FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0473

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047512	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048363	-0.45%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0109	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047371	-0.29%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0141	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047662	-0.27%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0015	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050887	-0.47%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0694	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052403	-0.55%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0233	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052567	-0.54%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0089	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053535	-0.55%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0188	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059753	-0.77%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0899	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058946	-0.77%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0087	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066194	-0.92%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0933	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064814	-0.87%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0245	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063949	-0.83%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0194	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061289	-0.80%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0447	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063894	-0.81%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0226	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068427	-0.85%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0471	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072973	-0.97%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0547	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069473	-0.89%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0636	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072022	-1.10%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0389	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063621	-0.86%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1335	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.067023	-0.93%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0413	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068269	-1.08%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0177	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065373	-0.99%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0548	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060483	-0.90%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0864	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068247	-1.13%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1060	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.066122	-1.13%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0428	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058139	-0.98%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1382	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059087	-1.03%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0047	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.05908	-1.06%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0104	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059729	-0.99%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060461	-0.98%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061075	-1.52%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0651	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068997	-2.06%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065315	-2.16%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0713	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062529	-2.45%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.053988	-1.32%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1690	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043702	-0.08%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2173	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048842	-0.49%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048038	-0.30%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0038	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050345	-0.40%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050927	-0.33%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052169	-0.31%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051257	-0.24%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053332	-0.30%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055145	-0.33%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055884	-0.33%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0057	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.05498	-0.28%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055243	-0.27%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058847	-0.30%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0408	✓	1.00