NIULAI

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

68.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1786

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0377

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.06129	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061278	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057545	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058428	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.05929	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.06424	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066322	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068439	-1.71%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1110	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072552	-2.78%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1462	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070806	-1.74%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2021	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.07666	-3.29%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2376	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.077507	-3.21%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2389	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073087	-1.49%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0991	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072606	-0.68%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0821	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071431	-0.35%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0044	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07737	-2.16%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0032	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075731	-1.39%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0155	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080488	-2.26%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0288	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.078806	-1.63%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0451	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085429	-2.42%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1100	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.09635	-2.94%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2279	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.101348	-3.32%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3418	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.101659	-3.30%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2807	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.111607	-3.66%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4090	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.100738	-3.16%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2345	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.102417	-3.23%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2509	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.100959	-3.21%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1492	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097571	-3.05%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0097	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.103871	-3.30%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0224	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.108552	-3.36%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0075	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104261	-3.26%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1542	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097531	-3.52%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0060	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.103875	-3.74%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0365	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114501	-4.28%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1492	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.101847	-4.16%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1120	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.096374	-4.15%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.113552	-5.14%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1423	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.115776	-5.30%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1739	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.110836	-5.34%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1473	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.125739	-6.81%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2030	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.11752	-6.56%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.113324	-6.64%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.075848	-3.48%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3096	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097	-5.02%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2476	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078666	-3.66%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4525	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.087117	-4.29%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3407	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.112869	-6.38%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2112	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.080657	-4.12%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4757	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.091447	-5.05%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3431	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.074447	-4.33%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.079217	-4.97%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2405	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.096037	-6.64%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1690	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.093847	-7.52%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.053635	-2.38%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7897	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.054692	-2.44%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.4072	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.