NIULAI

? · · lstm_s0

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0925

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062226	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062195	-0.49%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0101	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057792	-0.27%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0579	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058626	-0.24%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0084	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059371	-0.14%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0220	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064825	-0.29%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0843	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067152	-0.34%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0208	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069405	-0.32%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0399	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.07428	-0.47%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0371	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071843	-0.30%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0138	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078867	-0.51%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0575	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079684	-0.49%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0182	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073987	-0.27%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0729	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073031	-0.09%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0012	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071634	-0.07%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0480	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07879	-0.36%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0581	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076593	-0.27%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0352	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.08206	-0.35%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0546	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.07992	-0.24%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0025	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087241	-0.35%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0890	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098856	-0.42%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1163	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104313	-0.49%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0698	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104614	-0.49%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0033	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115207	-0.55%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0944	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103518	-0.49%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1290	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105283	-0.53%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0127	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103728	-0.55%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0149	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.10008	-0.56%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0461	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106753	-0.61%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0591	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111627	-0.62%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0106	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.1071	-0.62%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0537	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100334	-0.75%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0236	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107066	-0.79%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0561	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118589	-0.86%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1007	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105344	-0.87%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0695	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099683	-0.86%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0613	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118511	-1.00%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1717	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.120966	-1.05%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.115835	-1.07%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133032	-1.40%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1216	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.123889	-1.49%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0846	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119286	-1.73%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0442	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.077966	-0.79%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4652	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.10088	-1.22%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2477	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080912	-0.90%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2410	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090017	-1.10%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0819	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118111	-2.03%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2669	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.08324	-1.05%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3685	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.094945	-1.42%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077022	-1.03%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.08218	-1.42%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0533	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.099507	-3.27%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1621	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.096117	-5.28%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054785	-0.28%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6237	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055862	-0.35%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0217	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.