KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

160

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.029511	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.029162	-0.59%	0.029719	+1.31%	0.0189	✗	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030327	-0.56%	0.029335	-3.82%	0.0332	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029224	-0.48%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0429	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029462	-0.46%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0035	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034744	-0.45%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1597	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.036036	-0.71%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0322	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033429	-0.86%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0816	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031727	-0.60%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0615	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028737	-0.48%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1048	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027285	-0.44%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0569	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024931	-0.43%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.0966	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024863	-0.60%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0060	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.025039	-0.64%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0015	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02469	-0.53%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0193	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020624	-0.40%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1897	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022595	-0.52%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0830	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026576	-0.98%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1567	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020214	-0.54%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2858	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019223	-0.43%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0505	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021861	-0.67%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1250	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021347	-0.64%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0315	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023921	-0.93%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1114	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026249	-1.38%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0833	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.032462	-2.21%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1990	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014556	-0.87%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8323	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014894	-0.77%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0146	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013438	-0.32%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1082	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.01319	-0.30%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0241	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013597	-0.32%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0274	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01351	-0.31%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0229	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013695	-0.33%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0075	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013464	-0.35%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0290	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013771	-0.37%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0184	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013459	-0.38%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0233	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013822	-0.52%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0732	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013858	-0.67%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013061	-0.27%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0592	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012976	-0.30%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0417	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013207	-0.28%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0319	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013944	-0.33%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0458	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013929	-0.29%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0037	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013859	-0.25%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0003	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01394	-0.20%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0182	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014152	-0.19%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0112	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014896	-0.19%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0420	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015708	-0.19%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0372	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015667	-0.18%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0012	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016339	-0.19%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0417	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01676	-0.19%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0093	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017351	-0.28%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0841	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017739	-0.29%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0181	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018091	-0.29%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0024	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017687	-0.27%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0135	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017514	-0.24%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0209	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017864	-0.27%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0233	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017739	-0.29%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0494	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017198	-0.32%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0138	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018121	-0.34%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0573	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018642	-0.41%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0172	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020242	-0.51%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1011	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018139	-0.34%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1026	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017495	-0.33%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0630	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017232	-0.34%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0906	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016791	-0.37%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0511	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015903	-0.34%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0553	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017582	-0.44%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1020	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017688	-0.46%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0438	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017822	-0.46%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0019	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017773	-0.46%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0063	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017413	-0.41%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0374	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.01719	-0.40%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0167	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018339	-0.49%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0577	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017941	-0.47%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0365	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017164	-0.44%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0737	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016919	-0.48%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0204	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017722	-0.50%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0420	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018134	-0.58%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0346	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018407	-0.64%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0002	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018268	-0.64%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0019	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017177	-0.54%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0512	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015944	-0.41%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0809	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014755	-0.41%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0610	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015135	-0.46%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0196	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016881	-0.70%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0527	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015301	-0.51%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0836	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014237	-0.51%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0760	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013459	-0.45%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0574	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017178	-0.71%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2008	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013008	-0.32%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2638	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014067	-0.34%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0794	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013572	-0.32%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0598	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013022	-0.29%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0669	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012964	-0.28%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0166	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.01507	-0.33%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1784	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015938	-0.36%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0655	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015558	-0.33%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0305	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016119	-0.35%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0542	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018918	-0.54%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1597	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019376	-0.59%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0053	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020772	-0.66%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0569	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020066	-0.59%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0287	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020615	-0.65%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0178	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020399	-0.64%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0179	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020814	-0.65%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0045	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020125	-0.59%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0158	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019888	-0.53%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0064	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020902	-0.59%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0164	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021943	-0.66%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0255	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021238	-0.57%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0289	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020206	-0.34%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0433	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021168	-0.34%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0573	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.02278	-0.37%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0974	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022843	-0.29%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0407	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023752	-0.33%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0783	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026619	-0.47%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0639	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026056	-0.34%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0069	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025221	-0.21%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0489	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026404	-0.29%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0418	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025262	-0.07%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0389	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024145	+0.02%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0826	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025536	-0.13%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0091	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029497	-0.60%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1081	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030134	-0.61%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0344	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.03016	-0.59%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0320	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027402	-0.18%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0830	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.0263	-0.04%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0281	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028484	-0.27%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0412	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029269	-0.34%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0039	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029511	-0.37%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0111	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030615	-0.41%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0469	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.03187	-0.42%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0686	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030923	-0.28%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0122	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030278	-0.17%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0245	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031028	+0.01%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0796	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031499	+0.06%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0087	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032413	+0.04%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0088	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034666	+0.02%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0611	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037878	+0.07%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1773	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028082	+0.33%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3046	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034252	+0.24%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1574	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037706	+0.23%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0948	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036851	+0.17%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041751	-0.14%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049726	-0.55%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1422	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.066476	-1.56%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2822	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038279	+0.07%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5622	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036808	+0.10%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039217	+0.10%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0536	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044385	+0.06%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.05144	-0.05%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054687	-0.04%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0643	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053413	+0.06%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056071	+0.13%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0650	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053613	+0.11%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0711	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053775	+0.12%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.06218	+0.14%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1556	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061262	+0.16%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.074239	+0.04%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1877	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076517	+0.02%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093843	-0.22%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1922	✓	1.00