PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s0

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0920

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.094931	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.094769	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.091662	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.082679	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.085325	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.08808	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.091461	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.093694	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.097119	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.100573	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.101436	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.105028	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.104462	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.103855	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.102907	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.103126	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.104502	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.104964	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.104996	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.104953	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.104281	-10.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.104929	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.103209	-11.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.102226	-11.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.10121	-12.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.107065	-12.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.106883	-12.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.104777	-13.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.102732	-13.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.098212	-13.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.104293	-13.68%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.0534	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.102016	-13.63%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.0379	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.09935	-13.98%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0256	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.100147	-14.31%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1438	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.098869	-13.45%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.0949	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.096767	-11.14%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0096	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.097856	-10.47%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0225	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.097424	-9.32%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0579	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.10102	-10.83%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0452	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.100909	-8.77%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1019	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.105866	-9.81%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0602	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.104679	-8.58%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1205	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.101852	-7.12%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1470	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.107244	-9.02%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0850	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.113081	-10.04%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0142	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.119194	-10.08%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0288	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.116705	-8.56%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0068	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.116707	-7.47%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0204	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.115099	-7.11%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0346	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.121044	-6.25%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0208	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.12626	-7.54%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0585	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.138077	-7.18%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1360	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.148306	-6.50%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2185	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.160504	-7.72%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3043	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.16988	-6.83%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3707	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.174304	-6.88%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3339	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.195409	-3.62%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4502	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.193651	-5.06%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4526	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.200301	-5.59%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.4974	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.208375	-5.23%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5832	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.215899	-6.62%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5535	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.213091	-7.11%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5590	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.238235	-5.58%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7129	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.233501	-9.08%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6591	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.282542	-10.78%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9130	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.397344	-11.33%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4486	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.346041	-11.34%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3022	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.35135	-11.64%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3607	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.310602	-12.40%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2132	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.307721	-12.27%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2126	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.266138	-11.35%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0171	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.284872	-12.03%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1287	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.288997	-12.46%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1673	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.268322	-11.95%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0395	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.243719	-11.31%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.8796	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.264594	-12.03%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9178	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.250823	-11.69%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9053	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.247422	-11.54%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9075	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.241675	-11.10%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.8957	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.229379	-10.78%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8240	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.229852	-11.06%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7246	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.235015	-11.48%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6675	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.215189	-11.03%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5394	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.217204	-11.75%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4435	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.217117	-12.16%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.3784	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.191539	-9.57%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.1981	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.170149	-6.12%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0165	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.169387	-6.31%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0010	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.178184	-6.98%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0290	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.16965	-6.09%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1440	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.168601	-6.21%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.2024	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.161998	-5.78%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2441	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.160999	-5.50%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3448	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.166813	-5.69%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3759	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.164062	-5.64%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6206	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.162987	-5.39%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0114	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.163372	-5.40%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8745	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16155	-5.04%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9120	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.160974	-4.67%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7996	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.161506	-4.69%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7938	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.166554	-4.87%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6077	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.157225	-4.87%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7093	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.162445	-5.00%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7114	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.161289	-4.68%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6351	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.165457	-4.91%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.5020	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.161454	-4.81%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6093	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.16364	-4.97%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5323	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.177169	-6.57%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4507	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.177277	-6.70%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4239	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.16353	-5.20%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4498	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.171922	-6.62%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4054	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.167882	-6.31%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4510	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.158538	-5.61%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4128	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.156582	-5.63%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4304	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.150488	-5.40%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4494	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.1541	-5.60%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2908	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.146203	-5.17%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1922	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.143415	-4.92%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2169	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.137438	-4.63%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3122	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.137489	-4.64%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2557	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.132605	-4.39%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2803	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.135465	-4.49%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2285	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.132527	-4.42%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2420	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.136077	-4.52%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2476	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.138362	-4.44%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2241	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.138177	-4.34%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2152	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.144195	-4.60%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1714	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.149528	-5.03%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1314	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.155418	-5.67%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0903	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.169149	-8.18%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0072	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.172718	-9.17%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0162	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.176101	-10.12%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0545	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.172696	-9.90%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0107	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.176426	-11.25%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0426	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.16222	-7.72%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0647	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.164947	-8.35%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0250	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.169242	-10.39%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0185	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.162358	-8.79%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1552	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.16125	-7.02%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1607	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.162504	-7.10%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0570	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.16913	-10.18%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0843	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.182802	-11.84%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0213	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.172295	-11.55%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0229	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.173208	-12.46%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0464	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.176449	-13.21%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1193	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.175696	-13.43%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.0874	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.160224	-11.83%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0586	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.156951	-12.08%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0589	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.14046	-8.72%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0238	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.145265	-9.36%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0199	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.155014	-10.23%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1421	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.161211	-10.25%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1539	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.171567	-10.48%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2339	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.170713	-9.59%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2028	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.178246	-9.70%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2471	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.182133	-9.17%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2734	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.183837	-8.36%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2371	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.191309	-7.52%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2329	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.186118	-6.77%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1553	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.191327	-6.03%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0736	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.206577	-6.10%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1357	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.233125	-7.20%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2953	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.234329	-8.15%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3143	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.234503	-8.02%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2904	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.249316	-9.02%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5307	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.247101	-8.94%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5005	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.259707	-10.40%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4585	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.254215	-10.43%	0.178	-37.29%	0.4914	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.246385	-10.20%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5073	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.24096	-9.91%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.4840	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.252395	-11.01%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4240	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.237664	-10.48%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2672	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.226322	-10.31%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2546	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.234872	-10.58%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2356	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.226335	-10.48%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1477	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.248485	-11.45%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2191	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.274799	-12.40%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4278	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.305328	-13.90%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5570	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.276464	-14.96%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6051	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.201177	-8.85%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2253	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.190523	-8.34%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.0982	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.188464	-8.27%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0479	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.187447	-7.19%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0433	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.210876	-9.72%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.203741	-9.87%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.19863	-9.81%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.173004	-8.97%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1089	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.166814	-7.35%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1994	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.216633	-12.76%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.246663	-17.02%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2302	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.166171	-8.08%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2257	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.163882	-8.66%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3382	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.160891	-8.44%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3980	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.16401	-11.44%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.3123	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.155636	-9.73%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4540	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.147177	-9.01%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4930	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.151468	-10.26%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5327	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.155268	-11.14%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4827	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.153264	-10.65%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4757	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.151143	-11.69%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.4029	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.166741	-13.55%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3721	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.146369	-11.48%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.4243	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.130447	-9.57%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.5001	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.