TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0659
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0114
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.871168 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.887166 | -0.46% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0144 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.895578 | -0.48% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.83447 | -0.38% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0750 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.875932 | -0.45% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0432 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.882831 | -0.46% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0036 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0366 | -0.64% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1483 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0234 | -0.64% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0071 | -0.66% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.980538 | -0.68% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0778 | -0.82% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.126 | -0.95% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0477 | -0.91% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0772 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0261 | -0.93% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.075 | -1.01% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1306 | -1.09% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1019 | -1.14% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1538 | -1.30% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1806 | -1.80% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.833389 | -0.90% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.844696 | -0.95% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.868619 | -1.09% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.9887 | -1.59% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.107 | -2.76% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0438 | -3.84% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.886635 | -1.73% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2018 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.805505 | -1.67% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1095 | ✗ | 1.00 |