MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s0

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3439

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0283

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002867	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002808	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001741	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.00187	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001731	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.00201	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002254	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002309	-4.68%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2498	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002157	-4.28%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.2982	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001968	-3.67%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0874	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002073	-3.79%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0666	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001781	-2.64%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0329	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001785	-2.43%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1873	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001805	-2.34%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2873	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002044	-2.90%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1621	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002326	-3.55%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0020	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002298	-3.43%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0698	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002752	-4.35%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1673	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002263	-2.73%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1514	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001677	-2.38%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1177	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001639	-2.68%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1532	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001636	-3.07%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3069	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002353	-1.53%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0304	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003045	-1.60%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2844	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003557	-2.16%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2580	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003591	-2.16%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4579	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004415	-3.27%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9477	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004764	-3.60%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0444	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004365	-2.90%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9555	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004456	-2.86%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6131	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004695	-3.04%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3867	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.00517	-3.33%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3152	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.00435	-2.57%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2099	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004154	-2.69%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0557	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005458	-2.60%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1384	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005375	-2.44%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2788	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004197	-3.39%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005772	-2.53%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3072	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008361	-2.18%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5491	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006114	-2.74%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3696	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008243	-1.92%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7081	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006151	-3.31%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008255	-2.35%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.4019	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010303	-1.74%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8359	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017584	-1.52%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0511	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017746	-1.44%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7189	✓	1.00