GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s1

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0851

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0185

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301812	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300834	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295457	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297756	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.294875	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.300667	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.295825	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31388	-1.56%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0214	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313157	-1.40%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0242	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.324106	-1.62%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0768	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330562	-1.59%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0894	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.339819	-1.79%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1256	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.336608	-1.81%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0965	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.316142	-1.61%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0509	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.319231	-1.47%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0012	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.323329	-1.32%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0184	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.324269	-1.27%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0164	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.316815	-0.92%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0592	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.321977	-1.04%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0726	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.323777	-0.97%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0577	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316117	-0.70%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0176	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.320431	-0.67%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0112	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318066	-0.43%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0290	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316034	-0.24%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0377	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.329007	-0.06%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0288	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342203	-0.16%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0506	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347716	-0.37%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0616	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352499	-0.63%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.1020	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.339446	-0.92%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0507	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.34876	-1.05%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0883	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.354799	-1.13%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1133	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.363317	-3.04%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1021	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.333183	-2.25%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0248	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.331663	-2.51%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0472	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.348544	-3.32%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0036	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.297445	-1.64%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1181	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.298389	-1.72%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1263	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294472	-1.45%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1617	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.290871	-1.55%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2339	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.292594	-1.50%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1364	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.29938	-1.57%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1103	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.282939	-1.45%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2431	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.284908	-1.26%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0698	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.300055	-1.28%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0251	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.28894	-1.12%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0378	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29335	-0.96%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0239	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.297193	-1.05%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0117	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.290167	-1.07%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0633	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.289875	-0.47%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0229	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.282835	-1.07%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0139	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.274554	-0.99%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0949	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.282235	-0.52%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0311	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.280151	-0.57%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0476	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284089	-0.14%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0508	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282422	-0.08%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0322	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.308638	+1.36%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0604	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.311242	+1.30%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0800	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.313669	+1.74%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1195	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.319304	+2.14%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1171	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.330317	+1.95%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1589	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.340183	+1.73%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1817	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.348593	+2.12%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2084	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.309838	-0.41%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0227	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.326191	-0.88%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0417	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.358851	-1.54%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1684	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.361858	-1.60%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1666	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.357383	-1.94%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1177	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.364518	-2.09%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1035	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.361089	-2.04%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0801	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.38386	-2.35%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2223	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.367656	-2.22%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1181	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.364594	-2.23%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0019	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.356734	-1.98%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0297	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.338759	-1.82%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0766	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.339585	-1.92%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0952	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.334458	-2.09%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1005	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.33053	-2.40%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1747	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.350574	-2.16%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0719	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.340459	-2.60%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0917	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.333414	-2.82%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0871	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.318743	-2.81%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0777	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.312175	-2.90%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1015	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.318509	-3.10%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0679	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.321344	-2.89%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0529	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.319632	-2.95%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1136	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.340649	-2.67%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0256	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.35881	-2.43%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0445	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.368122	-2.06%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1138	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.361895	-2.39%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1172	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.353449	-2.28%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0718	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.34464	-2.29%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0404	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.348033	-2.11%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0533	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.355823	-2.07%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0144	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.315187	-2.69%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1529	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.308011	-2.76%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1998	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.310432	-2.76%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1770	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.315761	-2.78%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1360	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.323607	-2.75%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0873	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.324052	-2.66%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0940	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323032	-2.48%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1189	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.319394	-2.34%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0188	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33063	-2.30%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0410	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.337927	-2.11%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0548	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.340766	-1.98%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0485	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.341735	-1.91%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0254	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.349375	-1.74%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0435	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.369512	-1.41%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1053	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.371399	-1.35%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1314	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.376509	-1.37%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1063	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.382191	-1.42%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1002	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.378285	-1.49%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0805	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.382695	-1.57%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0898	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.388138	-1.66%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0825	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.387859	-1.73%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0222	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.387056	-1.72%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0184	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.371856	-1.70%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0396	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.370868	-1.72%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0546	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.383851	-1.74%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0082	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384565	-1.72%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0166	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.374269	-1.74%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0503	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.383869	-1.85%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0143	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.392227	-1.93%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0092	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.402868	-1.98%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0750	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.408274	-2.07%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0930	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39418	-2.03%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0234	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.366113	-1.69%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0484	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.406213	-2.12%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0912	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.417582	-2.27%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0893	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.425186	-2.41%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0797	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.479515	-2.83%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1695	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.435907	-2.62%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.442669	-2.70%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.458887	-2.86%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.1980	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.458456	-2.68%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1472	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.441705	-2.43%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.450943	-2.75%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0841	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.454481	-2.83%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.401564	-0.97%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.4285	-1.63%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.419422	-2.48%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1228	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.464279	-3.19%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.489821	-3.77%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.428354	-4.02%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.2023	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.431546	-4.33%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2308	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.454931	-4.58%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0775	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.4295	-5.30%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1982	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.597076	-4.90%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1864	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.676253	-5.11%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1948	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.635546	-5.19%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.603803	-5.08%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2223	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.679492	-6.02%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3645	✓	1.00