PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s0

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1647

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0325

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097498	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096991	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.093932	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.08484	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.08774	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.090742	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.094343	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.096708	-2.21%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0433	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.1007	-2.43%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0000	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.104364	-2.56%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0851	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.10587	-2.84%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2020	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.109586	-2.90%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2128	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.109376	-3.04%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1749	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.109278	-3.28%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1311	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.10863	-3.39%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0916	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.10896	-3.45%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0629	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.110348	-3.45%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0425	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.111163	-3.59%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0382	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.111138	-3.56%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0027	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.111896	-3.88%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0000	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.111629	-4.02%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0032	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.112765	-4.19%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0171	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.111531	-4.37%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0106	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.110863	-4.49%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0381	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.110113	-4.57%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0544	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.1166	-4.68%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0043	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.116779	-4.82%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0020	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.114895	-4.94%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0136	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.112928	-5.01%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0430	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.108207	-4.97%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0720	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.114668	-5.09%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0012	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.112173	-5.03%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0159	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.109932	-4.81%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1238	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.110939	-5.07%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.1173	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.109112	-4.48%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.1187	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.10527	-3.33%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1762	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.105864	-3.14%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1298	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.104488	-2.74%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.2131	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.109342	-3.49%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1344	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.107593	-2.72%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.1004	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113657	-3.17%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0557	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.111491	-2.63%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0503	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.107478	-1.99%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0118	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.114848	-2.57%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0667	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.122152	-2.82%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1465	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.128954	-2.71%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1353	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.125856	-1.39%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1491	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125313	-0.65%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0803	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.123557	-0.28%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0889	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129815	+0.55%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1948	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.135683	-0.63%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1374	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.14805	-0.48%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1602	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158104	-0.33%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1739	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.170801	-1.80%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.2823	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.179043	-1.81%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3453	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.183442	-1.99%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.3866	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.200323	-1.20%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4356	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20042	-1.75%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.3904	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.20795	-1.98%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3399	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.21554	-1.98%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3083	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.225532	-2.45%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2600	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.223152	-2.72%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.1979	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.245891	-2.54%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2748	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.247583	-3.59%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1704	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.303593	-4.13%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4039	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.429492	-4.15%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8857	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.374153	-4.13%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7142	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.380409	-4.33%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7003	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.337091	-4.93%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5758	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.334653	-4.59%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.4906	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.287732	-4.15%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2552	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.309356	-4.47%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0746	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.314695	-4.67%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3343	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.29128	-4.42%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2832	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.26342	-4.14%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4478	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.287599	-4.38%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2433	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.272056	-4.21%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2863	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.268339	-4.06%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1264	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.261293	-3.88%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2348	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.247242	-3.83%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2976	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.24796	-4.06%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1990	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.254155	-4.27%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0558	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.231983	-4.09%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2246	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.234832	-4.59%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1564	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.23508	-4.90%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1814	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.2036	-3.87%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2793	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.176437	-2.65%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3738	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.17544	-2.96%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3904	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.184861	-3.50%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3846	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.176039	-2.56%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3312	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.175147	-2.57%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3519	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.167899	-2.35%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3899	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.166492	-2.28%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2614	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.172592	-2.42%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0733	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.169718	-2.39%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0776	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.16835	-2.28%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1229	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.168693	-2.32%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0742	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.166441	-2.16%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0750	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.165476	-2.01%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0217	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.166031	-2.02%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0118	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.171365	-2.12%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0140	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161931	-2.02%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0376	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.167319	-2.15%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0187	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165799	-2.02%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0318	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.170272	-2.14%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0009	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.166056	-2.10%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0123	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.168436	-2.18%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0118	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.184236	-2.84%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0613	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184467	-2.91%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.0991	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168442	-2.35%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0142	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178681	-2.95%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0585	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.174256	-2.75%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0135	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163822	-2.47%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0221	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161859	-2.45%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0444	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.155374	-2.32%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1626	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.159237	-2.46%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1486	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.150739	-2.23%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1135	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.147606	-2.14%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2086	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.141255	-1.98%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2283	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.141331	-1.98%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1658	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.136139	-1.85%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.2061	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139094	-1.94%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1521	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.136111	-1.83%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1989	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.139851	-1.87%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1153	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.142032	-1.91%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0799	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.141734	-1.88%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0327	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.148122	-2.01%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0114	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.153796	-2.31%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0880	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.160638	-2.50%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1125	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.178045	-3.35%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2420	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.183132	-3.69%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2416	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.188034	-4.03%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2605	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184078	-3.96%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2422	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.18992	-4.47%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2255	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.170528	-2.99%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0858	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.174232	-3.19%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0635	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.181433	-3.94%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0106	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.172291	-3.21%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0950	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.169763	-2.11%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1396	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.171621	-1.89%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1078	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.182173	-3.25%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0872	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.199257	-3.90%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1276	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.187442	-3.77%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0382	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.189592	-4.18%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0063	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.193895	-4.63%	0.178	-12.45%	0.0958	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.193435	-4.69%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1223	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.174867	-3.77%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0173	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.171458	-3.96%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0804	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.151847	-1.31%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3103	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.157508	-1.72%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.2058	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.168751	-2.28%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1487	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.175484	-2.31%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1415	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.186876	-2.49%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0781	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.185089	-1.98%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0219	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.192811	-2.32%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0881	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.196068	-2.22%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2510	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.196857	-1.87%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2082	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.203103	-1.82%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1614	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.196868	-1.38%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0928	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.200755	-1.40%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0505	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.215613	-1.99%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1461	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.244137	-2.81%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2361	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.247052	-3.17%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2205	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.246934	-3.15%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2329	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.264231	-3.58%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2831	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.261765	-3.53%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3094	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.278074	-4.07%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3300	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.272306	-4.06%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2214	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.263523	-3.96%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0403	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.257092	-3.88%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0228	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.271202	-4.38%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0646	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.254938	-3.97%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0860	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.242634	-3.85%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1407	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.252357	-3.92%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1547	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.243029	-3.87%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1714	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.268673	-4.25%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0443	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.29884	-4.73%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0788	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.334577	-5.65%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1335	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.304831	-6.23%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1231	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.213228	-3.39%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1685	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.20132	-3.15%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2657	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.199055	-3.12%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2389	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.196298	-2.81%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3829	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.224764	-3.77%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3653	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.217537	-3.77%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4891	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.211886	-3.79%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.4085	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.183402	-3.50%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1216	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.174254	-3.22%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1514	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.234743	-5.47%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1379	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.275841	-7.20%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3524	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.174785	-3.32%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2459	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.173106	-3.51%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2380	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.169681	-3.44%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2419	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.176904	-4.47%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.165793	-3.84%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0469	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.156018	-3.55%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.4101	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.162054	-3.99%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5608	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.167203	-4.31%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.164404	-4.15%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0563	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.163439	-4.51%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.182674	-5.29%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.158168	-4.35%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.139377	-3.38%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0626	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.