XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s0

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +7d

assessed

114

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

48.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1820

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0207

actual -0.0468

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004238	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004246	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004268	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004286	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004223	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004417	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004435	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.00447	-2.42%	0.004312	-5.88%	0.0284	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004237	-2.35%	0.004312	-0.64%	0.0267	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.00409	-1.82%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0588	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004029	-2.22%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0805	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003947	-1.62%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0843	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003967	-1.89%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1306	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003969	-2.02%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1352	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003831	-2.23%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1791	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004076	-1.60%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0603	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004079	-1.00%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0209	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.00404	-0.93%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0182	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004385	-1.08%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0931	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003744	-1.90%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0725	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004885	-2.07%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1917	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004915	-2.04%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2330	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004899	-2.27%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1696	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004199	-1.61%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0065	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.00446	-1.79%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0753	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004389	-1.47%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0195	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004543	-1.61%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1724	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004644	-1.78%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0735	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005007	-2.13%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0044	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004373	-1.42%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1326	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004316	-0.86%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0212	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004305	-0.73%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0435	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004264	-2.47%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0580	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004449	-2.51%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0512	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004657	-2.85%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0281	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005199	-4.60%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0020	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004183	-3.71%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0772	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003733	-2.70%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.2097	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003774	-2.59%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1699	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003582	-1.75%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2128	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003055	-0.01%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4109	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003824	-1.54%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2354	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003907	-1.54%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3322	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003948	-1.53%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0900	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004779	-2.49%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2280	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004724	-2.29%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2008	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004671	-0.98%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2569	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004509	-0.44%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.3958	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004734	-0.21%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2042	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005071	+0.10%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2599	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004997	-0.36%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2164	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005006	+0.27%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0172	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004721	+1.11%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0255	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005099	+1.05%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0697	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.00518	+1.48%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1294	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005277	+1.49%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1010	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005495	+2.05%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0779	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005514	+1.79%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1008	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005347	+2.23%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0727	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005404	+2.41%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1476	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005284	+2.08%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0464	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005176	+1.76%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0092	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005061	+2.72%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0252	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005697	-1.44%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0677	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005618	-2.27%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0468	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005677	-2.45%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0993	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005744	-2.48%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.1032	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.00584	-2.50%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1412	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005844	-2.48%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1587	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005773	-2.42%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1795	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005785	-2.43%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0153	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005921	-2.43%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0388	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006317	-2.42%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0838	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006632	-2.44%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1193	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006614	-2.48%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0957	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.00629	-2.55%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0453	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006765	-2.55%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1307	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006894	-2.57%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1493	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.00712	-2.74%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1577	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006381	-2.86%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0147	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006192	-2.98%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0934	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005882	-3.10%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1428	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005767	-3.18%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1146	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005815	-3.23%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1791	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005787	-3.22%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2011	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005841	-3.13%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2259	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005672	-3.10%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1467	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005927	-3.18%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0741	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006124	-3.34%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0102	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006093	-3.50%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0247	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006047	-3.67%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0081	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005977	-3.77%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0002	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005897	-3.83%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0223	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.00609	-4.20%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0397	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.00598	-4.32%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0212	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005562	-4.12%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1321	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005555	-4.23%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1266	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005543	-4.40%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1251	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005755	-4.74%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0808	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005805	-4.94%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0591	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006106	-5.34%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005189	-4.63%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1399	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005569	-5.01%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005218	-4.84%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.00478	-4.40%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1968	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005318	-4.99%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1182	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003964	-2.88%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3931	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.00376	-2.68%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5137	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003145	-2.94%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5756	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003148	-2.89%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6193	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002896	-3.48%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6276	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002316	-5.18%	0.005	+104.73%	0.7443	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006566	-0.89%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1867	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.00716	-0.41%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5992	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006973	+0.58%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6693	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007842	-0.89%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9458	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008647	-1.57%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0479	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008843	-1.65%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1323	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009018	-1.65%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3474	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009166	-1.58%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3541	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010207	-2.34%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3337	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.