TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1335
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0446
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.83558 | -1.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.834618 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.872949 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.880246 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.821838 | -1.89% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.860771 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.86698 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0142 | -2.79% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.2008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0011 | -2.81% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1941 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.984617 | -2.88% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0977 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.958011 | -2.96% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0637 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0507 | -3.32% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0953 | -3.65% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.2003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0184 | -3.67% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.996057 | -3.84% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0421 | -4.04% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0954 | -4.18% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0671 | -4.27% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1155 | -4.57% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1348 | -5.60% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.809316 | -3.76% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.819166 | -3.94% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2725 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.840196 | -4.32% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.951577 | -5.29% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1609 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0547 | -7.35% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.988965 | -8.89% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.856936 | -5.02% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3347 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.78396 | -4.30% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0653 | ✗ | 1.00 |