BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
16.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2864
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0462
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9716 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9105 | -6.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.84 | -6.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2607 | -6.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2738 | -6.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8005 | -6.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7049 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2002 | -7.57% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0253 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9199 | -8.07% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0596 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6225 | -7.26% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1939 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5204 | -6.48% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4335 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4888 | -6.02% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4661 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4801 | -6.04% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2457 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3147 | -5.60% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3313 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2239 | -5.67% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6341 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1448 | -5.66% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5578 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1611 | -5.88% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3377 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1722 | -5.91% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2757 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.97547 | -6.00% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4461 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3044 | -5.58% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1475 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3386 | -5.62% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0277 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2533 | -5.69% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0285 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3089 | -5.75% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0536 | -5.86% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.2079 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1536 | -5.50% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1243 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.943138 | -5.83% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.1031 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2313 | -6.39% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1245 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.900082 | -5.69% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4647 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.976974 | -5.86% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2897 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.851172 | -5.19% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5197 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.76644 | -4.28% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.712755 | -4.59% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4982 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.580384 | -1.68% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.616479 | -2.18% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.686916 | -4.58% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2288 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.712042 | -5.09% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.669317 | -5.07% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.565347 | -2.96% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.690402 | -6.00% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.537785 | -2.27% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.499488 | -1.83% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1861 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.48998 | -2.01% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.445628 | -1.21% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.432484 | -1.20% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.445341 | -1.27% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.442878 | -1.01% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5509 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.446265 | -1.31% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2423 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.449153 | -1.62% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.447541 | -1.51% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1709 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.478791 | -2.21% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 1.00 |