SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s0
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +7d
assessed
49
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
55.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2595
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0419
actual +0.0251
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.088893 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.088686 | -2.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.089327 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.089851 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.091426 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.091459 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.092788 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.0866 | -2.36% | 0.090935 | +2.53% | 0.0880 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.087777 | -2.33% | 0.090825 | +1.06% | 0.0803 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.100779 | -2.73% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.1005 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.098277 | -2.67% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0647 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.097604 | -2.62% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0772 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.097412 | -2.65% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0724 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.096316 | -2.60% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0357 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.09644 | -2.60% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0745 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.09392 | -2.54% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0805 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.095901 | -2.50% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0243 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.082328 | -2.53% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1188 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.09043 | -2.61% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0417 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.088444 | -2.59% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0821 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.091167 | -2.68% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0369 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.092448 | -2.84% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0033 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.104997 | -2.94% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.0920 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.122708 | -3.18% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1786 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.119559 | -3.22% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.2963 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.152459 | -3.62% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4459 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.123571 | -3.39% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.3003 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.101934 | -3.31% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0745 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.100381 | -3.49% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0425 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.099976 | -3.76% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0591 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.091209 | -3.80% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.2704 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.098833 | -3.90% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1499 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.107786 | -4.72% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4688 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.113082 | -4.90% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.2057 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.113454 | -5.14% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.122202 | -5.50% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.132232 | -5.84% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3440 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.122015 | -6.01% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.3836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.145369 | -6.65% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.145124 | -7.34% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.16733 | -9.82% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.3917 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.173162 | -11.70% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.162586 | -12.55% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.126126 | -7.74% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.125247 | -8.69% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.109223 | -7.03% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3664 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.097425 | -5.33% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.075187 | -2.33% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9360 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073888 | -2.32% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0076 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071641 | -2.25% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068693 | -2.03% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068482 | -1.86% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.068262 | -1.72% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5362 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.0703 | -1.60% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.070629 | -1.44% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0659 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.073503 | -1.51% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 1.00 |