DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1218

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0135

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.2607	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.1313	-12.10%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.1982	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.6603	-9.64%	1.287	-29.96%	0.2677	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9239	-4.73%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4779	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.1469	-6.55%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.275	-8.80%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	10.7581	-7.60%	3.591	-69.16%	1.0958	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	1.9641	-14.96%	11.643	+404.14%	1.7873	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.5323	-15.11%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.0989	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.481	-14.68%	2.983	-26.89%	0.1357	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	4.7023	-14.61%	4.08	-25.91%	0.1584	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.0435	-12.03%	5.507	-39.77%	0.3554	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	15.7271	-8.83%	9.143	-47.00%	0.5516	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	14.8343	-11.25%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.1465	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	15.0018	-12.60%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	21.9534	-10.43%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2269	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	41.7127	-4.21%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5050	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	84.1601	-1.52%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6564	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000372251	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376678	-0.82%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0262	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000248905	-0.24%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3662	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268249	-0.28%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0659	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307857	-0.34%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1799	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269585	-0.23%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1536	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280389	-0.22%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0534	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309166	-0.33%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0719	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300571	-0.31%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0387	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278468	-0.12%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0239	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302271	-0.21%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0729	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303593	-0.27%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0403	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330753	-0.38%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0783	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000306655	-0.27%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0798	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325716	-0.33%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0715	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298843	-0.19%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0820	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303854	-0.21%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0006	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000320046	-0.30%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0294	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000313675	-0.26%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0221	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000405192	-1.32%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2387	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000364972	-0.71%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1043	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322744	-0.30%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0965	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326741	-0.35%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0002	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291736	-0.12%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1388	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227208	+0.22%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2677	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239254	+0.23%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0516	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207517	+0.44%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1275	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.00021347	+0.46%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0167	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000213842	+0.63%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1278	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222799	+0.50%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1932	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265837	+0.35%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1263	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269515	+0.30%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0455	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254775	+0.46%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0207	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273023	+0.41%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0366	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309958	+0.12%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0145	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000344803	+0.00%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0995	✗	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000412012	-0.36%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0925	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000351669	-0.18%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1612	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.00034501	-0.08%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0062	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345664	+0.05%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0307	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392369	-0.19%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0846	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.00040972	-0.21%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0346	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000404103	-0.17%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0158	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360815	-0.02%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1134	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000405577	-0.05%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1371	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446257	-0.21%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0157	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000508664	-0.28%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1080	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000521404	-0.31%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0047	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000540147	-0.32%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0252	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.00052429	-0.31%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0345	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000568971	-0.36%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0552	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579939	-0.35%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0416	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000548523	-0.27%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0248	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000598804	-0.32%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0915	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000648409	-0.38%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0866	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000553431	-0.25%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1654	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000579339	-0.27%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0318	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000577393	-0.26%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0117	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652707	-0.37%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0670	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000686185	-0.42%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0432	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000664683	-0.39%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0154	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000626287	-0.34%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0439	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000625553	-0.33%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0095	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000587099	-0.24%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0400	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000571578	-0.16%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0018	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000619012	-0.24%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0575	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000599609	-0.15%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0058	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000614471	-0.17%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0060	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588342	-0.08%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0438	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.00062709	-0.10%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0725	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612215	-0.01%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0227	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.00059211	+0.07%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0418	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615804	+0.08%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0444	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681412	-0.04%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0764	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683018	+0.00%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0001	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690104	+0.06%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0176	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706311	+0.10%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0292	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617942	+0.41%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0734	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627248	+0.44%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0019	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.000742197	+0.27%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1363	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.00081618	+0.27%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1301	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000886075	+0.12%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0453	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001042	-0.13%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1180	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001027	-0.08%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0158	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001096	-0.17%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0161	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001224	-0.21%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1197	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.26%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0582	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001342	-0.22%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0586	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001312	-0.19%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0198	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001432	-0.22%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1109	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001478	-0.23%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0275	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.27%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0523	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001573	-0.33%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0171	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.00159	-0.32%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0557	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.00158	-0.23%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1153	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001532	-0.26%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1480	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001553	-0.27%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0017	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001529	-0.25%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0201	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001593	-0.30%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0273	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001613	-0.29%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0326	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001621	-0.22%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0916	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001516	-0.11%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0968	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001477	+0.02%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0152	✗	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001585	+0.03%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1361	✗	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001774	-0.21%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.1008	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001698	-0.12%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0923	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002018	-1.01%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0192	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002363	-2.23%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1048	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001627	-0.19%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3740	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001671	-0.30%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0327	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001293	+0.17%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.2991	✓	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001511	+0.00%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1885	✗	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001375	+0.01%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2888	✓	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001548	-0.20%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0436	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001477	-0.14%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1004	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001584	-0.28%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0462	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001691	-0.34%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1124	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001554	-0.14%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0038	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001932	-0.61%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1787	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.00165	-0.18%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0921	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001827	-0.45%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0046	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001747	-0.28%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0380	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001649	-0.26%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3044	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.00236	-1.82%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1853	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001517	-0.18%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4404	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.00166	-0.27%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1088	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.00169	-0.25%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0659	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001766	-0.34%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0323	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001661	-0.25%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0906	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001839	-0.42%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0891	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001994	-0.60%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001812	-0.33%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0762	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001767	-0.24%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.00205	-0.51%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001541	+0.09%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2667	✓	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001368	+0.13%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1257	✓	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.00189	-0.17%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002282	-0.35%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.2041	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002256	-0.34%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002689	-0.55%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1791	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002854	-0.64%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002667	-0.62%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.0977	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004735	-1.20%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5476	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004951	-1.26%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006372	-1.68%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2415	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.00513	-1.48%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1957	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001528	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001293	-2.31%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1574	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001268	-3.85%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001693	-1.71%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2468	✓	1.00