MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s0

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

76.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1750

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0374

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.041262	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041671	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042357	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042153	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043572	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045039	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043806	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043986	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042795	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042081	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045103	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041472	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039889	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039405	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04276	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044845	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048314	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047853	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048271	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045176	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048392	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040418	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040671	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040916	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042764	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043701	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045304	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043932	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042785	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046113	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045041	-0.52%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0211	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041713	-2.97%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0046	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041167	-2.87%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0561	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039668	-2.96%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0786	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034031	-3.57%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1962	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033263	-3.64%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2483	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032817	-3.71%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2206	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034409	-3.64%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2302	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034149	-3.72%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1617	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035788	-3.47%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1276	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036427	-3.18%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1480	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035746	-3.03%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0769	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03769	-2.47%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0242	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041229	-2.17%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0608	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039381	-1.96%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0459	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039038	-1.37%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0781	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.039747	-1.00%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1268	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038292	-0.77%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1278	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.04032	+0.62%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1525	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036029	-1.80%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1192	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036999	-1.18%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1667	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037826	-0.30%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0113	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036496	-0.54%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0376	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038596	+0.48%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0014	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037698	+0.77%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0412	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040379	+3.19%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0358	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040877	+3.46%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0439	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.04037	+3.78%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0068	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.042134	+4.84%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0555	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.045049	+5.11%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1147	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.042082	+4.58%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0913	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.044957	+5.83%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0943	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038679	+2.30%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0511	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034112	-2.23%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0252	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030618	-4.47%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0800	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030765	-4.46%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1076	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030114	-4.55%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1249	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029769	-4.68%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1090	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029689	-4.69%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0903	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031178	-4.52%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0961	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031718	-4.52%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0991	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.03161	-4.62%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1011	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034626	-4.87%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1686	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034216	-4.90%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0599	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034329	-5.08%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1224	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033448	-5.19%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1322	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033669	-5.29%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1318	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034106	-5.44%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1749	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.03385	-5.55%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1708	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034631	-5.61%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2247	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034419	-5.73%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1999	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034389	-5.78%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2245	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034411	-5.83%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2398	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03483	-5.86%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1743	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034255	-5.88%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1819	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037428	-5.41%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2703	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037557	-5.45%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2456	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041235	-4.66%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3054	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.040463	-4.85%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2822	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041439	-4.72%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2253	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041319	-4.28%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2567	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042074	-3.70%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2234	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041864	-3.45%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2301	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041088	-3.95%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2472	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042359	-3.84%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2789	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042915	-3.52%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2804	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041679	-3.74%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2555	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044564	-3.33%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3392	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046704	-2.75%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3674	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047815	-2.50%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3478	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045532	-3.66%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3407	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044485	-3.49%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2897	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045062	-3.47%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2166	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.045846	-3.34%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2585	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.04629	-3.48%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2865	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045592	-3.67%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3175	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048584	-3.45%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3338	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.047684	-3.49%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2928	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049542	-3.46%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3346	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050587	-3.50%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3301	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049182	-3.62%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3208	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.047709	-3.76%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.2978	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.043282	-4.12%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2330	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.043433	-3.97%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3003	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046189	-3.95%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3215	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.043745	-4.26%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.1957	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045249	-4.23%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2120	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.044645	-4.42%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1459	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.044403	-4.53%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1419	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.048496	-4.33%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1733	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.053069	-4.40%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2538	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.053229	-4.65%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2397	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.053781	-4.78%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.2807	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.051957	-5.01%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2148	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.054226	-4.93%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2336	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.058831	-5.37%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3224	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.054413	-4.72%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2149	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.054875	-4.55%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1284	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.05761	-4.43%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1438	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059581	-5.23%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1768	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059114	-5.73%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1676	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.044692	-4.20%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0267	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.044176	-4.15%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0507	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.040986	-3.61%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0954	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.045628	-3.35%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0214	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.048301	-3.59%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0047	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04668	-3.71%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0747	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043162	-3.22%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0865	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044698	-3.06%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0987	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.04878	-3.54%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0822	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052217	-3.82%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0013	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05234	-4.07%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0348	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.056025	-5.25%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0158	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.057388	-5.88%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1167	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059293	-5.97%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1067	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.058204	-5.55%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.059774	-5.72%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.063179	-6.44%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.063403	-6.35%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.068842	-6.86%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0696	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.072174	-6.73%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.074997	-6.43%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1141	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.075496	-6.01%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.081162	-6.71%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.076195	-6.63%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0902	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.075915	-6.42%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.08057	-6.31%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1669	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.084214	-6.37%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2165	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.087162	-6.00%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2045	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.094741	-5.50%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2251	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.1	-5.11%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2368	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.097961	-5.23%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5205	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.104528	-4.78%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5828	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.113351	-4.40%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6953	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.121532	-4.25%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6585	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.119982	-4.40%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6273	✓	1.00