DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s1

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0207

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.3182	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3416	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.0711	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.0181	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.9785	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.3338	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.7261	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.724	-2.66%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0727	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.9777	-2.37%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0785	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.9234	-2.50%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0937	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.307	-2.27%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1040	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5176	-2.21%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1219	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.0605	-2.43%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1356	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.9549	-2.44%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1185	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.5676	-2.88%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0680	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.744	-3.33%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0587	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.905	-3.39%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0554	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8292	-2.86%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0406	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8131	-2.64%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0361	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7706	-2.65%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0020	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.6953	-2.62%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0113	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9058	-2.87%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0128	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.6483	-2.58%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0216	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.3922	-2.38%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0422	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0497	-2.53%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0024	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8136	-2.51%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0237	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.2799	-2.37%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0509	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7493	-2.84%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0191	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.6493	-3.42%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0514	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.0393	-3.68%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0301	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.4758	-2.76%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0481	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.7626	-3.12%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0670	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.8994	-3.45%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0468	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.0859	-3.68%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.2209	-3.75%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0356	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.2666	-2.67%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0945	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4557	-2.01%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1479	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.2874	-2.42%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0218	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.9631	-2.26%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0391	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.7494	-1.93%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0679	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.5916	-1.77%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0934	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2908	-1.72%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0991	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.1679	-1.89%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0099	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.8607	-2.87%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1064	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5623	-1.44%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0790	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.2903	-1.86%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0364	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.6436	-1.56%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0506	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4283	-0.83%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0512	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.4427	+1.04%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1216	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.8464	-0.72%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1631	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2786	-0.74%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1834	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5515	+0.05%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0758	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0947	+0.20%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1347	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3316	+0.55%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0862	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1979	+0.49%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0717	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1707	+1.71%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0185	+1.21%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0143	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7926	+0.93%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0547	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9514	+0.72%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0462	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2303	-0.15%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0108	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9112	-0.53%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0109	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.9932	-0.09%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0895	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8159	-1.16%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0829	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.737	-1.61%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0439	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4903	-1.90%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0274	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8345	-2.01%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0538	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7228	-2.05%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0296	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.7899	-2.05%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0418	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7266	-2.03%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1269	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.8959	-2.01%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1436	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.9984	-2.02%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.0996	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6906	-2.27%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.0992	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4902	-2.29%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0429	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6381	-2.42%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0210	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4904	-2.40%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0056	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4633	-2.27%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2382	-2.17%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0059	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6898	-2.21%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0160	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0656	-2.38%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.952	-2.40%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0206	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9024	-2.48%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0186	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7489	-2.70%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0321	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.7649	-2.99%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0356	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.1862	-3.09%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0451	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4051	-2.10%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1183	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.351	-1.99%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1617	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9884	-1.74%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1922	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4828	-1.73%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1691	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4013	-1.55%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1623	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4345	-1.37%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1595	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8465	-1.23%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1433	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3332	-1.10%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0253	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4857	-0.90%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0366	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6056	-0.97%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0970	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5943	-0.99%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0848	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5739	-1.12%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0748	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4187	-1.31%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0716	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.072	-1.98%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1056	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.1667	-2.48%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0750	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.3646	-2.90%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0819	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1631	-2.80%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0056	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9409	-2.10%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0499	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0825	-1.52%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1232	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9969	-1.46%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1381	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8489	-1.48%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1980	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8053	-1.51%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1877	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.844	-1.53%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2148	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0387	-1.58%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1504	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9669	-1.60%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1041	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1001	-1.63%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0038	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2882	-1.70%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0350	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9939	-1.69%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0231	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.76	-1.65%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0143	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5613	-1.56%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0290	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0866	-1.72%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0424	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9125	-1.74%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0364	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2624	-1.97%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0420	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9525	-2.18%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0125	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6822	-2.54%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0214	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8522	-2.68%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0674	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9372	-2.15%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0425	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2514	-2.27%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0578	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.1755	-2.25%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0489	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5823	-2.45%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0610	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3337	-2.44%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2041	-2.39%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0298	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.7152	-2.70%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.03	-2.91%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2758	-3.11%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.3941	-3.26%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.8491	-3.21%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.668	-3.03%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.7985	-3.07%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5809	-2.12%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7059	-2.14%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.9199	-2.86%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.0104	-3.00%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.1031	-1.52%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9547	-1.22%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0338	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.6755	-3.62%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.8752	-4.35%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1180	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.0671	-4.60%	11.962	-18.88%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.9188	-4.45%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0724	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.2993	-4.39%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0612	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.