KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3949

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0545

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027016	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026741	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027773	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026838	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027099	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03212	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033486	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030921	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029229	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026489	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025199	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023131	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023187	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023299	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022929	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019278	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.02116	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024736	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019335	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018299	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02041	-7.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019996	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022184	-8.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024236	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029538	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014242	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014504	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.01307	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012831	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013226	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013288	-1.95%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8194	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013541	-1.45%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.7926	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013017	-3.65%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8350	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01332	-3.63%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7850	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.01303	-3.55%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8101	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013168	-5.23%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9189	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013182	-5.51%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9526	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012381	-5.45%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9260	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012436	-4.45%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9015	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012646	-4.52%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7488	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013393	-4.27%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6620	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013426	-3.88%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5482	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013387	-3.64%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5498	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013584	-2.75%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5671	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013815	-2.56%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5488	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014585	-2.28%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3038	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015505	-1.48%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3260	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015483	-1.35%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4858	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016155	-1.31%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1655	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016737	-0.32%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1125	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.016857	-3.12%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1750	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017239	-3.10%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1244	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01766	-2.67%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2538	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017314	-2.37%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3527	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017331	-1.28%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5754	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017624	-1.60%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2788	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017926	+0.77%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2424	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017427	+1.01%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3361	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018102	-0.45%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4068	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01854	-0.95%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.3954	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.01976	-2.88%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5248	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.017881	-1.75%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4269	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017542	-0.06%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3121	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.016809	-2.79%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3612	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016229	-3.70%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4213	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015325	-3.96%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3705	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016817	-4.77%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4533	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016872	-5.05%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5560	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016991	-5.11%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6247	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016943	-5.11%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5760	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016654	-4.76%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5155	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016439	-4.76%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4727	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017346	-5.88%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5102	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017032	-5.51%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5244	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01642	-4.76%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4708	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016211	-4.64%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4186	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.01687	-5.28%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4351	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017167	-5.88%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4620	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017382	-6.17%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4168	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017274	-6.04%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4688	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016372	-5.20%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2988	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015294	-4.47%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2082	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.0142	-4.15%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1537	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014579	-4.12%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1807	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016192	-4.75%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2497	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014772	-3.95%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1404	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.01377	-3.78%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1274	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013012	-3.76%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0759	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016462	-4.84%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1791	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012565	-3.71%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1271	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013595	-3.69%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1461	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013123	-3.62%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0952	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012595	-3.56%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0916	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012527	-3.64%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1900	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014563	-3.68%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0521	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015375	-3.87%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0371	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015032	-3.70%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1688	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015543	-3.90%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1602	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.017903	-5.87%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0192	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018205	-6.60%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0248	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.019323	-7.59%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0606	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.018783	-6.95%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1143	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.01911	-7.91%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0308	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.018884	-8.02%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0502	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.019196	-8.37%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1260	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.018623	-8.01%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1352	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.018447	-7.74%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1025	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.019233	-8.52%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.0770	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.020078	-9.11%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.0956	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.019494	-8.73%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.0702	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.018677	-7.88%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.0876	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.019522	-8.09%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2227	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.02095	-8.38%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.3803	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.021189	-7.51%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4094	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022071	-7.38%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4361	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.024286	-9.19%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5588	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.023959	-8.36%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6336	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02336	-7.58%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6486	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.024361	-8.00%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.4852	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.023578	-6.73%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7128	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.022626	-6.27%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5575	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.023683	-7.38%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6197	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027157	-8.49%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.7874	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.027801	-8.31%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8457	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.027905	-8.03%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6392	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025517	-7.04%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.4974	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024649	-6.31%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5036	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026593	-6.89%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4839	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027316	-6.99%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3170	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.02755	-6.99%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3082	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028718	-6.58%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.2997	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030024	-6.19%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3404	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029287	-5.56%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3497	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028763	-5.17%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3424	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.029662	-4.39%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4194	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030131	-4.28%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4375	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030922	-4.56%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4133	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032928	-5.00%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4492	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035896	-5.16%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5987	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026882	-3.96%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3133	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032474	-4.96%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4597	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035562	-5.47%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4914	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034453	-6.35%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3292	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.038325	-8.34%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3411	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045033	-9.93%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4076	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.058577	-13.26%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5801	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035284	-7.75%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.033961	-7.64%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036187	-7.64%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0984	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040927	-7.74%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2427	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.04723	-8.23%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4347	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.050213	-8.22%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4688	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049301	-7.64%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3265	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051918	-7.29%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3613	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049726	-7.15%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3055	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049938	-7.02%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3991	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.058016	-6.57%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5912	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.057303	-6.31%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5191	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069499	-6.35%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6961	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071921	-5.99%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7229	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.088141	-6.28%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8684	✓	1.00