PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s1

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

64.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3668

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0761

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.093681	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.094617	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.09123	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.082211	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.084436	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.087225	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.090861	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.093511	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.096909	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.100495	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.101639	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.104647	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.105155	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.104877	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.10492	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.105407	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.106527	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.107863	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.108238	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.108615	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.108839	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.109911	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.108561	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.108045	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.107748	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.114599	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.115121	-6.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.113627	-5.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.112185	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.107809	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.114814	-4.97%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1495	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.112691	-4.59%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1375	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.108676	-5.90%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1153	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.110214	-5.70%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2396	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.107075	-6.26%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1746	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.101056	-7.20%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0530	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.101781	-6.88%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0169	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.100042	-6.88%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0314	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.105317	-7.04%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0035	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.10324	-6.66%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0790	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.109713	-6.53%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0245	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.107546	-6.07%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0934	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.103663	-5.47%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1294	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.112083	-4.91%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0408	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.119519	-4.91%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0412	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.126539	-4.53%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0886	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.120753	-5.39%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0273	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.119933	-4.91%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0068	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.117555	-5.13%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0135	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.122517	-5.11%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0329	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.128947	-5.57%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0796	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.139906	-5.95%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1492	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.148377	-6.46%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2190	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.162425	-6.61%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3162	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.170446	-6.52%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3740	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.175877	-6.04%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3429	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.194037	-4.30%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4432	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.197057	-3.39%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4700	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.208201	-1.87%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5360	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.219577	-0.14%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6356	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.230878	-0.14%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6206	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.230525	+0.49%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6376	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.256932	+1.83%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7884	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.243483	-5.19%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.7009	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.296862	-6.26%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9624	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.408253	-8.89%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4757	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.359175	-7.97%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3394	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.362188	-8.91%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3910	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.323561	-8.75%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2541	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.316964	-9.63%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2422	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.272836	-9.11%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0419	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.292806	-9.58%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1561	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.295911	-10.36%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1909	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.273541	-10.24%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0587	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.247589	-9.90%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.8954	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.268718	-10.66%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9332	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.25493	-10.24%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9215	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.251007	-10.26%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9219	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.246717	-9.25%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9163	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.23514	-8.54%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8488	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.236185	-8.61%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7517	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.241214	-9.15%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6935	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.220462	-8.85%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5636	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.222848	-9.46%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4692	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.2216	-10.35%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.3989	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.193288	-8.74%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2072	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.169612	-6.42%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0133	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.169689	-6.14%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0008	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.177633	-7.27%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0321	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.167284	-7.40%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1581	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.165877	-7.73%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.2187	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.158792	-7.65%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2641	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.158021	-7.25%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3635	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.163185	-7.74%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3979	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.160436	-7.73%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6430	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.159684	-7.31%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0318	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.159345	-7.73%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8994	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.15847	-6.85%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9313	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.158884	-5.91%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.8127	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.159073	-6.12%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.8090	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.163933	-6.37%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6235	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.154226	-6.69%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7285	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.159032	-7.00%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7327	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.158702	-6.21%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6512	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.162728	-6.48%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.5186	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.159085	-6.21%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6241	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.162008	-5.92%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5423	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.175308	-7.55%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4613	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.175254	-7.76%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4353	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.161784	-6.21%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4606	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.170417	-7.44%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4142	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.164986	-7.93%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4684	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.156224	-6.99%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4275	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.155212	-6.46%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4392	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.149733	-5.87%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4544	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.153274	-6.11%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2961	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.145296	-5.76%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1984	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.143122	-5.11%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2190	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.13705	-4.90%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3150	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.137384	-4.71%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2565	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.132009	-4.82%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2848	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.134464	-5.20%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2360	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.130574	-5.82%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2569	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.134421	-5.68%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2598	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.137405	-5.10%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2310	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.138274	-4.27%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2145	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.144756	-4.23%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1675	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.150501	-4.41%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1249	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.156243	-5.17%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0850	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.171647	-6.82%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0075	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.176598	-7.13%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0060	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.180442	-7.91%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0789	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.177522	-7.38%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0383	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.180435	-9.24%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0651	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.162597	-7.51%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0624	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.166445	-7.52%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0160	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.171636	-9.12%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0045	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.164674	-7.49%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1411	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.162693	-6.19%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1518	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.165518	-5.37%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0386	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.175146	-6.98%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0494	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.18878	-8.96%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0535	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.179878	-7.66%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0660	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.181927	-8.05%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0955	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.18712	-7.96%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1780	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.186474	-8.12%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1469	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.1696	-6.67%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1154	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.165965	-7.03%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1147	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.143463	-6.76%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0027	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.147646	-7.87%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0361	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.158103	-8.44%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1618	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.163956	-8.73%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1708	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.17446	-8.97%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2506	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.172332	-8.73%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2123	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179056	-9.29%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2516	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.181772	-9.35%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2714	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.183044	-8.75%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2328	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.190112	-8.10%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2266	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.184222	-7.72%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1450	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.189108	-7.12%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0620	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.203545	-7.48%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1209	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.231226	-7.95%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2871	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.23354	-8.46%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3110	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.23474	-7.93%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2914	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.250849	-8.46%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5369	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.250039	-7.85%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5123	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.259907	-10.33%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4593	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.255423	-10.01%	0.178	-37.29%	0.4962	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.249597	-9.03%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5202	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.246834	-7.71%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5081	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.257571	-9.19%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4443	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.240175	-9.54%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2777	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.229621	-9.01%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2691	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.239002	-9.01%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2530	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.232144	-8.18%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1730	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.256111	-8.73%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2493	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.285915	-8.85%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4675	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.309858	-12.63%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5717	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.281721	-13.34%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6240	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.204231	-7.47%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2404	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.193846	-6.74%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1155	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.192628	-6.25%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0698	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.191432	-5.22%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.218295	-6.54%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.20996	-7.12%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.20516	-6.85%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.179496	-5.55%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0721	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.172652	-4.11%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1650	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.225349	-9.25%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1252	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.236659	-20.38%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.1888	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.167463	-7.37%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2180	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.165992	-7.48%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3254	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.16297	-7.26%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3852	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.165313	-10.73%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.3044	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.157056	-8.91%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4449	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.148186	-8.39%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4862	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.153708	-8.93%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5180	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.15818	-9.47%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4641	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.156273	-8.89%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4562	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.154801	-9.55%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3790	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.169435	-12.15%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3561	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.147774	-10.63%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.4147	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.129983	-9.89%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.5037	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.