MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s0

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

68.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0829

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0104

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042129	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042581	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043289	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043081	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044535	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.04603	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044726	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044967	-1.63%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0687	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043701	-1.60%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043002	-1.51%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0222	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045947	-1.68%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0157	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042426	-1.40%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0930	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040915	-1.34%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1541	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040491	-1.28%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1086	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043754	-1.33%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0739	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045699	-1.17%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0135	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049292	-1.50%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0513	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048534	-1.26%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0107	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049113	-1.72%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0999	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045573	-1.61%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0597	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048892	-2.48%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1202	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041185	-1.40%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0787	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041401	-1.38%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0779	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041619	-1.39%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1454	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04335	-1.25%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0912	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044247	-1.30%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1162	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045847	-1.46%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0032	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044328	-1.30%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1151	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043077	-1.27%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0165	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.04605	-1.06%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0480	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044858	-0.92%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0048	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042282	-1.65%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0250	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041689	-1.64%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0125	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040203	-1.66%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0863	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034773	-1.46%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1155	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034059	-1.33%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1058	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033685	-1.16%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1555	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035236	-1.33%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1211	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035057	-1.16%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1333	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.03667	-1.09%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0815	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037313	-0.83%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0330	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036696	-0.46%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0357	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038566	-0.21%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0735	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042043	-0.24%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1589	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040331	+0.40%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1052	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039959	+0.96%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0537	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040625	+1.18%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0441	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039211	+1.61%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0053	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040818	+1.87%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0129	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037364	+1.84%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0151	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038178	+1.97%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0788	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03869	+1.98%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0280	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037387	+1.89%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0102	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039072	+1.72%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0003	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037989	+1.55%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0160	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.0397	+1.46%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0074	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040011	+1.27%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0564	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039288	+1.00%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0281	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040531	+0.85%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0588	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043136	+0.64%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1605	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040344	+0.26%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0705	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042548	+0.16%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1200	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037605	-0.54%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0870	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034306	-1.67%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0341	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031359	-2.15%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0442	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031508	-2.15%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0284	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030946	-1.92%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0394	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030646	-1.87%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0008	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.03059	-1.80%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0336	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032046	-1.87%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0267	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032603	-1.86%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0539	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032522	-1.87%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0391	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035618	-2.15%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1130	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035177	-2.23%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0644	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035317	-2.35%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0812	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034453	-2.34%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0586	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034722	-2.33%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0427	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035197	-2.42%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0313	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034985	-2.38%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0426	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035826	-2.36%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0059	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.03566	-2.33%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0212	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035704	-2.18%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0355	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.03577	-2.11%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0602	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03614	-2.32%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0064	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035663	-2.01%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0037	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038743	-2.09%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0823	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038922	-2.01%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0541	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042394	-1.98%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1110	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041696	-1.95%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1008	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042668	-1.89%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1285	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042399	-1.77%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1293	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042976	-1.63%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1200	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042675	-1.58%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0192	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042061	-1.68%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0248	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043325	-1.64%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0158	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043809	-1.51%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0190	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042663	-1.47%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0151	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045473	-1.36%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0795	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047429	-1.24%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1110	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048466	-1.17%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1433	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046585	-1.43%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1496	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045385	-1.54%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0511	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045928	-1.61%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0552	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046653	-1.64%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0693	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047163	-1.66%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0365	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046533	-1.68%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0255	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049451	-1.73%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0460	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048518	-1.81%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0140	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050385	-1.82%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0926	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051453	-1.85%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1134	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050078	-1.87%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0917	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.04866	-1.84%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0540	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044414	-1.61%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0127	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044687	-1.20%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0091	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047325	-1.59%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0424	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045075	-1.35%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0399	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046548	-1.49%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0500	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046035	-1.44%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0480	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.045883	-1.35%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0381	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.04984	-1.68%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0771	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054423	-1.96%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.0998	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054631	-2.14%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0491	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055261	-2.16%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1110	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053444	-2.30%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0310	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055752	-2.26%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1001	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060624	-2.49%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1912	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055814	-2.27%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0092	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056118	-2.39%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0636	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058686	-2.64%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0073	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060642	-3.54%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0087	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060445	-3.61%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0946	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045894	-1.62%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2188	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045499	-1.28%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3266	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042758	+0.56%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2330	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.04731	+0.21%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1213	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050033	-0.13%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1275	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048892	+0.85%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2075	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045905	+2.93%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2568	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.047593	+3.22%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0588	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.051802	+2.44%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.1134	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.055508	+2.24%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2292	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.055687	+2.07%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0795	✗	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059312	+0.31%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0044	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060772	-0.32%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0071	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062892	-0.27%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0452	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062024	+0.65%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1124	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063834	+0.68%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067494	-0.05%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067576	-0.18%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.072929	-1.33%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1298	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.07632	-1.37%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079253	-1.12%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1903	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080126	-0.24%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2346	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.085838	-1.34%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2496	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081372	-0.29%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1448	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081324	+0.25%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1710	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085954	-0.05%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089507	-0.48%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1400	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092074	-0.71%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1199	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.098905	-1.35%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1613	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.103544	-1.74%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1296	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.101939	-1.38%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1994	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107988	-1.62%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2388	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116476	-1.77%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2430	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.124602	-1.83%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2659	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123285	-1.77%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2527	✓	1.00