DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1210

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0127

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.8891	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6829	-8.41%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.1698	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9614	-3.51%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4906	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.2263	-4.19%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.4044	-5.20%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.035	-5.22%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1212	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.0619	-10.72%	11.643	+404.14%	1.7387	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.6387	-11.54%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.5875	-12.07%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1659	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.8379	-12.15%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1869	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.1024	-11.38%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3627	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.822	-8.28%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5576	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.9189	-10.74%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1408	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	15.0382	-12.39%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0953	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.4149	-12.62%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2021	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	39.2056	-9.97%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.4430	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	82.7608	-3.16%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6397	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000373548	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000378146	-0.44%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0223	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248874	-0.25%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3663	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.00026828	-0.27%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0660	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.00030792	-0.32%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1801	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269493	-0.26%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1540	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.00028025	-0.27%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0529	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309231	-0.31%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0721	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300586	-0.30%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0387	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.00027811	-0.25%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0252	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302032	-0.29%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0721	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.0003035	-0.30%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0406	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330845	-0.35%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0786	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306533	-0.31%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0802	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325649	-0.35%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0713	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298509	-0.30%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0831	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303559	-0.31%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0015	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319881	-0.35%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313422	-0.34%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0229	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000408061	-0.62%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2457	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000365603	-0.54%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1026	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322359	-0.41%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0977	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326389	-0.46%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0012	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.00029124	-0.29%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1405	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227164	+0.20%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2679	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239212	+0.21%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0515	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207518	+0.44%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1275	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.00021338	+0.41%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0163	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214066	+0.74%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1288	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222624	+0.42%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1940	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.00026565	+0.28%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1256	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269314	+0.23%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0463	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254526	+0.37%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0217	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272768	+0.32%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0357	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309954	+0.11%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0145	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344742	-0.02%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0993	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000411708	-0.43%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0918	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000352027	-0.08%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1601	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345439	+0.04%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0049	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345956	+0.13%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0315	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392803	-0.08%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0857	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.00041013	-0.11%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0356	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404739	-0.02%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0142	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000361415	+0.14%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1117	✓	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000406255	+0.11%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1387	✗	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446372	-0.19%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0159	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.00050831	-0.35%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1073	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521152	-0.35%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0052	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000539964	-0.36%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0249	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524033	-0.35%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0350	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000568906	-0.37%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0551	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579808	-0.38%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0413	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548013	-0.36%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0238	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000598383	-0.39%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0908	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000648113	-0.43%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0862	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000552793	-0.36%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1666	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000578731	-0.37%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0307	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000576743	-0.37%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0129	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652351	-0.42%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0664	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000685892	-0.47%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0428	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000664156	-0.47%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0146	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.00062554	-0.46%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0451	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000624722	-0.46%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0082	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586212	-0.39%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0415	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000570806	-0.30%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0031	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618079	-0.39%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0560	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000598886	-0.27%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0070	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000613784	-0.28%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0048	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000587851	-0.16%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0446	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000626683	-0.16%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0718	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000611945	-0.06%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0231	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000591609	-0.02%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0427	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615471	+0.03%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0439	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681493	-0.03%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0765	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683125	+0.02%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0002	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690227	+0.08%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0178	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706544	+0.13%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0295	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.00061727	+0.30%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0745	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.00062638	+0.30%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0006	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742311	+0.29%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1365	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000816911	+0.36%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1310	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000887407	+0.27%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0468	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001043	+0.01%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1194	✗	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001029	+0.10%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0140	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001097	-0.08%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0170	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001224	-0.25%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1193	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001318	-0.27%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0580	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001341	-0.26%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0582	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001311	-0.24%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0203	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001431	-0.26%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1105	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001477	-0.27%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0272	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.27%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0523	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001573	-0.30%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0174	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.00159	-0.30%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0559	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001579	-0.30%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1146	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001532	-0.29%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1483	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001552	-0.30%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0020	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001528	-0.30%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0205	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001593	-0.32%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0271	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001613	-0.33%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0322	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.00162	-0.33%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0905	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001514	-0.29%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0986	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001473	-0.24%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0125	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001581	-0.26%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1331	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001772	-0.34%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0996	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001695	-0.32%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0944	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002027	-0.61%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0232	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002374	-1.77%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1095	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001624	-0.36%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3757	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001669	-0.42%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0338	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001292	+0.08%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.2999	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001507	-0.25%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1860	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001373	-0.11%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2900	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001545	-0.41%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0415	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001474	-0.34%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1024	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001579	-0.54%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0489	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001686	-0.67%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1091	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.00155	-0.39%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0013	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001924	-1.02%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1746	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001645	-0.49%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0953	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001819	-0.90%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0000	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.00174	-0.68%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0340	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001643	-0.62%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3079	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.00236	-1.84%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1851	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001515	-0.33%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4420	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001656	-0.54%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1061	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001685	-0.51%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0634	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001761	-0.63%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0352	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001657	-0.48%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0929	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001834	-0.72%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001988	-0.89%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0696	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001808	-0.53%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001763	-0.43%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0249	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002047	-0.64%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1531	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001536	-0.23%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2700	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001358	-0.62%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1333	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001885	-0.42%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3019	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002279	-0.46%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2030	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002254	-0.46%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002688	-0.58%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1788	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002851	-0.72%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.00266	-0.88%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.00473	-1.31%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5464	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004942	-1.44%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006366	-1.77%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2405	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005122	-1.62%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1972	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001511	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.00127	-4.04%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1753	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001244	-5.71%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001652	-4.05%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2227	✓	1.00