KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

73.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4098

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0268

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027271	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027621	-9.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02655	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.026819	-9.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031677	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033092	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030502	-9.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028762	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026223	-9.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025025	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022975	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022959	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023127	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022763	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019137	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021108	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024992	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019533	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018679	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020636	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020345	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022711	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024727	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029891	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014997	+2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.015226	+1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013512	+0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013232	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013686	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01373	+1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013988	+1.81%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.7941	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013312	-1.47%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8126	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013695	-0.91%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7572	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013332	-1.32%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.7873	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013436	-3.30%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.8987	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013471	-3.44%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9309	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012446	-4.96%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9209	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012462	-4.25%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8994	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012716	-3.99%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7433	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013612	-2.70%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6458	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013647	-2.30%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5319	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013575	-2.29%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5359	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013824	-1.03%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5496	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014068	-0.78%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5306	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.0149	-0.17%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2824	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015854	+0.74%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3037	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015803	+0.69%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4654	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016552	+1.12%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1412	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01715	+2.13%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0881	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017493	+0.54%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1379	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.018016	+1.27%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0803	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018579	+2.40%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2031	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.018131	+2.23%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3066	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.018034	+2.72%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5356	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018522	+3.41%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3284	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018671	+4.95%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2831	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.018071	+4.74%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3724	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.019162	+5.38%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4637	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019808	+5.82%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4616	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.021277	+4.58%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5988	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018873	+3.70%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4808	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018252	+3.99%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3517	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017586	+1.71%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.4064	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016963	+0.65%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4656	✗	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015907	-0.31%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.4078	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017535	-0.71%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4951	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.01759	-1.01%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5977	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017735	-0.95%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6676	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017691	-0.92%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.6192	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017385	-0.57%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5585	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017143	-0.68%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.5146	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018314	-0.63%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5645	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017945	-0.45%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5766	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017235	-0.03%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.5193	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.017009	+0.05%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4667	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017828	+0.10%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4903	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018238	-0.01%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.5225	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018507	-0.10%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4795	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018324	-0.33%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.5278	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017175	-0.55%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3467	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015855	-0.97%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2442	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014667	-1.00%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1861	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015125	-0.52%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.2175	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.017063	+0.37%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.3021	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015266	-0.74%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1733	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014135	-1.22%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1536	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013284	-1.75%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0966	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.01724	-0.34%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.2253	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012632	-3.20%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1218	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013721	-2.79%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1369	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013124	-3.61%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0951	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012496	-4.32%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0994	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012346	-5.03%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.2045	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014613	-3.35%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0486	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015602	-2.46%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0225	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015161	-2.87%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1603	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015811	-2.25%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1431	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018992	-0.14%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0399	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019415	-0.38%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0396	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020731	-0.86%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1309	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020063	-0.61%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1802	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020463	-1.39%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0992	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020204	-1.59%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1177	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020533	-1.99%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1933	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.01988	-1.80%	0.017	-16.03%	0.2006	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019637	-1.79%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1650	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020483	-2.58%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1399	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021288	-3.63%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1541	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020604	-3.54%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1256	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019508	-3.78%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1312	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020418	-3.87%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2676	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.02192	-4.13%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4256	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02235	-2.45%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4627	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023369	-1.93%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4932	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025763	-3.67%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6178	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025374	-2.95%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6910	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024472	-3.18%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6951	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025676	-3.04%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5378	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024553	-2.88%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7534	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02317	-4.02%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5813	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024052	-5.94%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6351	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027657	-6.80%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8057	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.02862	-5.61%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8748	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028325	-6.64%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6541	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025713	-6.33%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5051	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024831	-5.62%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5110	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026737	-6.38%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4892	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027502	-6.36%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3237	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027784	-6.20%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3167	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029136	-5.22%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3142	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030716	-4.03%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3632	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.02989	-3.61%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3700	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029289	-3.43%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3605	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030417	-1.96%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4445	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030949	-1.69%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4643	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031917	-1.49%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4450	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034214	-1.29%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4875	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037401	-1.19%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6397	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027659	-1.18%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3418	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033365	-2.35%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4868	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036931	-1.83%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5292	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.035432	-3.69%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3572	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.038815	-7.16%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3538	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045595	-8.81%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4200	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.05657	-16.23%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5452	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035252	-7.84%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03387	-7.89%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0885	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036015	-8.08%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040671	-8.32%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2365	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.046852	-8.96%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4267	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049773	-9.02%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4600	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.048667	-8.83%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3135	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.05115	-8.66%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3464	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.048295	-9.82%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2763	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.04794	-10.74%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3583	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.055974	-9.86%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5554	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.054539	-10.83%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4697	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.06705	-9.65%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6602	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.068963	-9.85%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6809	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.087013	-7.48%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8555	✓	1.00