ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s1

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0939

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0226

actual -0.0221

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.294037	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.296413	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.325067	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.304313	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.300488	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.30526	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.292784	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.303338	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.279157	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.29312	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.299377	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.305052	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.304142	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.278083	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.289009	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.281886	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.30476	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.299516	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.309687	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.29166	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.306836	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.310053	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.309332	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.312035	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.303317	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.309808	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.307545	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.314204	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.315801	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.321451	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.321858	-5.42%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0136	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.313603	-3.04%	0.3086	-4.59%	0.0234	✓	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.268685	-2.97%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2320	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.273197	-3.00%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1503	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.276814	-3.26%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1159	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.243117	-3.98%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2196	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.239124	-4.00%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1869	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.231975	-4.16%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2466	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.259113	-3.53%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0898	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.249937	-3.76%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1407	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.251231	-3.60%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1906	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.246016	-3.49%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2023	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.246692	-3.64%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2000	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.241664	-3.10%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1422	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.244128	-3.20%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1889	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.213462	-3.63%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2767	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.256119	-3.21%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1653	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.251833	-2.88%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1507	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.247831	-2.35%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1916	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.261607	-0.68%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1181	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.255057	-2.11%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1542	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.247901	-1.47%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1909	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.257972	-0.17%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1863	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.245531	-0.55%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2373	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.252333	+0.65%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1834	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.258874	+1.00%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1633	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.268969	+4.01%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1457	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.272785	+3.92%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1516	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.27399	+4.42%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1388	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.281911	+5.47%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1396	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.280171	+5.05%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0855	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.282812	+4.40%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0110	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.282984	+5.79%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0597	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.24594	+1.25%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0269	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.212792	-1.26%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1598	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.195595	-2.88%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1156	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.196626	-2.95%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0935	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.198532	-3.20%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0334	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.195721	-3.35%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1245	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.200202	-3.28%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0824	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.202277	-3.22%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0740	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.209206	-3.10%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0204	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.214929	-3.01%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0101	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.231143	-2.96%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.1013	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.229559	-2.65%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0763	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.23257	-2.61%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2249	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.229669	-2.52%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0475	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.227955	-2.62%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0630	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.219687	-2.49%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0421	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.216252	-2.59%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0146	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.210343	-2.71%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0408	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.20825	-2.73%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0105	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.195836	-3.05%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0807	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.198471	-3.00%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0326	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.201867	-2.62%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0483	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.20271	-2.73%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0580	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.201708	-2.74%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0441	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.194801	-2.94%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1062	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.203496	-2.40%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0934	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.210204	-2.37%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0542	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.211344	-2.29%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0604	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216044	-1.93%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0750	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214612	-1.60%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0667	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220652	-1.27%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0122	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.21646	-1.52%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0587	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217217	-1.53%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0756	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.218017	-1.39%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0691	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217804	-1.49%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0457	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.216856	-1.43%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0583	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.217529	-1.12%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0258	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210616	-1.07%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0137	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.206876	-1.63%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0259	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219145	-1.06%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0141	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218082	-0.96%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0864	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217149	-0.80%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0726	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216102	-0.96%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0760	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219223	-1.07%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0346	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219901	-0.72%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0492	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.222007	-0.49%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0063	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214458	-0.67%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0284	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211163	-0.82%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0185	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210701	-0.99%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0031	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205036	-1.38%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0320	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.199557	-1.89%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0135	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.185502	-2.57%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0317	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.198303	-2.07%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0040	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.198087	-2.28%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0082	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.200181	-2.26%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0440	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.200364	-2.31%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0258	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.207595	-2.26%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0211	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.215795	-1.96%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0348	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.217854	-1.65%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0170	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.217764	-1.46%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0234	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.214027	-1.69%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0050	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214247	-1.54%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0138	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.210477	-1.78%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0326	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209407	-1.92%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0316	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.216434	-1.53%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0277	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222796	-1.24%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0089	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.230842	-1.05%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0300	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223381	-1.33%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0397	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.218412	-1.66%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0119	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218079	-1.81%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0131	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.216446	-1.88%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0147	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.20633	-1.89%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0271	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.21184	-2.02%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0118	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.207911	-2.11%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0739	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.207865	-2.27%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0633	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.205779	-1.82%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0430	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.210307	-2.00%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0039	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.220822	-2.85%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0285	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.229753	-2.98%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0609	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.245577	-3.01%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1166	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.26339	-2.92%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1768	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.267779	-2.87%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2322	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.263921	-3.01%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1781	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.254804	-3.26%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1384	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.250337	-3.49%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1108	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.260973	-3.38%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1476	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.275188	-3.07%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1595	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.269955	-3.00%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0659	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.276648	-2.96%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1055	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.276321	-3.08%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1281	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.273949	-3.33%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1361	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.272922	-3.15%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1235	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.279918	-3.11%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1599	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.27809	-3.31%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1581	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.275277	-3.41%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1294	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.273789	-3.43%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1052	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.280003	-3.21%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0952	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.295964	-2.77%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1644	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.300401	-2.25%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1718	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.299219	-2.60%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1707	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.302835	-2.22%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1819	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.31651	-1.71%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2426	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.307137	-1.56%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1821	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.302875	-1.95%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2097	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.303171	-2.01%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2162	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.301958	-1.99%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2051	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.311395	-1.43%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1641	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.313522	-1.53%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1902	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.295047	-1.91%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1017	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.291982	-2.22%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0580	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.294714	-2.15%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0316	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.295735	-2.24%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0376	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.288717	-2.69%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0405	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.288775	-2.77%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0741	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296694	-2.56%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1134	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.297778	-2.30%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0751	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.30604	-1.85%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0545	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.310465	-2.06%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1065	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.306366	-2.09%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0684	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.309161	-1.79%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0693	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.314105	-1.72%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0828	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.308645	-2.20%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0996	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.309129	-2.27%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0795	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.310849	-2.68%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1003	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.318544	-2.02%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1204	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.326492	-1.27%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1435	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.317331	-1.66%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1146	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.311315	-1.54%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0540	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.306217	-1.63%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0477	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.302554	-1.48%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0224	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.293698	-2.39%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0245	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.3097	-1.62%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0274	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.300624	-1.60%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0331	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.294303	-1.87%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0201	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.294919	-1.96%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0231	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.294031	-1.73%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0163	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.292312	-2.33%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0253	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.289373	-2.34%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0018	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.288824	-2.59%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0650	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.278033	-2.72%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0269	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.280295	-2.71%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0277	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.286622	-2.54%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0314	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.271696	-2.76%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0185	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.266564	-3.03%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0292	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.26214	-3.23%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0581	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.271769	-3.01%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0181	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.277634	-2.89%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0083	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.282427	-2.58%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0380	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.288322	-2.13%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0287	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.286681	-2.22%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0267	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.29018	-2.10%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0334	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.277632	-2.76%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0528	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.280822	-2.59%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0576	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.28271	-2.35%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0926	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.293105	-2.14%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0520	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.30997	-1.53%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0126	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.327251	-0.59%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0248	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.334661	-0.13%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0563	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.324461	-0.50%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0532	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.3129	-1.01%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0472	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.320286	-0.90%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0607	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.31311	-1.07%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0174	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.315247	-1.08%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0565	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.318425	-1.08%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0765	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.316547	-1.45%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0755	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.314878	-1.97%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1069	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.313257	-1.77%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0608	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.314878	-1.57%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0694	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.311714	-0.98%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0148	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.322832	-0.27%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0668	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.326357	-1.31%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1092	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.333802	-1.12%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1192	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.339711	-1.73%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2236	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.350398	-1.44%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2399	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.341381	-1.70%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2324	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.350759	-1.33%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2109	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.355366	-1.26%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1984	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.309424	-2.24%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1150	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.290049	-2.37%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0525	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.287574	-2.25%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0108	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.297598	-2.14%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0337	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.2984	-2.20%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0426	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.303757	-2.27%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0739	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.31356	-2.26%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1253	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.322207	-2.15%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1003	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.322635	-2.08%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0510	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.325289	-2.08%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0442	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.368022	-1.81%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1476	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.363244	-2.04%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1512	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.353972	-2.24%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1691	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.352552	-2.23%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1321	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.37104	-2.31%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1786	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.375475	-2.32%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1651	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.385892	-2.43%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1777	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.390644	-2.58%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1864	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.396252	-2.71%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1577	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.351861	-1.22%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1462	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.354847	-2.70%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0339	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.353998	-2.99%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0493	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.344975	-3.45%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0283	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.333397	-3.59%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1189	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.348771	-3.79%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1139	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.376196	-3.56%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1849	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.394771	-3.36%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1498	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.411326	-2.99%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1697	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.418872	-2.97%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1418	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.412497	-3.17%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1439	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.414346	-3.30%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0660	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.419932	-3.17%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0174	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.419108	-3.23%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0234	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.423538	-3.24%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0073	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.43461	-3.20%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0294	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.417202	-3.56%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0404	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.440684	-2.98%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0891	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.450332	-2.71%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0925	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.463146	-2.29%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0538	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.469679	-2.05%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0625	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.481756	-1.82%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1417	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.503874	-1.34%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1186	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.449756	-1.91%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2238	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.435565	-2.67%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1953	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.440777	-2.61%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2000	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.44217	-2.61%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1787	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.449244	-2.47%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2150	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.441704	-2.41%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2641	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448584	-2.21%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2665	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.477353	-1.45%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2696	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.493275	-1.25%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0501	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.483694	-1.59%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0126	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.478526	-1.66%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0911	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.484048	-1.68%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1132	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.474567	-1.79%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0979	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.457428	-1.92%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1040	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.487659	-1.66%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1146	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.467406	-1.81%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1297	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.470049	-1.70%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1045	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.422006	-2.20%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0026	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.418069	-2.39%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0360	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.42086	-2.42%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0008	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.432769	-2.24%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0276	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.435656	-2.28%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0264	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.456573	-1.92%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0290	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.467273	-1.83%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0721	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.487326	-1.75%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1344	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.477921	-1.88%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1152	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.44072	-2.67%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0707	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.451157	-2.54%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0762	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.443336	-2.61%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0134	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.43711	-2.97%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0016	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.464224	-2.41%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1183	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.466293	-2.20%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0551	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.471283	-2.14%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0494	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.487152	-1.63%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0382	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.507032	-1.51%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0732	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.513777	-1.37%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.1020	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.51582	-1.62%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1268	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.525926	-1.59%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1320	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.515787	-1.83%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1015	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.493738	-2.07%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0374	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.501572	-1.65%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0073	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.512166	-1.37%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0141	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.529959	-1.59%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0511	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.487015	-2.71%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0636	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.531436	-1.84%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0373	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.538406	-1.77%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0630	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.574782	-1.65%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1351	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.593047	-1.63%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2615	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.606363	-1.87%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2966	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.610342	-2.33%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3446	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.590687	-2.22%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2772	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.605123	-2.40%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3164	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.516884	-2.62%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1697	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.441447	-2.29%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0159	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.440103	-2.50%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0897	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.457761	-3.08%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1198	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.495416	-2.94%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0377	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.484714	-3.25%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0547	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.496948	-3.32%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0203	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.502827	-3.36%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0462	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.504026	-3.35%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0504	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.55243	-2.72%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0068	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.582392	-2.45%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0060	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.607074	-2.31%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0379	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.609499	-2.14%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0547	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.627348	-2.24%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0093	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.625126	-2.42%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0207	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.628385	-2.41%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0554	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.599386	-2.59%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0731	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.627494	-2.55%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0245	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.55412	-3.06%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0658	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.543308	-3.27%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1773	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.592987	-2.76%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2263	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.61247	-2.58%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2122	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.609064	-2.50%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2102	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.615517	-2.35%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1855	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.592729	-2.67%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3209	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.586777	-2.69%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4025	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.675629	-2.08%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3117	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.725804	-2.17%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3173	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.662565	-2.39%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3034	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.665674	-2.52%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3398	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.646515	-2.56%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2397	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.597104	-2.94%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1011	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.614051	-2.92%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0556	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.647966	-2.72%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0057	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.653578	-2.90%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0090	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.601669	-3.38%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0599	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.590226	-3.65%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0569	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.602429	-3.64%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0523	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.632802	-3.34%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0569	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.654216	-3.24%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0593	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.677128	-3.14%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0764	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.68329	-3.27%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0848	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.588577	-4.54%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1235	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.553801	-5.59%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2702	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.660178	-3.16%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2325	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.69374	-2.63%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1874	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.683986	-2.94%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1573	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.720426	-2.12%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1524	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.697575	-2.31%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0832	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.704595	-2.34%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0282	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.716417	-2.24%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0153	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.727726	-2.42%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0123	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.707003	-2.88%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0069	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.66002	-3.90%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0290	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.665454	-3.97%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0293	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.680784	-4.05%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1317	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.66357	-4.51%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0261	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.648801	-4.95%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0625	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.660705	-4.95%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0129	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.703728	-4.57%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0049	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.679604	-5.04%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0052	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.712619	-4.62%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0642	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.752499	-4.07%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0623	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.773418	-3.85%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0710	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.770783	-3.87%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0270	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.783823	-3.59%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0770	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.