BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 594

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

191

of 198 predictions shown

direction hit

49.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1409

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0194

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.054285	0.053494	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.054325	0.053641	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049575	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046924	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048368	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.05241	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055273	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044356	-0.55%	0.054285	+21.72%	0.1793	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04371	-0.24%	0.054325	+23.99%	0.1908	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047638	-0.47%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0525	✗	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054417	-0.53%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1398	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065412	-1.24%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2793	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067132	-1.34%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2226	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067597	-1.35%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1795	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065227	-1.12%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3838	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066663	-1.23%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4060	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066378	-1.12%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3049	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061583	-0.94%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0822	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.061849	-0.91%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0949	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061257	-0.99%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1225	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062255	-0.93%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1147	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064599	-0.96%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0508	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065486	-1.02%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0327	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066235	-0.99%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0003	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066537	-0.97%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0883	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070199	-1.07%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1304	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070334	-1.13%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1303	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068485	-1.05%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0885	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066268	-0.93%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0186	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063133	-0.81%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0518	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068561	-0.53%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0075	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067921	-0.38%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0147	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065421	-1.09%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0551	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064815	-1.06%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0677	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064491	-1.06%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0465	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061928	-0.85%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0201	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060999	-0.69%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0165	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062708	-0.78%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0417	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.062207	-0.70%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0497	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061549	-0.46%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0491	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.06372	-0.48%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0063	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.064045	-0.31%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0030	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060693	+0.17%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0297	✓	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.062114	+0.30%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0004	✓	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067729	+0.09%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0502	✗	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067726	+0.42%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.0719	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.067887	+0.72%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.0702	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.069357	+0.88%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.0625	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.069519	+1.26%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.0610	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.070731	+1.58%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1214	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.068351	+1.61%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.1053	✗	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.068693	+1.82%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0224	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.06992	+2.26%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0390	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.069393	+2.29%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0472	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.072233	+2.31%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0598	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.073281	+2.52%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0774	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.07501	+2.39%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0808	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.07389	+2.32%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0829	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.070343	+1.93%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0346	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.073456	+1.63%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0691	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074449	+1.36%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0925	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.075198	+1.02%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0714	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.091566	+0.70%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2448	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082512	-1.98%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1547	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.077654	-3.83%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1343	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.076025	-3.74%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.1947	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.07478	-3.41%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1417	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.075247	-3.51%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1419	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.076827	-3.69%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1423	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.072962	-2.83%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.0977	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.073255	-2.81%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0608	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.074384	-2.82%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0231	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.074689	-2.57%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0444	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.075421	-2.48%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0198	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.07255	-2.03%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.0948	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.07551	-2.21%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0758	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.076251	-2.10%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0061	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.081939	-2.73%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0734	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.078662	-2.29%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0130	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.075179	-2.00%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0254	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.074992	-1.95%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0258	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.074406	-1.93%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0192	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.073788	-1.87%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0235	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.077198	-2.33%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0121	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.077749	-2.22%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0850	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.078417	-2.22%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0191	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.077854	-1.71%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0167	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078085	-1.55%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0185	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.085156	-2.16%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.0997	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.083078	-1.78%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0872	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.082971	-1.71%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0384	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075278	-0.86%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0577	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.083082	-1.39%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0164	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.084278	-1.33%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0383	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.084605	-1.43%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0536	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.088485	-1.96%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0217	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.090078	-2.22%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0570	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.089659	-2.25%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0627	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.089227	-2.31%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.1803	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.08744	-2.27%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0516	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.085375	-2.30%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0186	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.091619	-3.28%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1133	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.098575	-3.53%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1027	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.095165	-3.19%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0493	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.100506	-3.32%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.0880	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.107351	-3.65%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1709	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.08476	-2.64%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0202	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.082956	-2.45%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0305	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.09217	-2.83%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0493	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.08972	-2.86%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1279	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.089263	-3.00%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.0867	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.091834	-3.29%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.1015	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.097301	-3.88%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.1106	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.122102	-6.46%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.3801	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.095858	-4.33%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.1918	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.078854	-2.94%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.1167	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.07814	-3.11%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.1090	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.073081	-2.40%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1850	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066003	-1.50%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3273	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.06976	-1.87%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3459	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.080618	-3.36%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.4956	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.094919	-4.59%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.1012	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.09031	-4.18%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0608	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.089545	-4.51%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0594	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.084629	-4.32%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0692	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.092089	-5.87%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2722	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.089458	-6.16%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.1880	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.074787	-3.87%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1636	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073241	-3.80%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3531	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.074745	-4.87%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2677	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.069435	-2.96%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3380	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.067485	-2.34%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2736	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.071529	-4.53%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.3142	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.070146	-4.07%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.3177	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062299	-0.89%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1814	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063904	-1.15%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1225	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.063943	-1.23%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1627	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.068214	-2.73%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0155	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065679	-1.09%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0038	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.06232	+0.29%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1509	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062814	-0.34%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1553	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.068777	-1.96%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0540	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064386	-0.91%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0878	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.069529	-2.42%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0570	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069727	-2.27%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1745	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.074369	-3.38%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0996	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.073844	-3.28%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0306	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.06059	-0.49%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.2029	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.061839	-0.60%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.2984	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.061796	-0.61%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.2060	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.067955	-1.16%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1372	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.067863	-0.93%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.1009	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.07139	-0.92%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1185	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070657	-0.62%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1088	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.08232	-2.00%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2551	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.075697	-1.24%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1594	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.070195	-0.81%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1109	✓	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.070965	-0.73%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0350	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.069966	-0.67%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0163	✓	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075197	-0.78%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0272	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074593	-0.42%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0076	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.086232	-0.79%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0011	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.087934	-1.01%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1223	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.107332	-2.88%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.4000	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.102407	-2.22%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3323	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.096782	-1.50%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2869	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.094789	-1.54%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.2079	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.08919	-0.99%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1676	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.090793	-1.26%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0500	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.088128	+0.09%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0242	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.090142	-0.42%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2070	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.093434	-1.36%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.0993	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.096674	-2.31%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0147	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.112101	-3.69%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1670	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.106498	-3.34%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1820	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.108643	-3.32%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.1973	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.125094	-3.69%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4008	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.132903	-4.02%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4425	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.131238	-4.18%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3577	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.128622	-3.88%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2607	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.129218	-4.05%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1177	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.118184	-3.67%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.129741	-4.48%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.110384	-3.80%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1946	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.123012	-5.85%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.1188	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.108088	-5.15%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.2172	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.083209	-3.47%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.4114	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.087448	-4.14%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.4069	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.113044	-8.28%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0771	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.139611	-15.97%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.081305	-4.95%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.3004	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.072412	-3.64%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5613	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064099	-2.44%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5565	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.058255	-2.10%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3494	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053801	-1.62%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.4924	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.052962	-1.66%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7900	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.052638	-1.78%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1036	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.060608	-2.15%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2931	✗	1.00