XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s0

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

67.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2471

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1122

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004115	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004092	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004114	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004052	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004263	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004286	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004322	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004093	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003927	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003881	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003774	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003802	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003806	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003671	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003892	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003879	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003836	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004221	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003542	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004692	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004724	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004691	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004001	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004263	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004188	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004337	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004432	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.00477	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004152	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004101	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004087	-5.75%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0526	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004051	-7.36%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0768	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004225	-7.42%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0355	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004428	-7.64%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0248	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004871	-10.62%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0629	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004043	-6.94%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1292	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003588	-6.50%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2798	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003611	-6.79%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1965	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003402	-6.67%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.2214	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002839	-7.10%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3836	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003616	-6.91%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.1204	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003685	-7.15%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.1090	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003713	-7.41%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0979	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004533	-7.51%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1367	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004454	-7.87%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0615	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004333	-8.15%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0381	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004179	-7.74%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0100	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004416	-6.90%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0204	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.0048	-5.27%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2188	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.00473	-5.70%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0803	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004729	-5.28%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0869	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004405	-5.66%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1451	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004803	-4.83%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1006	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.004901	-3.98%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0611	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005035	-3.15%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1033	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005388	+0.07%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1410	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005426	+0.16%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1205	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005208	-0.44%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0026	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005336	+1.13%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1661	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005173	-0.08%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1410	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.00504	-0.93%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1140	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004908	-0.38%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1056	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005656	-2.14%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2274	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005316	-7.52%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1156	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005239	-9.98%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0244	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005285	-10.28%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2108	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005373	-10.30%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3546	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005365	-10.47%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3470	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005284	-10.70%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.3902	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005283	-10.89%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.5678	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.00542	-10.69%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3535	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005842	-9.76%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4052	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006184	-9.02%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4508	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006173	-8.98%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2509	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005836	-9.58%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2098	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006358	-8.41%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3222	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.00651	-8.00%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3878	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006757	-7.69%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3767	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.005992	-8.77%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1726	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005798	-9.16%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1417	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005485	-9.62%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.0904	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.00537	-9.84%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1268	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005409	-9.99%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0570	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005401	-9.67%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0569	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.00544	-9.78%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0426	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005304	-9.39%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0199	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005526	-9.72%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0168	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005741	-9.40%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.0850	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.00571	-9.55%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0614	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.00569	-9.35%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0758	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005688	-8.41%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1030	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.00571	-6.88%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1485	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005913	-6.99%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0226	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.00574	-8.17%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0070	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.00537	-7.43%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0803	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005383	-7.20%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.0891	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005353	-7.69%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1086	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005513	-8.74%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0806	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.00559	-8.47%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0512	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.0058	-10.09%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005	-8.10%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.1755	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00532	-9.25%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.1996	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005039	-8.10%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.2972	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004637	-7.27%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3691	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005066	-9.48%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2151	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003765	-7.76%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5701	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003491	-9.64%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6917	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002202	-32.05%	0.00732	+125.94%	1.1921	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002032	-37.30%	0.006568	+102.62%	1.1657	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.001227	-59.09%	0.006383	+112.76%	1.6429	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.000401205	-83.57%	0.00607	+148.53%	2.7010	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006132	-7.43%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006673	-7.18%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1514	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006443	-7.07%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1753	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007358	-7.01%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2594	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.00821	-6.54%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4092	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008399	-6.60%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3772	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008563	-6.61%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3865	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008701	-6.57%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3948	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009783	-6.40%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4933	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.