BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1148
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0131
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0743 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0121 | -1.52% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0405 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9365 | -1.52% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0737 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.374 | -1.70% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1915 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3908 | -1.95% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0218 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8934 | -1.79% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2507 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7863 | -1.67% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0649 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3203 | -2.52% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2352 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0344 | -2.58% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1324 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7143 | -2.02% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2216 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5992 | -1.63% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0558 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5614 | -1.44% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0538 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5522 | -1.46% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0269 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3747 | -1.30% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1520 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2806 | -1.31% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0552 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1981 | -1.27% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0395 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2168 | -1.37% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0064 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2286 | -1.38% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0095 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0252 | -1.20% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2314 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3629 | -1.35% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2677 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3979 | -1.44% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0190 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3091 | -1.49% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1082 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3666 | -1.59% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0298 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.102 | -1.54% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2353 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2021 | -1.52% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0952 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.985616 | -1.59% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2150 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2884 | -2.05% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2444 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.939157 | -1.60% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3305 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0198 | -1.73% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0662 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.884413 | -1.49% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1813 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.790521 | -1.27% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.73783 | -1.23% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.588051 | -0.38% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.626929 | -0.52% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.711197 | -1.21% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1785 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.738978 | -1.50% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0288 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.694057 | -1.56% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.577064 | -0.95% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.719716 | -2.01% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.546596 | -0.67% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3014 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.506032 | -0.54% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0832 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.497023 | -0.61% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.44947 | -0.36% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.436121 | -0.37% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.449032 | -0.45% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.445534 | -0.42% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.449827 | -0.52% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.453612 | -0.64% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.451289 | -0.68% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.48631 | -0.67% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |