MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s1

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1028

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0146

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000339344	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000355759	-2.05%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000346213	-3.14%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000405484	-3.02%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1240	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000418076	-4.08%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000433038	-5.51%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000416105	-8.12%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.1042	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000406552	-10.39%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.1011	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000501208	-10.47%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000595061	-10.72%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.0775	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000617031	-12.23%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310774	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317507	+0.16%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0548	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319985	+0.25%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0300	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000396695	-0.25%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0823	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401367	-0.26%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0001	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397263	-0.29%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0047	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000446921	-0.24%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1331	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491094	-0.43%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0182	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484364	-0.38%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0548	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468385	-0.32%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0330	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464125	-0.34%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0189	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000498298	-0.60%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0181	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000537019	-0.97%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0106	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000514786	-1.14%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0444	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.00053944	-0.82%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0221	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000545988	-0.93%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0013	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000505083	-0.81%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0505	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000495798	-0.88%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0320	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.00049551	-0.78%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0148	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000544604	-0.98%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0835	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000537498	-0.83%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0924	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000496688	-0.42%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0270	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507583	-0.47%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0197	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.00049996	-0.31%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0210	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000519299	-0.44%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0173	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000534952	-0.53%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0362	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000490306	-0.02%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0056	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000513632	-0.11%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0311	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000533302	-0.11%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0586	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487298	+0.31%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0490	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000569565	-0.08%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0897	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000588563	-0.28%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1516	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000617783	-0.34%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0276	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000628068	-0.39%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0906	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000619019	-0.33%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0399	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000662733	-0.33%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1750	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000627246	-0.17%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0246	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000818031	-1.18%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0225	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000677757	-0.33%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0438	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000707643	-0.33%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0965	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000591287	+0.03%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1940	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.00064764	-0.06%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1087	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000590962	+0.06%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2570	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000688858	-0.14%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0510	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.00075309	-0.33%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0793	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000786907	-0.39%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0298	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000798006	-0.37%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0246	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000816566	-0.42%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0561	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000680065	+0.01%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1296	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000644806	+0.17%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0184	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000691036	+0.15%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0650	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000740919	+0.12%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0597	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000711341	+0.19%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0899	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000811449	+0.18%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1365	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000891317	+0.15%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1260	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.00109	-0.02%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1607	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001406	-0.32%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3289	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001366	-0.30%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0926	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001542	-0.49%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1540	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001562	-0.53%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0074	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001464	-0.44%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0724	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001591	-0.59%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0778	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001433	-0.49%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1130	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001334	-0.43%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1192	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001746	-0.77%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1365	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001402	-0.55%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0998	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001708	-0.70%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0938	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002032	-0.88%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1096	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002374	-1.08%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0747	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.00247	-1.21%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0594	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002302	-1.64%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0061	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.00267	-1.83%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1079	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003036	-2.07%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.0944	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004045	-1.57%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2030	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.00451	-1.75%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0894	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004923	-1.93%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.0969	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006303	-1.36%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2352	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006512	-1.78%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0545	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004555	-6.66%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2670	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004712	-7.98%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0091	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007018	-3.86%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2360	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009216	-2.47%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2411	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010666	-2.23%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2391	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.01348	-1.75%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1964	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.00999	-3.67%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2128	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012897	-2.00%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2789	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016462	-1.90%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2238	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015713	-1.86%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0674	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019462	-2.25%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1911	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020221	-2.08%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0842	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017636	-1.81%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2434	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022349	-2.06%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1580	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025692	-2.83%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0453	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022264	-2.69%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0527	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.01969	-2.72%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1460	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020106	-3.62%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0044	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016055	-2.69%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2252	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012683	-1.30%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1941	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012621	-1.47%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0110	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013047	-1.83%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0395	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011068	-1.18%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2111	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014974	-3.58%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2738	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011988	-1.90%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2488	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007893	-0.09%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4529	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.009007	-0.59%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009895	-0.75%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0958	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009919	-0.81%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008387	-0.16%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1793	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.00753	+0.13%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1316	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006831	+0.16%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007668	+0.11%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1213	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011121	-0.53%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3447	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013629	-0.66%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1400	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015884	-1.28%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1468	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012304	-0.61%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2526	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010682	-0.54%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009787	-0.44%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0932	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010928	-0.56%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1198	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011806	-0.62%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009366	-0.25%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1918	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009339	-0.23%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011478	-0.45%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1652	✓	1.00