DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s1

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

56.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1079

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0487

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.1438	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.6644	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.4841	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.4217	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.4319	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.7874	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.1588	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	14.9581	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.1954	-7.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.1517	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.5672	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.6468	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.1147	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.0405	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.5747	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	16.8964	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.0895	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	16.9394	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	16.9644	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	16.9025	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	16.8882	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.1188	-7.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.8909	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.6642	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.1871	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.0113	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.5772	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.0626	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.1461	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.5967	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.0984	-4.86%	15.295	-14.89%	0.0879	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.3218	-5.67%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1191	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.5904	-5.21%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1399	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.8184	-5.19%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1631	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.8801	-5.77%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1505	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.9446	-4.73%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0697	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.1098	-4.35%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0008	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.9503	-4.44%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0191	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.5852	-4.57%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0104	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4838	-3.58%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0110	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4456	-2.69%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0154	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.1783	-2.44%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0455	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.2578	-1.35%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0337	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.9979	-2.08%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0075	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.7355	-0.34%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0999	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.5923	-0.04%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0539	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.9488	+0.36%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0967	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4615	-0.62%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1119	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.2832	-0.08%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2146	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.7991	-1.06%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2022	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.347	-0.26%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1549	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.6495	+0.72%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1766	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0625	-0.03%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1902	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3828	+0.91%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1593	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2732	+1.02%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1913	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.3009	+2.65%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2009	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.2423	+2.83%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1625	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.1082	+3.24%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1957	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.4038	+3.99%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1808	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.6429	+2.75%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1549	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.1475	+1.16%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1365	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.2254	+1.69%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2361	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.4081	-4.57%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3360	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.262	-5.59%	17.739	+48.71%	0.3112	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.021	-5.90%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2530	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.3305	-6.19%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1522	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.2507	-6.00%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0757	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.3419	-5.77%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1586	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.2878	-5.70%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1597	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.4687	-5.53%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1283	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.5696	-5.52%	15.873	+29.62%	0.1083	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.1402	-6.51%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0513	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	11.9328	-6.65%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.1078	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.0452	-7.00%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1633	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	11.9337	-6.75%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0702	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	11.9849	-6.02%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0992	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.8028	-5.65%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0684	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.204	-5.96%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0220	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.5112	-6.52%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1211	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.4311	-6.33%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.0957	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.4585	-5.83%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0677	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.4009	-5.35%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0807	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.4527	-5.36%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1049	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.7891	-6.00%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0942	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.0496	-5.15%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0519	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.9308	-5.61%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0179	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.4981	-6.12%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0670	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	10.9594	-6.21%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0442	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	10.9172	-5.73%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0400	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	10.9508	-5.54%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0776	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.2864	-5.90%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0528	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.7252	-5.97%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0565	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	11.8909	-5.62%	11.955	-5.11%	0.0824	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.0172	-5.59%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0662	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.0935	-4.93%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0320	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.1712	-4.28%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0029	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.0737	-4.06%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0074	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.7588	-4.33%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0466	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.9172	-4.33%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0493	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.0861	-4.93%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0511	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.9005	-4.89%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0129	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.568	-5.16%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1185	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.6537	-5.33%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1803	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.5314	-5.63%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1968	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.4162	-5.41%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1817	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.3696	-5.48%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1693	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.38	-5.74%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1732	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.5243	-6.17%	12.977	+15.70%	0.2010	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.4771	-5.99%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2383	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.6239	-5.85%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.2169	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	10.8062	-5.90%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1879	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.5267	-5.86%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.2001	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.3187	-5.68%	13.158	+20.27%	0.2009	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.1606	-5.30%	13.606	+26.82%	0.2015	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.652	-5.58%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0370	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.5491	-5.01%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0323	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	10.9195	-4.95%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0284	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.7108	-4.34%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0148	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.5178	-4.03%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0347	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.4451	-6.03%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0245	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.5432	-5.67%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0947	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.8212	-6.00%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1121	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.7145	-6.28%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1165	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.0891	-6.60%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1226	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.8461	-6.64%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1405	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.7459	-6.39%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1383	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.2435	-6.62%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1212	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.5762	-6.57%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1700	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.8201	-6.71%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1569	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.8063	-7.85%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1644	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.1938	-8.56%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1456	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.0197	-8.41%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0984	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.1752	-8.19%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	10.9218	-7.69%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0211	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.097	-7.23%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.412	-7.00%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.5551	-6.68%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.5146	-6.31%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0768	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.3636	-6.10%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.2158	-7.12%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.2996	-8.32%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1228	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.4104	-9.06%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1009	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.081	-9.82%	10.94	-29.93%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.4229	-9.87%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0670	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.