166223	-2.00%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0113	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.168738	-2.01%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0136	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.183996	-2.97%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0600	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184127	-3.09%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.0972	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168556	-2.28%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0135	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178426	-3.09%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0571	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.173808	-3.00%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0110	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163794	-2.48%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0222	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.162098	-2.31%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0429	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15607	-1.89%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1581	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.15962	-2.22%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1462	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.151421	-1.79%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1090	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.148438	-1.59%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2030	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.14228	-1.27%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2211	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142568	-1.12%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1571	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.137278	-1.03%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1977	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139938	-1.34%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1460	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.136684	-1.42%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1947	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.140514	-1.41%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1106	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.142697	-1.45%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0752	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142791	-1.15%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0253	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149463	-1.12%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0204	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155315	-1.35%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0978	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.162259	-1.52%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1226	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.180075	-2.24%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2533	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.185332	-2.53%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2536	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.190129	-2.96%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2716	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.186596	-2.64%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2558	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.191768	-3.54%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2352	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.172829	-1.68%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0992	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.17654	-1.91%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0767	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.183294	-2.95%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0004	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.174119	-2.18%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0845	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.171261	-1.25%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1308	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.172863	-1.18%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1006	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.183365	-2.62%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0806	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.199375	-3.85%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1282	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.188339	-3.31%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0430	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.190643	-3.65%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0118	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.195024	-4.08%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1016	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.194495	-4.17%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1278	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.176101	-3.09%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0243	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.173126	-3.02%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0707	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.152449	-0.92%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3063	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.158249	-1.25%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.2011	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.169765	-1.69%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1427	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.176409	-1.79%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1362	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.187836	-1.99%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0730	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.185716	-1.64%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0253	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.193491	-1.98%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0916	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.196653	-1.93%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2540	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.197476	-1.56%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2114	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.204064	-1.35%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1661	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.197727	-0.95%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0971	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.202005	-0.79%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0567	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.217426	-1.17%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1544	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.24652	-1.86%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2458	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.249862	-2.06%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2318	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.249928	-1.97%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2449	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.26698	-2.57%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2934	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.264735	-2.44%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3207	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.279032	-3.74%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3334	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.273499	-3.64%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2258	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.265344	-3.29%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0472	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.25984	-2.85%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0335	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.27283	-3.81%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0706	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.256503	-3.39%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0798	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.244432	-3.14%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1333	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.253787	-3.38%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1491	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.244998	-3.09%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1634	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.270242	-3.69%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0385	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.299646	-4.48%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0815	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.328622	-7.33%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1156	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.301377	-7.30%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1117	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.214908	-2.63%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1607	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.202838	-2.42%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2582	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.200638	-2.35%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2310	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.197776	-2.08%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3754	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.22644	-3.06%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3578	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.218658	-3.27%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4840	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.212979	-3.30%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.4034	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.184986	-2.66%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1130	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.175762	-2.38%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1428	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.233329	-6.04%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.261334	-12.08%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.2983	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.176135	-2.57%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2382	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.17467	-2.64%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2290	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.171321	-2.50%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2323	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.177689	-4.05%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.167269	-2.98%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.157411	-2.69%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.4012	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.163471	-3.15%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5521	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.168471	-3.58%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.165661	-3.42%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.164654	-3.80%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.182579	-5.34%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.158503	-4.15%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.13944	-3.33%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0621	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.