NIULAI

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1794

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0287

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.06083	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.0605	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.060758	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.056872	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.057701	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.058505	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.063571	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.065767	-2.39%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0851	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.067933	-2.44%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1315	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072435	-2.94%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1446	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070373	-2.34%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.1959	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.076862	-3.04%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2402	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.077794	-2.85%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2426	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.07274	-1.95%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0944	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.071985	-1.52%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0735	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.070779	-1.26%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0136	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077855	-1.54%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0031	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075885	-1.19%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0135	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081351	-1.21%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0181	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079314	-0.99%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0386	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086362	-1.36%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1208	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097591	-1.69%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2407	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.102786	-1.94%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3559	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.103038	-1.99%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2942	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.11299	-2.46%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4213	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101923	-2.03%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2462	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.10356	-2.15%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2620	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.102007	-2.20%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1595	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.098458	-2.17%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0007	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104779	-2.45%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0137	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109407	-2.60%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0004	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.10501	-2.56%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1470	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.098317	-2.74%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0020	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.10469	-2.99%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0443	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.115557	-3.40%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1583	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102822	-3.24%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1215	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097321	-3.21%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.115174	-3.79%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117468	-3.91%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1885	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112499	-3.92%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1622	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.129022	-4.38%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2288	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.120237	-4.40%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.115857	-4.55%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0839	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076131	-3.12%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3059	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097951	-4.09%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2378	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078865	-3.41%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4500	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.08759	-3.77%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3353	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.114931	-4.67%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1931	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.0811	-3.59%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4702	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092551	-3.90%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3311	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075006	-3.62%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080092	-3.92%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2295	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.097895	-4.84%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1882	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.095983	-5.42%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0869	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.05432	-1.13%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7770	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055419	-1.14%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3940	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.