ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s1

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0632

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0091

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.313951	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.33893	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.314462	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.310317	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.317325	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.303979	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.316677	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.29021	-1.82%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0778	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.304659	-2.04%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1341	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313551	-2.47%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0196	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.318236	-2.46%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0182	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.317928	-2.54%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0432	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.288884	-1.81%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0863	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.301326	-2.04%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0660	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.292713	-1.71%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0373	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.315138	-1.87%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0239	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.308426	-1.71%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1025	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.318764	-1.75%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0652	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.301345	-1.59%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1066	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.318938	-2.02%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0514	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.322546	-2.10%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0002	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.323441	-2.40%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0784	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.327139	-2.61%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0465	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.316451	-2.21%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0428	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.323517	-2.29%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0280	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.320624	-2.19%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0510	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.329626	-2.69%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0189	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.330411	-2.71%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0100	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.337122	-3.07%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0046	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.332346	-2.34%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0505	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.318146	-1.64%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0654	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.273225	-1.33%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1456	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.277707	-1.40%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1211	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.281739	-1.54%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1392	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.249277	-1.55%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2030	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.245239	-1.55%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2406	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.238375	-1.52%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2169	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.264437	-1.55%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1004	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.25574	-1.52%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0249	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.256765	-1.47%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0427	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251365	-1.39%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0835	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252384	-1.41%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0057	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.246578	-1.13%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0387	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.249463	-1.09%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0086	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.220002	-0.68%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2123	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.262219	-0.90%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0341	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.257517	-0.69%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0436	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.25286	-0.37%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0378	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.264129	+0.28%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0249	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.259375	-0.45%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0519	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.251482	-0.05%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0108	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259897	+0.58%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1669	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.248502	+0.65%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0280	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.253614	+1.16%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0017	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.259127	+1.10%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0444	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.264419	+2.25%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0165	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.267388	+1.86%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0029	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.266825	+1.69%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0435	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.271684	+1.64%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0445	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.269458	+1.03%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0866	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.272179	+0.47%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0982	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.269482	+0.74%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0435	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.241503	-0.58%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0282	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.21366	-0.85%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0899	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.199176	-1.10%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1090	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.200347	-1.11%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1138	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202771	-1.14%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0842	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.200236	-1.12%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1231	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.204705	-1.11%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0721	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206717	-1.09%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0334	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.213531	-1.10%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0707	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219145	-1.11%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1003	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235286	-1.22%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1573	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.233063	-1.16%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0996	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.235916	-1.21%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1264	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.232782	-1.20%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0908	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.231206	-1.24%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0893	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.222705	-1.15%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0145	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.219396	-1.17%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0172	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.213677	-1.17%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1025	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.211625	-1.16%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0892	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199754	-1.11%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1491	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.202359	-1.10%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1238	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205136	-1.04%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1383	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206218	-1.05%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0787	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205279	-1.02%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0755	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.198722	-0.99%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0875	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.206586	-0.92%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0607	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213303	-0.93%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0326	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214359	-0.90%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0289	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.218448	-0.84%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0478	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.216457	-0.75%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0075	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221887	-0.72%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0307	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218147	-0.75%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0623	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.218948	-0.75%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0580	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219504	-0.72%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0126	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.219478	-0.73%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0171	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218436	-0.71%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0087	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.218566	-0.65%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0204	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211624	-0.60%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0341	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208893	-0.67%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0084	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.22012	-0.62%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0110	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218873	-0.60%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0035	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.21765	-0.57%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0189	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216873	-0.61%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0061	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220138	-0.66%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0357	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220137	-0.62%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0569	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.221749	-0.61%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0283	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214538	-0.63%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0299	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.21146	-0.68%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0314	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.211244	-0.73%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0146	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.20626	-0.79%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0338	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201693	-0.84%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0634	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.188876	-0.80%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0972	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.200824	-0.83%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0582	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.201015	-0.83%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0204	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20311	-0.83%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0078	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203432	-0.81%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0134	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210647	-0.83%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0359	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218281	-0.83%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0579	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.219749	-0.79%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0924	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.219337	-0.75%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0335	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216023	-0.77%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0173	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.215971	-0.75%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0002	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.21268	-0.76%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0068	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211904	-0.75%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0416	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.218158	-0.75%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0499	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.223907	-0.75%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0241	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.231464	-0.79%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0191	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.224563	-0.81%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0021	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.220304	-0.81%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0099	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.220367	-0.78%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0271	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219014	-0.72%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0172	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.210458	+0.08%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0077	✓	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.216154	-0.02%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0034	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.212745	+0.16%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0541	✓	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.213541	+0.40%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0301	✓	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.213455	+1.84%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0031	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.218455	+1.80%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0130	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.227816	+0.23%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0295	✗	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.236459	-0.14%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0902	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.251163	-0.80%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1020	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.268318	-1.10%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1758	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.272508	-1.16%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1763	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.268939	-1.16%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1673	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.260393	-1.14%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1142	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.256457	-1.13%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0583	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.266915	-1.18%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0548	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.280469	-1.21%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0487	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274965	-1.20%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0333	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.281656	-1.21%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0042	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.281639	-1.21%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0143	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.27995	-1.22%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0461	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.278449	-1.19%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0417	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.285475	-1.19%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0330	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.284186	-1.19%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0056	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.281686	-1.16%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0142	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.280295	-1.13%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0200	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.286167	-1.08%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0063	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.301229	-1.04%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0348	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304461	-0.92%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0521	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304152	-0.99%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0382	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.306879	-0.91%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0379	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319282	-0.84%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0784	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.309608	-0.77%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0527	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306255	-0.86%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0380	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.306701	-0.87%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0008	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.305424	-0.87%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0017	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.313444	-0.78%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0008	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.315764	-0.83%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0165	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.298218	-0.86%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0643	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.295863	-0.92%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0298	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.298478	-0.90%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0214	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.299725	-0.92%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0187	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.293823	-0.97%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0212	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.294149	-0.96%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0310	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.301667	-0.93%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0214	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302201	-0.85%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0223	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.309426	-0.76%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0348	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314376	-0.83%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0502	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310368	-0.81%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0312	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.312484	-0.74%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0376	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.317255	-0.73%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0482	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312963	-0.84%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0272	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313626	-0.85%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0395	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.316344	-0.96%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0512	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.322411	-0.83%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0314	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.328409	-0.69%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0511	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.320053	-0.82%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0400	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313645	-0.81%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0065	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308717	-0.83%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0055	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.30466	-0.79%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0262	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.297962	-0.98%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0439	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311997	-0.89%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0200	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302819	-0.88%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0557	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.29709	-0.94%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0557	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.297852	-0.98%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0295	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.296324	-0.96%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0310	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.296032	-1.09%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0111	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.293039	-1.10%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0111	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.293104	-1.15%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0204	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.282582	-1.13%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0249	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.284827	-1.14%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0081	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.290713	-1.15%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0078	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.276228	-1.14%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0472	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271845	-1.11%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0768	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268025	-1.06%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0719	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277295	-1.04%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0578	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.283024	-1.01%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0040	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.28704	-0.99%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0213	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.291842	-0.94%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0371	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.290488	-0.92%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0175	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.293754	-0.89%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0278	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.282998	-0.88%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0257	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.285902	-0.83%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0043	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.28727	-0.77%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0339	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.297331	-0.72%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0146	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.312775	-0.64%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0604	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.32761	-0.48%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0802	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.333755	-0.40%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0831	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.324414	-0.52%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0822	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.314202	-0.60%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0647	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.321239	-0.61%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1000	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.314517	-0.63%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0433	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.316665	-0.64%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0153	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.319812	-0.65%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0064	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.318917	-0.71%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0085	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.318698	-0.78%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0411	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316589	-0.72%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0389	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.317706	-0.69%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0096	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.313002	-0.57%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0145	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.322149	-0.48%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0125	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328357	-0.71%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0369	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335208	-0.71%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0386	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.342761	-0.85%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0673	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352479	-0.85%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1035	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.344204	-0.89%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0996	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.352348	-0.89%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1511	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.356569	-0.93%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1489	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.313848	-0.84%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0069	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.295418	-0.57%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0898	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.29236	-0.63%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1874	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.30206	-0.67%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1732	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.303224	-0.61%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1598	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309142	-0.53%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1339	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.319093	-0.53%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1025	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.327278	-0.61%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.327473	-0.62%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0481	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.330317	-0.57%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1024	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.371501	-0.88%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1799	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.367641	-0.85%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1772	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360079	-0.56%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1560	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.358852	-0.48%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1049	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.376674	-0.82%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1189	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.380953	-0.90%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1308	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.391586	-0.99%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1476	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.397087	-0.98%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0639	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.402908	-1.08%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0638	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.364695	+2.38%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0440	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.363749	-0.26%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0772	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.363148	-0.48%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1441	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355555	-0.49%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2120	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.347534	+0.50%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2261	✓	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.361463	-0.29%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2437	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.385907	-1.07%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2469	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.403993	-1.10%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1992	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.419081	-1.16%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0848	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.426652	-1.17%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0238	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.42107	-1.16%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0407	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.423658	-1.13%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0711	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.428746	-1.14%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0268	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.428205	-1.13%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0203	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.43282	-1.11%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0092	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.443992	-1.12%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0434	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.427982	-1.07%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0024	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.449424	-1.05%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0049	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.458203	-1.01%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0301	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.469486	-0.95%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0006	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.475077	-0.92%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0112	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.486167	-0.92%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0224	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506151	-0.89%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0187	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.454327	-0.91%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0440	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.442976	-1.01%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.448111	-0.99%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0051	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.449603	-0.97%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0112	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.456284	-0.94%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0230	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.448585	-0.89%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0252	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.454801	-0.85%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0310	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.480652	-0.77%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0719	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495554	-0.79%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0614	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48729	-0.86%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0642	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.48235	-0.87%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0571	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.487837	-0.91%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0662	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.478801	-0.91%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0924	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.462229	-0.89%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0668	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.491247	-0.94%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0954	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.471633	-0.92%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0462	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.473799	-0.92%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0193	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.427585	-0.91%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0869	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.424394	-0.91%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1079	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.427396	-0.91%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0987	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.438771	-0.89%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0628	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.441853	-0.89%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1005	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.46148	-0.86%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0532	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.471848	-0.87%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0251	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.491488	-0.91%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1222	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.482608	-0.92%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1070	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.448579	-0.93%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0659	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.458633	-0.92%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0569	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.451087	-0.90%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0052	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.446535	-0.88%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0082	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.471646	-0.85%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0021	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.472912	-0.82%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0770	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.477752	-0.80%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0527	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.491521	-0.74%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0264	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.51097	-0.74%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0091	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.517068	-0.74%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0541	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.520209	-0.78%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0779	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.530155	-0.79%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0739	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.521161	-0.81%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1041	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.500211	-0.79%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0523	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.506209	-0.74%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0288	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.515547	-0.72%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0201	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.534243	-0.79%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0470	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.496429	-0.83%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0173	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.53698	-0.82%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0053	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.543551	-0.83%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0090	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.579153	-0.90%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1137	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.597059	-0.97%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1698	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.611261	-1.07%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2095	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.617357	-1.21%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2028	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.596835	-1.20%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1419	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.611547	-1.36%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1828	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.525601	-0.98%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0598	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.456167	+0.97%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1519	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.456099	+1.04%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2005	✓	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470993	-0.28%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2883	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.506277	-0.81%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3052	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.498165	-0.57%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2576	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.510089	-0.76%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3218	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.516067	-0.81%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2158	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.517873	-0.70%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0276	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.562767	-0.90%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0008	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.591417	-0.94%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0611	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.615325	-0.98%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0274	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.61665	-0.99%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0147	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.634989	-1.05%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0417	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.63384	-1.06%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0864	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.636964	-1.08%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0550	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.609185	-0.99%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0431	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.636975	-1.08%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0298	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.566738	-0.85%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0689	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.556457	-0.93%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1219	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.603777	-0.99%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1526	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.622309	-1.02%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1534	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.618074	-1.06%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1413	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.623158	-1.13%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1020	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.60241	-1.08%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1677	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.596937	-1.01%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1456	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.682994	-1.02%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0775	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.733243	-1.17%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1230	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.671382	-1.09%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0412	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.67509	-1.14%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0551	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.655777	-1.16%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0121	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.608047	-1.16%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0348	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.625296	-1.14%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1027	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.658135	-1.20%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0040	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.664851	-1.23%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0236	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.615554	-1.15%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0326	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.60593	-1.09%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0525	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.618096	-1.14%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0428	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.6469	-1.19%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0039	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.667788	-1.23%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0131	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.690273	-1.26%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0313	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.697253	-1.29%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0575	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.609326	-1.18%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0712	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.579568	-1.20%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1513	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.673964	-1.13%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1026	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.704928	-1.06%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0843	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.696754	-1.13%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0732	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.728603	-1.00%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0726	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.706666	-1.04%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1014	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.71369	-1.08%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0031	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.724667	-1.11%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0971	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.736846	-1.20%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0910	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.718452	-1.31%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0650	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.676823	-1.45%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0498	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.682713	-1.48%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0580	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.69887	-1.50%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1362	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.684651	-1.47%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1300	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.672522	-1.48%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0943	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.685009	-1.45%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0843	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.726148	-1.53%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0752	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.704522	-1.56%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0564	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.735622	-1.54%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0851	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.772855	-1.47%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0367	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.792954	-1.42%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0399	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.790442	-1.42%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0544	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.80181	-1.38%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0190	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.766842	-1.43%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0080	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.