GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s1

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

72.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0357

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.296712	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.297103	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.292345	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.29584	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.292333	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.299353	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.294799	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.311979	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.311261	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.320611	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.327658	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.336213	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.3329	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.312785	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.315987	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.320674	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.321463	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.315701	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.320314	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321893	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.314491	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.319669	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317313	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316077	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.331272	+0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.34721	+1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.355803	+1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.364411	+2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.354819	+3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.371124	+5.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.378026	+5.34%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.2078	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.373971	-0.19%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.2035	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.344042	+0.94%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1372	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.341007	+0.24%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.1215	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.347449	-3.62%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1616	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.295459	-2.30%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0183	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.295967	-2.51%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0104	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294127	-1.56%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0658	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.289757	-1.93%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0641	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.29205	-1.68%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1022	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.299256	-1.61%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0852	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28182	-1.84%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1764	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.28494	-1.25%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1653	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.299933	-1.32%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0543	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.288942	-1.11%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0957	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29395	-0.76%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0852	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.2967	-1.22%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0750	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.288833	-1.52%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0593	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292076	+0.28%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0852	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.282441	-1.21%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.1030	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.274038	-1.18%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.1033	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.282661	-0.37%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0988	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.279968	-0.63%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.1141	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285231	+0.26%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0896	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.28328	+0.22%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1305	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.315532	+3.62%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0727	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.317814	+3.44%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0797	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.323709	+5.00%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0731	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.332771	+6.45%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0147	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.345541	+6.65%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0009	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.356036	+6.47%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0149	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.368324	+7.90%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0100	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.315061	+1.27%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0727	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32772	-0.42%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0587	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355642	-2.42%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0006	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.359506	-2.24%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1896	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.352698	-3.22%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1669	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.360641	-3.13%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.2066	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.356964	-3.16%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2109	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.379184	-3.54%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2612	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.364647	-3.02%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1976	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.361632	-3.02%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2460	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.352599	-3.12%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2178	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.333291	-3.41%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1132	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.33366	-3.64%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1545	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.327842	-4.03%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1247	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.322732	-4.70%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0944	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.346462	-3.30%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1873	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.334043	-4.44%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1580	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.324536	-5.41%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1423	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.308351	-5.98%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1209	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.300909	-6.40%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0728	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.307038	-6.59%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0994	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.311703	-5.80%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1033	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.308829	-6.23%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1000	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.332392	-5.03%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1027	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.353608	-3.85%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1567	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.368091	-2.06%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1883	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.358646	-3.26%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1474	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.347639	-3.89%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0784	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340072	-3.58%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0263	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346189	-2.63%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0233	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.355995	-2.02%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1396	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.305273	-5.75%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0787	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.296591	-6.36%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2060	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.299165	-6.29%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2061	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.304866	-6.14%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1775	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.313625	-5.75%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1708	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.315066	-5.36%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1554	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.312775	-5.58%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2272	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.30833	-5.72%	0.376	+14.97%	0.2003	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.321539	-4.98%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1478	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.331046	-4.10%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0950	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.335644	-3.45%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0291	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.336132	-3.52%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0333	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.344965	-2.98%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0047	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.367237	-2.02%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0788	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.369992	-1.73%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0307	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.375241	-1.71%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0698	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.380873	-1.76%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.1036	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.376512	-1.95%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1357	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.380273	-2.19%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1648	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.3849	-2.48%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1514	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.382793	-3.02%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1303	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.382278	-2.94%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1401	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.365281	-3.44%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0286	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.363579	-3.65%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0235	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.377094	-3.47%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0128	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.377449	-3.54%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0036	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.36623	-3.85%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0042	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.376651	-3.69%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0582	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.385267	-3.67%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0731	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.395414	-3.79%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0746	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.400401	-3.96%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2089	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.38474	-4.38%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1896	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.352584	-5.32%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0888	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.39542	-4.72%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2009	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.406383	-4.90%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2146	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.413522	-5.09%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2292	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.465954	-5.58%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3456	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.421893	-5.75%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2205	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.427851	-5.96%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2377	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.442538	-6.32%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2517	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.441344	-6.32%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2813	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.423355	-6.48%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2187	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.431228	-7.00%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1798	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.433593	-7.29%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1460	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.377192	-6.98%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.403135	-7.45%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0955	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.390249	-9.27%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.436061	-9.08%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.460726	-9.48%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.395024	-11.49%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1726	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.398394	-11.68%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.2196	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.423597	-11.15%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1311	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.393983	-13.13%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1693	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.570907	-9.07%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2099	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.6524	-8.45%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2989	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.620038	-7.51%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2213	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.593734	-6.66%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2075	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.669206	-7.45%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3311	✓	1.00