DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

149

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

75.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2580

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0603

actual -0.1597

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.5116	-23.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.1373	-38.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.544	-17.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	2.6996	-19.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	2.7321	-23.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	9.3165	-19.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.2452	-46.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	1.5176	-49.12%	1.9885	-33.34%	0.2565	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	1.9975	-51.04%	1.8375	-54.96%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	2.677	-51.39%	3.069	-44.27%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	4.6799	-48.81%	3.3675	-63.17%	0.3089	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	10.8632	-37.03%	3.591	-79.18%	1.0883	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	8.9428	-46.50%	11.643	-30.34%	0.2766	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	8.1514	-52.51%	2.3095	-86.54%	1.2664	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	11.366	-53.62%	2.983	-87.83%	1.3170	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	24.0004	-44.89%	4.08	-90.63%	1.7431	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	70.9682	-16.96%	5.507	-93.56%	2.5084	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000369005	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000373679	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000245624	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.00026505	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000303942	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.00026606	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000276649	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000305305	-1.58%	0.000375	+20.89%	0.1583	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.00029676	-1.57%	0.0003798	+25.97%	0.1822	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.00027442	-1.57%	0.0002495	-10.51%	0.1555	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000297892	-1.65%	0.000269	-11.19%	0.1600	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.00029944	-1.63%	0.0003089	+1.48%	0.0572	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000326092	-1.78%	0.0002702	-18.61%	0.1742	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000302229	-1.71%	0.000281	-8.62%	0.0438	✓	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000320697	-1.87%	0.0003102	-5.08%	0.0404	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000294163	-1.75%	0.0003015	+0.70%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000299043	-1.79%	0.0002788	-8.44%	0.0194	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000314865	-1.91%	0.0003029	-5.64%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000308533	-1.90%	0.0003044	-3.21%	0.0048	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000399359	-2.74%	0.000332	-19.14%	0.1575	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000358499	-2.48%	0.0003075	-16.35%	0.1418	✓	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000317188	-2.01%	0.0003268	+0.96%	0.0199	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000321031	-2.09%	0.0002994	-8.69%	0.0627	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000288135	-1.36%	0.0003045	+4.25%	0.0717	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000229285	+1.14%	0.000321	+41.60%	0.3523	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000241881	+1.33%	0.0003145	+31.76%	0.2816	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000211409	+2.33%	0.0004106	+98.74%	0.6573	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000216665	+1.96%	0.0003676	+72.99%	0.5501	✓	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000223714	+5.28%	0.0003237	+52.33%	0.3141	✓	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000225659	+1.79%	0.0003279	+47.90%	0.5100	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000267476	+0.97%	0.0002921	+10.27%	0.2345	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000270025	+0.49%	0.0002267	-15.63%	0.0109	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.00025689	+1.30%	0.0002387	-5.88%	0.0549	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.00027448	+0.95%	0.0002066	-24.02%	0.0741	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.00030869	-0.29%	0.0002125	-31.36%	0.0679	✓	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000341888	-0.84%	0.0002125	-38.37%	0.0338	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000403656	-2.38%	0.0002217	-46.38%	0.2796	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000347987	-1.22%	0.0002649	-24.81%	0.0129	✓	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000342848	-0.71%	0.0002687	-22.18%	0.0702	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000344703	-0.23%	0.0002536	-26.60%	0.1253	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000388416	-1.19%	0.0002719	-30.83%	0.1716	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000405051	-1.35%	0.0003096	-24.60%	0.1735	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000400882	-0.97%	0.0003448	-14.82%	0.0628	✓	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000359566	-0.37%	0.0004135	+14.57%	0.1431	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404004	-0.44%	0.0003523	-13.18%	0.1525	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000438916	-1.85%	0.0003453	-22.79%	0.1594	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000499301	-2.12%	0.0003455	-32.27%	0.2265	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000512253	-2.05%	0.0003931	-24.84%	0.1534	✓	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000531051	-2.00%	0.0004106	-24.23%	0.1463	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000514903	-2.09%	0.0004048	-23.03%	0.1306	✓	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000560007	-1.93%	0.0003609	-36.80%	0.3046	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000570398	-1.99%	0.0004058	-30.27%	0.2176	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000538051	-2.17%	0.0004472	-18.69%	0.2128	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000587916	-2.13%	0.0005101	-15.08%	0.1981	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000636478	-2.22%	0.000523	-19.65%	0.2914	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000542402	-2.23%	0.0005419	-2.33%	0.1105	✓	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000568041	-2.21%	0.0005259	-9.47%	0.1769	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.00056589	-2.25%	0.000571	-1.36%	0.1142	✓	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000640748	-2.19%	0.000582	-11.16%	0.1315	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000673207	-2.31%	0.00055	-20.19%	0.1439	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.00065131	-2.40%	0.0006007	-9.98%	0.0672	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000613129	-2.43%	0.0006509	+3.58%	0.0647	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000612087	-2.47%	0.0005548	-11.60%	0.1105	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000574506	-2.38%	0.0005809	-1.29%	0.0388	✓	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000560283	-2.13%	0.0005789	+1.12%	0.0498	✓	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000605876	-2.36%	0.0006551	+5.58%	0.0398	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000588585	-1.98%	0.0006891	+14.75%	0.0126	✓	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000603088	-2.02%	0.0006673	+8.42%	0.0227	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000579055	-1.66%	0.0006284	+6.73%	0.0294	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000617985	-1.55%	0.0006276	-0.02%	0.0333	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000605288	-1.15%	0.0005885	-3.89%	0.0571	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000585499	-1.05%	0.0005725	-3.24%	0.0204	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000610505	-0.78%	0.0006205	+0.85%	0.0077	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000675271	-0.94%	0.0006005	-11.91%	0.0844	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000678094	-0.72%	0.0006155	-9.88%	0.0796	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000686954	-0.40%	0.0005888	-14.63%	0.1422	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000705182	-0.06%	0.0006277	-11.04%	0.0977	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000620153	+0.77%	0.0006123	-0.50%	0.0514	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000628485	+0.64%	0.0005917	-5.25%	0.0919	✗	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000745186	+0.67%	0.0006153	-16.87%	0.1822	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000824595	+1.30%	0.0006817	-16.25%	0.2383	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000891013	+0.68%	0.000683	-22.82%	0.2763	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001036	-0.68%	0.0006897	-33.87%	0.3651	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001025	-0.29%	0.0007056	-31.36%	0.3263	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001085	-1.17%	0.0006154	-43.95%	0.4127	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001208	-1.58%	0.0006245	-49.10%	0.5316	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001302	-1.49%	0.0007402	-44.01%	0.4603	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001325	-1.50%	0.000814	-39.48%	0.3932	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001294	-1.50%	0.000885	-32.65%	0.3314	✓	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001414	-1.47%	0.001043	-27.32%	0.3260	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001459	-1.47%	0.001028	-30.59%	0.3709	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001479	-1.40%	0.001098	-26.80%	0.3079	✓	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001556	-1.39%	0.001227	-22.24%	0.2060	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001571	-1.48%	0.001322	-17.12%	0.2039	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001559	-1.61%	0.001345	-15.09%	0.2560	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001513	-1.52%	0.001314	-14.45%	0.1417	✓	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001533	-1.54%	0.001435	-7.84%	0.0230	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001509	-1.57%	0.001481	-3.39%	0.0241	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001572	-1.63%	0.0015	-6.13%	0.0678	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.00159	-1.71%	0.001578	-2.47%	0.0881	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001596	-1.77%	0.001595	-1.85%	0.1136	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001492	-1.72%	0.001584	+4.35%	0.1184	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001453	-1.61%	0.001536	+3.99%	0.0468	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001558	-1.70%	0.001557	-1.77%	0.1850	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001743	-1.96%	0.001533	-13.78%	0.3030	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001668	-1.90%	0.001598	-6.00%	0.1881	✓	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.001979	-2.96%	0.001618	-20.65%	0.1712	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002245	-7.12%	0.001625	-32.77%	0.1549	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001599	-1.92%	0.001518	-6.87%	0.0540	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001641	-2.10%	0.001477	-11.87%	0.1045	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001289	-0.13%	0.001585	+22.77%	0.5411	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001487	-1.58%	0.001778	+17.67%	0.4780	✗	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001358	-1.25%	0.0017	+23.64%	0.7447	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001513	-2.46%	0.002039	+31.46%	0.6912	✗	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001445	-2.32%	0.002417	+63.42%	0.9108	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001537	-3.22%	0.00163	+2.64%	0.6243	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001633	-3.77%	0.001676	-1.24%	0.4549	✗	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001514	-2.67%	0.001291	-17.03%	0.1096	✗	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001844	-5.15%	0.001511	-22.27%	0.1469	✗	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001601	-3.17%	0.001375	-16.82%	0.0905	✓	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001746	-4.84%	0.001551	-15.48%	0.0362	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001682	-4.02%	0.001479	-15.58%	0.1845	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001588	-3.94%	0.001588	-3.93%	0.0271	✓	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002224	-7.50%	0.001697	-29.41%	0.0171	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001475	-2.94%	0.001556	+2.37%	0.3832	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001601	-3.82%	0.001944	+16.76%	0.4596	✗	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001632	-3.69%	0.001653	-2.42%	0.3125	✗	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001698	-4.18%	0.001835	+3.56%	0.3473	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001603	-3.71%	0.001752	+5.23%	0.1956	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001764	-4.51%	0.001653	-10.50%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001905	-5.05%	0.002404	+19.84%	0.2685	✗	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001748	-3.84%	0.00152	-16.39%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.00171	-3.46%	0.001665	-5.99%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.001972	-4.26%	0.001694	-17.77%	0.1355	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001498	-2.71%	0.001772	+15.06%	0.1454	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001295	-5.20%	0.001665	+21.89%	0.2103	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001821	-3.79%	0.001847	-2.43%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002203	-3.81%	0.002006	-12.40%	0.1462	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002175	-3.94%	0.001818	-19.70%	0.2199	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002587	-4.33%	0.001771	-34.50%	0.4211	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002728	-5.00%	0.00206	-28.27%	0.2986	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002524	-5.96%	0.00154	-42.62%	0.4646	✓	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004479	-6.55%	0.001366	-71.50%	1.1450	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004666	-6.93%	0.001893	-62.25%	0.8605	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.005974	-7.82%	0.00229	-64.67%	0.9017	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.004827	-7.29%	0.002264	-56.52%	0.7245	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001384	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001055	-20.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.000952386	-27.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001361	-20.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.00