SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s0
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3017
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1187
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.086512 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.086645 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.087114 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.087438 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.088988 | -4.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.088933 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.090182 | -5.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.084328 | -4.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.085389 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.097708 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.095281 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.094757 | -5.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.094509 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.093429 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.093459 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.09124 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.093258 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.080322 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.088422 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.086322 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.08891 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.09019 | -5.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.101594 | -6.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.117085 | -7.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.114131 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.139969 | -11.52% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.117327 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.098322 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.096972 | -6.77% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.096614 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.089502 | -5.60% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0292 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.096607 | -6.06% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1215 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.102753 | -9.16% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0703 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.107343 | -9.73% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1390 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.107347 | -10.24% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1073 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.114476 | -11.47% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.122919 | -12.48% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.113393 | -12.65% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.134184 | -13.84% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.134105 | -14.37% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.156534 | -15.64% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4948 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.163756 | -16.50% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5714 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.154628 | -16.83% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.115945 | -15.18% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.115886 | -15.52% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.1979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.100244 | -14.68% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0910 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.089265 | -13.26% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.068777 | -10.66% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1340 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.068003 | -10.10% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.067146 | -8.38% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2598 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.063607 | -9.29% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2981 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.063732 | -8.67% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.3088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.064076 | -7.75% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4621 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.065908 | -7.74% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.06669 | -6.94% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5519 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.069766 | -6.52% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7370 | ✗ | 1.00 |