NIULAI

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0085

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062236	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.06221	-0.46%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0098	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057853	-0.17%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0568	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058684	-0.14%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0094	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059409	-0.08%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0226	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064846	-0.26%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0846	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067153	-0.34%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0209	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069376	-0.37%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0395	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074173	-0.61%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0357	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.0718	-0.36%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0144	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078687	-0.74%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0552	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079506	-0.71%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0159	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073967	-0.30%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0731	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072999	-0.14%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0016	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071631	-0.07%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0480	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078725	-0.44%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0573	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076593	-0.27%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0352	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081939	-0.50%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0531	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079857	-0.32%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0033	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087069	-0.55%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0870	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098555	-0.72%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1132	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103976	-0.81%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0665	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.10428	-0.81%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0065	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114774	-0.92%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0906	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103212	-0.79%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1320	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.104987	-0.81%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0099	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103478	-0.79%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0173	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.099889	-0.75%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0480	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106536	-0.81%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0570	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111374	-0.85%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0083	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.106891	-0.82%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0557	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100249	-0.83%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0227	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.106946	-0.90%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0550	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118349	-1.06%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.0986	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105236	-0.97%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0705	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099609	-0.94%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0621	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118205	-1.26%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.120635	-1.32%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0260	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.11554	-1.32%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.132431	-1.85%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1171	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.123497	-1.80%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119152	-1.84%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0453	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.077969	-0.78%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4652	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.100832	-1.27%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2472	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080959	-0.85%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2404	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090078	-1.03%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118463	-1.74%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2699	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083286	-0.99%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3679	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.09504	-1.32%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.076999	-1.05%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1739	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082271	-1.31%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100789	-2.02%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1749	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.099056	-2.39%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054586	-0.64%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6274	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055676	-0.69%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0184	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.