KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0683

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029741	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030174	-1.07%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0045	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029044	-1.10%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0491	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029264	-1.13%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0033	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034365	-1.53%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1487	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035527	-2.11%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0179	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033015	-2.09%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0940	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031371	-1.72%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0728	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028462	-1.43%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1144	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027036	-1.34%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0660	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024719	-1.27%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1052	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024582	-1.72%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0174	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024771	-1.70%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0092	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024442	-1.53%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0294	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020494	-1.03%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1960	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022366	-1.52%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0728	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026265	-2.14%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1449	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020123	-0.98%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2903	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019151	-0.80%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0542	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021646	-1.64%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1152	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021138	-1.62%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0414	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023618	-2.18%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.0987	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025877	-2.78%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0690	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.032008	-3.58%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1849	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014558	-0.85%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8321	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014915	-0.64%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0160	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013445	-0.27%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1077	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013197	-0.25%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0236	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013606	-0.25%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0281	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013521	-0.23%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0221	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013706	-0.25%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0083	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013461	-0.37%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0288	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01377	-0.37%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0183	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013452	-0.44%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0238	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013805	-0.64%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0720	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013852	-0.71%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013055	-0.31%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0596	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012978	-0.29%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0416	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.01321	-0.26%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0322	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013948	-0.30%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0460	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013932	-0.26%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0035	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013863	-0.22%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013944	-0.17%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0180	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014156	-0.16%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0115	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014901	-0.16%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0423	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015713	-0.16%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0376	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015673	-0.14%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016346	-0.14%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0422	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016772	-0.12%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0100	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.01737	-0.17%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0853	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017764	-0.15%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0195	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01812	-0.13%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017713	-0.12%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0121	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017539	-0.10%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0196	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017892	-0.11%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0249	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017773	-0.09%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0474	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017234	-0.11%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0117	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018152	-0.18%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0590	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018671	-0.25%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0187	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020275	-0.35%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1027	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018159	-0.23%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1015	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017513	-0.22%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0619	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017248	-0.25%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0915	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016811	-0.25%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0522	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015921	-0.22%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0564	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017609	-0.29%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1036	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017718	-0.29%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0455	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017854	-0.29%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0001	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017805	-0.28%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0044	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017442	-0.25%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0357	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017219	-0.24%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0150	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01838	-0.27%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0599	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017976	-0.27%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0345	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017192	-0.28%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0721	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016947	-0.31%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0187	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017753	-0.32%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0438	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018169	-0.39%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0365	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018445	-0.43%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0023	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018305	-0.44%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0039	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017203	-0.39%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0497	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015959	-0.32%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0799	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014769	-0.31%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0600	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015144	-0.40%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0202	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016895	-0.61%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0536	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015305	-0.49%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0834	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.01425	-0.42%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0750	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013488	-0.23%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0552	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017207	-0.54%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2025	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013053	+0.02%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2604	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014104	-0.08%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0821	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013618	+0.02%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0564	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013072	+0.09%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0631	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013013	+0.10%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0128	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015113	-0.05%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1812	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015976	-0.12%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0679	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015607	-0.02%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0273	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016171	-0.02%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0574	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018977	-0.23%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1629	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01944	-0.25%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0020	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020844	-0.32%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0604	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020138	-0.23%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0322	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020688	-0.30%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0143	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.02047	-0.29%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0144	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.02088	-0.33%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0077	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020193	-0.26%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0124	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.01996	-0.18%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0099	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.02096	-0.31%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0192	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021988	-0.46%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0275	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021294	-0.31%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0262	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020267	-0.04%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0404	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.02122	-0.09%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0597	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022811	-0.24%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0988	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022884	-0.11%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0425	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023792	-0.16%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0800	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026637	-0.40%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0646	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026071	-0.28%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0064	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025231	-0.17%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0485	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026412	-0.26%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0421	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025267	-0.05%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0387	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024167	+0.11%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0817	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025542	-0.11%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0093	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029477	-0.67%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1075	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030132	-0.62%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0343	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030131	-0.69%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0330	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027399	-0.18%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0831	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026321	+0.04%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0273	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028498	-0.22%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0417	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029286	-0.29%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0033	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029541	-0.27%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0101	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030652	-0.29%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0481	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031918	-0.27%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0701	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030984	-0.08%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0102	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030346	+0.05%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0222	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031075	+0.16%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0811	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031545	+0.21%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0101	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032466	+0.20%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0071	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034714	+0.15%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0624	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037898	+0.13%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1779	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028138	+0.53%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3026	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034294	+0.36%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1587	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.03774	+0.32%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0957	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036883	+0.25%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041734	-0.18%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049574	-0.85%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065585	-2.88%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2687	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038274	+0.06%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5623	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03681	+0.11%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039214	+0.09%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0535	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044367	+0.02%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1042	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051402	-0.12%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1287	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054629	-0.15%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053342	-0.07%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055983	-0.03%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053506	-0.09%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053644	-0.12%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062044	-0.08%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1534	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061096	-0.11%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0185	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074074	-0.18%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076321	-0.23%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093636	-0.44%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1900	✓	1.00