MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s0

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.9981

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.3098

actual -1.3000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001859	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001715	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001857	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001692	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001996	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002219	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002264	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002126	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001922	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002024	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001672	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001664	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001674	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001934	-8.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002205	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002146	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002535	-11.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002033	-12.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001092	-36.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.000865731	-48.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.000696351	-58.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.001994	-16.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002773	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.00328	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003258	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004106	-10.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004451	-9.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003939	-12.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003969	-13.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004107	-15.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004522	-15.44%	0.001936	-63.80%	0.8023	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003414	-23.54%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.6621	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.002822	-33.89%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.3812	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004465	-20.31%	0.001786	-68.12%	0.9302	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.004349	-21.06%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.7946	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.002079	-52.13%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.004319	-27.07%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.6609	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007739	-9.45%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.2765	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.003716	-40.88%	0.002043	-67.50%	0.6772	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007265	-13.56%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.2718	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.002375	-62.67%	0.001829	-71.24%	0.3413	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.006486	-23.27%	0.001829	-78.36%	1.3459	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009028	-13.89%	0.001849	-82.37%	1.6390	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.01691	-5.29%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.1241	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017015	-5.50%	0.002412	-86.60%	2.0052	✓	1.00