FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +7d
assessed
42
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
57.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1235
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0363
actual -0.0241
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.046836 | -1.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.04766 | -1.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.04685 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047163 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.050031 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051401 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.051577 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.052478 | -2.51% | 0.04772 | -11.35% | 0.1070 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.058272 | -3.23% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.1804 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.057451 | -3.29% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.1909 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.064377 | -3.64% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.2850 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.063023 | -3.60% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.1975 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.062181 | -3.57% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1577 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.059578 | -3.56% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1230 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.062156 | -3.51% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1319 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.066603 | -3.49% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.0864 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.070826 | -3.89% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1528 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.067602 | -3.56% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.069681 | -4.32% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.061886 | -3.56% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0544 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.065114 | -3.76% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.066067 | -4.27% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.063411 | -3.96% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.05878 | -3.69% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.2105 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.066007 | -4.38% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.063952 | -4.37% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1281 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.056366 | -4.00% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1274 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.057188 | -4.21% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1655 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.0571 | -4.37% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.1993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.057885 | -4.05% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1617 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.058626 | -3.99% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0772 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.058278 | -6.03% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.1294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.065323 | -7.28% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.061753 | -7.49% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.0895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.058644 | -8.51% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.051787 | -5.34% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.043388 | -0.79% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.1982 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.047777 | -2.66% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047291 | -1.85% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.04941 | -2.25% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.3046 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050107 | -1.93% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.051372 | -1.83% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.050577 | -1.56% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.1063 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.052532 | -1.79% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.054268 | -1.92% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.0887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.055013 | -1.89% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.0876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.054139 | -1.81% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.054385 | -1.81% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.057961 | -1.80% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 1.00 |