GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s1

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0339

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0049

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305741	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304451	-0.41%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0084	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299004	-0.38%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0235	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301274	-0.37%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0038	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298512	-0.38%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0132	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304373	-0.40%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0157	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299273	-0.39%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0206	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317598	-0.39%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0553	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316462	-0.36%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0069	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328123	-0.40%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0323	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334526	-0.41%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0157	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344441	-0.45%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0252	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341243	-0.45%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0138	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320032	-0.39%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0687	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322791	-0.37%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0047	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326489	-0.35%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0081	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327323	-0.34%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0010	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318896	-0.27%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0297	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324445	-0.28%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0152	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.326089	-0.26%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0023	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317689	-0.21%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0289	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321966	-0.20%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0118	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318969	-0.15%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0113	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316405	-0.12%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0095	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328784	-0.13%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0370	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.34209	-0.19%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0384	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347957	-0.30%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0151	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353121	-0.46%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0117	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.34035	-0.66%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0414	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349251	-0.91%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0196	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355454	-0.95%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0085	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369885	-1.28%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0360	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337523	-0.98%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1046	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336718	-1.02%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0118	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.35681	-1.02%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0599	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301238	-0.38%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1790	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302385	-0.40%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0022	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297711	-0.36%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0314	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294334	-0.38%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0088	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295921	-0.38%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0004	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302895	-0.41%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0197	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28606	-0.36%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0582	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287562	-0.34%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0067	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.30285	-0.36%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0476	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291242	-0.33%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0457	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295263	-0.32%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0046	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.299345	-0.33%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0129	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.292331	-0.33%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0261	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290545	-0.24%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0201	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285036	-0.30%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0027	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.276527	-0.28%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0339	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283128	-0.20%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0127	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281196	-0.20%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0061	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284101	-0.14%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0066	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282299	-0.12%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0065	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304544	+0.01%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0685	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307282	+0.01%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0126	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308476	+0.06%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0056	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312829	+0.07%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0133	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324107	+0.03%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0393	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334378	-0.01%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0332	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341336	-0.00%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0172	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310424	-0.22%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0910	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32825	-0.26%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0464	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363126	-0.36%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1043	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366363	-0.38%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0056	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362856	-0.44%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0110	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370449	-0.50%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0161	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.36684	-0.48%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0147	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390811	-0.58%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0579	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373852	-0.57%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0502	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370732	-0.58%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0143	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.362193	-0.48%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0296	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343625	-0.41%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0591	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344767	-0.43%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0009	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340052	-0.45%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0180	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336923	-0.51%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0128	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356468	-0.51%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0508	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.34743	-0.61%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0301	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340956	-0.62%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0242	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326058	-0.58%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0510	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319618	-0.59%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0250	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326577	-0.65%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0156	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328865	-0.62%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0014	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327338	-0.61%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0101	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347912	-0.60%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0549	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365554	-0.60%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0437	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373648	-0.59%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0144	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.368397	-0.63%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0192	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359714	-0.55%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0301	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350679	-0.57%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0318	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353465	-0.59%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0013	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.361052	-0.63%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0150	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321938	-0.61%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1222	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.314867	-0.59%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0289	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317344	-0.60%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0020	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322833	-0.61%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0103	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330677	-0.62%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0178	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330834	-0.62%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0049	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329434	-0.55%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0102	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325473	-0.48%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0220	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336685	-0.51%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0321	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343546	-0.48%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0152	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346045	-0.46%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0032	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346851	-0.44%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0043	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354048	-0.42%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0143	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373374	-0.38%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0516	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.37509	-0.37%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0024	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380303	-0.38%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0091	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386192	-0.39%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0104	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382491	-0.39%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0149	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.38722	-0.41%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0059	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.39304	-0.42%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0074	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393021	-0.43%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0080	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392156	-0.43%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0024	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376793	-0.40%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0466	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375863	-0.39%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0049	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389064	-0.41%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0308	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38977	-0.39%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0032	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379469	-0.38%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0272	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389508	-0.41%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0277	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398211	-0.43%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0225	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409153	-0.45%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0205	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.41492	-0.47%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0127	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400576	-0.44%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0429	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371286	-0.30%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0836	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413116	-0.45%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1157	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.42519	-0.49%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0335	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433422	-0.52%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0194	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490334	-0.64%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1147	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445166	-0.55%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452387	-0.56%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.46953	-0.61%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468479	-0.56%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0255	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.45054	-0.48%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461125	-0.56%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465002	-0.58%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405004	-0.12%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.434447	-0.26%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428271	-0.43%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0614	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476432	-0.66%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.504816	-0.82%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.442878	-0.77%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2067	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447203	-0.86%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.471931	-1.01%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.448346	-1.15%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.61942	-1.34%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3097	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.70184	-1.52%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.659192	-1.66%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.625358	-1.69%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0881	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.707702	-2.12%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1102	✓	1.00