MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s1

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

119

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3074

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0695

actual -0.1788

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000315206	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000324719	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000301291	-15.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000356104	-14.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000350778	-19.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.00034076	-25.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000288268	-36.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000249093	-45.10%	0.0003449	-23.98%	0.3117	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000305603	-45.41%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000356874	-46.46%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000337313	-52.02%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.2349	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000314511	+1.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.00032001	+0.95%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000323309	+1.29%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000394387	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000399429	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.00039537	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000444036	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000484682	-1.73%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1921	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000478723	-1.54%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3149	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000463822	-1.29%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2583	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000459478	-1.34%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1686	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000489438	-2.37%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1813	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.00052277	-3.60%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1576	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000500377	-3.90%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0091	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000525059	-3.46%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0025	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.00053012	-3.81%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0477	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000492083	-3.36%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0521	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000482842	-3.47%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0031	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000483208	-3.24%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0285	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000527303	-4.13%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0485	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000521603	-3.76%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0029	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000487198	-2.33%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0188	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000497245	-2.50%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0062	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000492411	-1.81%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0650	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000508773	-2.46%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0025	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000522929	-2.77%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0484	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000486478	-0.80%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0299	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000507491	-1.30%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0272	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000526746	-1.34%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0481	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000491327	+1.14%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1371	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000563113	-1.21%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1744	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000576704	-2.29%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0399	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000604207	-2.53%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0241	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000613486	-2.70%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0759	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000606021	-2.43%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0634	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000648895	-2.41%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0462	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000617629	-1.70%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0085	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000781547	-5.59%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.1016	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000662596	-2.56%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1215	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.00069201	-2.53%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.1907	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000586828	-0.72%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1008	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000640035	-1.23%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2424	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000587289	-0.56%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1724	✗	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000678469	-1.64%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.1139	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000736119	-2.58%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1866	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.00076767	-2.83%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2608	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000779206	-2.72%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3411	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000796029	-2.92%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.2054	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000674493	-0.81%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.4139	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.00064434	+0.10%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1613	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000689768	-0.03%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1485	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000738508	-0.20%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0179	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000711049	+0.15%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1398	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.00081072	+0.09%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0341	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000889106	-0.10%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1397	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001078	-1.07%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4195	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001374	-2.55%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7523	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001336	-2.52%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.5998	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001497	-3.40%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.6916	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001513	-3.62%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.7978	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001424	-3.16%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.5995	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001538	-3.85%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5495	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001392	-3.36%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.2891	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001301	-2.94%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1561	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.00168	-4.54%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0630	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001359	-3.59%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1727	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001645	-4.35%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0917	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001945	-5.14%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.0884	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002255	-6.02%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.0832	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002334	-6.64%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.2550	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002136	-8.74%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.3538	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002459	-9.59%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.3158	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.002769	-10.69%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.5207	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003777	-8.10%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.6660	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004186	-8.81%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.6430	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004543	-9.51%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.6618	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006005	-6.02%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.8787	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006108	-7.87%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8146	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.003392	-30.49%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.2185	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.003285	-35.84%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.0954	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.00602	-17.54%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.3888	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.008467	-10.40%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6304	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.009892	-9.33%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.7913	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012792	-6.77%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7828	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.008587	-17.19%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.5048	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.011915	-9.46%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1152	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015548	-7.34%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3075	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.014766	-7.77%	0.0073	-54.40%	0.9894	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018276	-8.21%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9307	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.019003	-7.97%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.7858	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.016548	-7.86%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3681	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.021055	-7.73%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.6954	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.023998	-9.23%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3591	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.020815	-9.03%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.0946	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018396	-9.11%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0243	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.018488	-11.37%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1822	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.014926	-9.54%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4578	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012154	-5.42%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3724	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012042	-5.99%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5396	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012343	-7.12%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4962	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010648	-4.93%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6262	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.013626	-12.26%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3638	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011363	-7.01%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5662	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007813	-1.10%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7347	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.00881	-2.76%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4287	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009651	-3.20%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3378	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009639	-3.61%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3441	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008281	-1.42%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3181	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007508	-0.16%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7486	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006805	-0.22%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6228	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007624	-0.47%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0532	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.0109	-2.51%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1768	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013363	-2.60%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2192	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015339	-4.67%	0.01	-37.85%	0.3149	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012086	-2.37%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2700	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010487	-2.36%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2906	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009617	-2.17%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3069	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010718	-2.47%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3090	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011576	-2.56%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009224	-1.77%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.3035	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009205	-1.66%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4722	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011296	-2.03%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0598	✗	1.00