BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 594

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

197

of 198 predictions shown

direction hit

51.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0601

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.054285	0.05402	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-21	oos	0.054325	0.054076	-0.46%	0.054285	-0.07%	0.0019	✓	0.83
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049916	-0.42%	0.054325	+8.38%	0.0735	✗	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.047175	-0.40%	0.050125	+5.83%	0.0494	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048612	-0.46%	0.047365	-3.01%	0.0243	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052736	-0.59%	0.048835	-7.95%	0.0832	✓	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055671	-0.59%	0.05305	-5.27%	0.0470	✓	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.044456	-0.32%	0.056	+25.56%	0.2377	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.043713	-0.23%	0.0446	+1.79%	0.0140	✗	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047745	-0.25%	0.043815	-8.46%	0.0703	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054567	-0.26%	0.047865	-12.51%	0.1457	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065952	-0.43%	0.05471	-17.40%	0.1718	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067729	-0.46%	0.066235	-2.66%	0.0286	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.06819	-0.49%	0.068045	-0.70%	0.0052	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065665	-0.45%	0.068525	+3.88%	0.0355	✗	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.067173	-0.47%	0.065965	-2.26%	0.0055	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066843	-0.43%	0.06749	+0.54%	0.0302	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061949	-0.36%	0.06713	+7.98%	0.0822	✗	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.062194	-0.35%	0.06217	-0.39%	0.0066	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.061644	-0.36%	0.062415	+0.88%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062614	-0.36%	0.06187	-1.54%	0.0142	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064978	-0.38%	0.06284	-3.66%	0.0303	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065894	-0.40%	0.065225	-1.41%	0.0220	✓	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066618	-0.42%	0.06616	-1.11%	0.0063	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066914	-0.41%	0.0669	-0.43%	0.0018	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070638	-0.45%	0.06719	-5.31%	0.0436	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.07081	-0.46%	0.07096	-0.25%	0.0018	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068938	-0.40%	0.071135	+2.77%	0.0294	✗	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066637	-0.38%	0.069215	+3.48%	0.0397	✗	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063424	-0.36%	0.06689	+5.09%	0.0532	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068682	-0.35%	0.06365	-7.65%	0.0641	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.067945	-0.35%	0.068925	+1.09%	0.0175	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.06586	-0.43%	0.06818	+3.08%	0.0079	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065236	-0.42%	0.066145	+0.97%	0.0144	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064915	-0.41%	0.06551	+0.51%	0.0064	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.062239	-0.35%	0.06518	+4.35%	0.0134	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.061221	-0.32%	0.06246	+1.69%	0.0185	✗	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062988	-0.34%	0.06142	-2.82%	0.0282	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.062441	-0.33%	0.0632	+0.89%	0.0259	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061654	-0.28%	0.062645	+1.32%	0.0086	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063836	-0.30%	0.06183	-3.44%	0.0294	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.064061	-0.29%	0.06403	-0.33%	0.0008	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060494	-0.16%	0.064245	+6.03%	0.0567	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.061845	-0.14%	0.06059	-2.16%	0.0117	✓	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.067551	-0.18%	0.06193	-8.48%	0.0858	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.067357	-0.12%	0.06767	+0.34%	0.0089	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.06735	-0.08%	0.06744	+0.05%	0.0094	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.068712	-0.06%	0.067405	-1.96%	0.0226	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.068649	-0.01%	0.068755	+0.15%	0.0004	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.069638	+0.01%	0.068655	-1.40%	0.0032	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.06731	+0.06%	0.06963	+3.51%	0.0074	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.06752	+0.08%	0.06727	-0.29%	0.0031	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.068448	+0.11%	0.067465	-1.33%	0.0081	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.067912	+0.11%	0.068375	+0.79%	0.0006	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.070641	+0.06%	0.06784	-3.91%	0.0367	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.071506	+0.04%	0.0706	-1.23%	0.0154	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.073182	-0.11%	0.07148	-2.43%	0.0075	✓	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072113	-0.14%	0.07326	+1.45%	0.0079	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.068877	-0.19%	0.072215	+4.64%	0.0442	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.072075	-0.28%	0.06901	-4.52%	0.0406	✓	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.073218	-0.32%	0.072275	-1.60%	0.0216	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.074172	-0.36%	0.07345	-1.33%	0.0145	✓	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.090527	-0.44%	0.07444	-18.13%	0.1881	✓	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.083622	-0.66%	0.09093	+8.02%	0.0573	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.079957	-0.98%	0.084175	+4.25%	0.0269	✗	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.078248	-0.92%	0.080745	+2.24%	0.0034	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.076753	-0.86%	0.078975	+2.01%	0.0269	✗	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.077273	-0.91%	0.07742	-0.72%	0.0124	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.079048	-0.91%	0.077985	-2.24%	0.0119	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.074593	-0.66%	0.07977	+6.23%	0.0667	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.074879	-0.66%	0.07509	-0.38%	0.0068	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.076031	-0.66%	0.075375	-1.52%	0.0088	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.076184	-0.62%	0.07654	-0.16%	0.0059	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.076876	-0.60%	0.07666	-0.88%	0.0015	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.073691	-0.49%	0.07734	+4.44%	0.0587	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.076801	-0.54%	0.074055	-4.09%	0.0358	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.077484	-0.52%	0.077215	-0.87%	0.0037	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.083682	-0.66%	0.07789	-7.54%	0.0791	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.080052	-0.57%	0.08424	+4.63%	0.0550	✗	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.07633	-0.50%	0.08051	+4.95%	0.0471	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.076109	-0.49%	0.07671	+0.30%	0.0013	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.075506	-0.48%	0.07648	+0.80%	0.0132	✗	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.074845	-0.46%	0.07587	+0.90%	0.0060	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.078599	-0.56%	0.075195	-4.86%	0.0436	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.079089	-0.54%	0.07904	-0.60%	0.0196	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.079767	-0.53%	0.079515	-0.85%	0.0116	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078868	-0.43%	0.080195	+1.24%	0.0162	✗	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078995	-0.40%	0.07921	-0.13%	0.0012	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.086562	-0.55%	0.079315	-8.88%	0.0734	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.084185	-0.47%	0.08704	+2.91%	0.0250	✗	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.084032	-0.45%	0.08458	+0.20%	0.0048	✗	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.075716	-0.28%	0.084415	+11.17%	0.1174	✗	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.083907	-0.41%	0.07593	-9.88%	0.0910	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.085064	-0.40%	0.08425	-1.36%	0.0059	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.085472	-0.42%	0.08541	-0.50%	0.0099	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.089766	-0.54%	0.085835	-4.89%	0.0490	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.091568	-0.60%	0.09025	-2.03%	0.0131	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.091164	-0.61%	0.09212	+0.44%	0.0009	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.090768	-0.62%	0.09172	+0.42%	0.0086	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.088929	-0.61%	0.091335	+2.08%	0.0369	✗	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.086851	-0.60%	0.08947	+2.39%	0.0331	✗	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.09395	-0.82%	0.08738	-7.75%	0.1170	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.101255	-0.91%	0.094725	-7.30%	0.0435	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.097469	-0.85%	0.102185	+3.95%	0.0478	✗	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.102995	-0.93%	0.098305	-5.44%	0.0414	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.110262	-1.04%	0.10396	-6.70%	0.0737	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.086415	-0.74%	0.11142	+27.99%	0.2412	✗	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.084432	-0.71%	0.087055	+2.37%	0.0449	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.09402	-0.88%	0.08504	-10.34%	0.0919	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.091485	-0.95%	0.09485	+2.70%	0.0303	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.091079	-1.02%	0.09236	+0.37%	0.0069	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.093872	-1.15%	0.09202	-3.10%	0.0279	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.099845	-1.36%	0.09496	-6.19%	0.0655	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.127666	-2.19%	0.101225	-22.45%	0.2602	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.098794	-1.40%	0.13053	+30.27%	0.2564	✗	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.080504	-0.91%	0.1002	+23.33%	0.2492	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.079869	-0.97%	0.081245	+0.74%	0.0071	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.074327	-0.73%	0.08065	+7.71%	0.0885	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066671	-0.51%	0.074875	+11.74%	0.1171	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.070661	-0.60%	0.06701	-5.74%	0.0575	✓	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.082594	-0.99%	0.07109	-14.78%	0.1327	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.098167	-1.33%	0.08342	-16.15%	0.1442	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.093158	-1.15%	0.09949	+5.57%	0.0810	✗	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.092571	-1.28%	0.094245	+0.51%	0.0096	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.087369	-1.22%	0.09377	+6.01%	0.0827	✗	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.096156	-1.72%	0.08845	-9.59%	0.0931	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.093676	-1.74%	0.097835	+2.63%	0.0358	✗	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.076969	-1.06%	0.09533	+22.54%	0.2382	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.075317	-1.07%	0.077795	+2.18%	0.0506	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.077496	-1.37%	0.076135	-3.11%	0.0077	✓	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.070975	-0.80%	0.078575	+9.82%	0.0933	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.068646	-0.66%	0.07155	+3.55%	0.0225	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.074033	-1.18%	0.0691	-7.77%	0.0830	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.072369	-1.03%	0.07492	+2.46%	0.0350	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.06267	-0.30%	0.07312	+16.32%	0.1253	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.064417	-0.36%	0.06286	-2.77%	0.0212	✓	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.064493	-0.38%	0.06465	-0.14%	0.0217	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.069635	-0.71%	0.06474	-7.69%	0.0696	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.066169	-0.35%	0.07013	+5.62%	0.0257	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.062086	-0.09%	0.0664	+6.86%	0.0696	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062902	-0.20%	0.06214	-1.41%	0.0270	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.069773	-0.54%	0.06303	-10.15%	0.0985	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.064778	-0.31%	0.07015	+7.96%	0.1230	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.070792	-0.64%	0.06498	-8.80%	0.0152	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.070899	-0.63%	0.07125	-0.14%	0.0400	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.076265	-0.92%	0.07135	-7.31%	0.0637	✓	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.075682	-0.88%	0.076975	+0.82%	0.0109	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.060764	-0.21%	0.07635	+25.39%	0.2306	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.062071	-0.23%	0.06089	-2.13%	0.0066	✓	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.062026	-0.24%	0.062215	+0.06%	0.0274	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.068505	-0.36%	0.062175	-9.57%	0.0761	✓	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.068279	-0.32%	0.068755	+0.37%	0.0030	✓	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.071813	-0.33%	0.0685	-4.93%	0.0520	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070906	-0.27%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0018	✓	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.0835	-0.59%	0.0711	-15.36%	0.1369	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.076343	-0.40%	0.084	+9.59%	0.0948	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.07056	-0.30%	0.07665	+8.31%	0.0750	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.071287	-0.28%	0.07077	-1.01%	0.0053	✓	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.07025	-0.27%	0.07149	+1.49%	0.0227	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075561	-0.30%	0.07044	-7.06%	0.0628	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074734	-0.24%	0.07579	+1.17%	0.0245	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.086629	-0.33%	0.07491	-13.82%	0.1299	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.088493	-0.38%	0.08692	-2.15%	0.0324	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.109582	-0.85%	0.08883	-19.63%	0.2047	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.10399	-0.71%	0.11052	+5.53%	0.0678	✗	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.097717	-0.55%	0.10473	+6.58%	0.0723	✗	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.095801	-0.49%	0.09826	+2.07%	0.0160	✗	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.089775	-0.34%	0.09627	+6.87%	0.0670	✗	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.091594	-0.39%	0.09008	-2.04%	0.0178	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.08792	-0.14%	0.091955	+4.44%	0.0556	✗	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.090307	-0.24%	0.088045	-2.73%	0.0293	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.09433	-0.41%	0.09052	-4.43%	0.0496	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.098367	-0.60%	0.09472	-4.28%	0.0489	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.115316	-0.92%	0.09896	-14.98%	0.1520	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.109252	-0.84%	0.11639	+5.64%	0.0599	✗	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.111413	-0.85%	0.11018	-1.95%	0.0272	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.128609	-0.99%	0.11237	-13.49%	0.1400	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.136923	-1.12%	0.12989	-6.20%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.135324	-1.20%	0.13847	+1.10%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.132373	-1.07%	0.136965	+2.36%	0.0509	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.133145	-1.14%	0.13381	-0.64%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.121365	-1.08%	0.134675	+9.77%	0.1016	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.133934	-1.39%	0.122685	-9.67%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.113316	-1.24%	0.13582	+18.37%	0.1802	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.128108	-1.95%	0.11474	-12.18%	0.1343	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.112044	-1.68%	0.13065	+14.65%	0.1473	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.085235	-1.12%	0.11396	+32.20%	0.2632	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.089926	-1.42%	0.0862	-5.50%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.119714	-2.87%	0.09122	-25.99%	0.2540	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.157054	-5.47%	0.12325	-25.82%	0.2678	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.084235	-1.52%	0.16615	+94.25%	0.6749	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.074323	-1.09%	0.085535	+13.83%	0.1317	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.065202	-0.76%	0.075145	+14.38%	0.1455	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.05916	-0.58%	0.0657	+10.41%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.054431	-0.46%	0.059505	+8.81%	0.1215	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.053604	-0.47%	0.054685	+1.54%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.053331	-0.48%	0.053855	+0.49%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.061576	-0.59%	0.05359	-13.48%	0.1489	✓	1.00