ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s0

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0202

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.311535	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.337453	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.312138	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.307909	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.31536	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.301962	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.315118	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.288297	-2.47%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0844	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.302851	-2.62%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1401	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.312379	-2.84%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0234	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.316912	-2.86%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0224	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.31644	-2.99%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0479	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286937	-2.47%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0931	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.2993	-2.70%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0728	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.290374	-2.49%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0454	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.313084	-2.51%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0304	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.306471	-2.34%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1088	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.317007	-2.29%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0708	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.298647	-2.47%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1156	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.315691	-3.01%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0412	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.319327	-3.07%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0099	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.319819	-3.49%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0671	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.3236	-3.66%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0357	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.312522	-3.42%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0303	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.319683	-3.45%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0160	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.316614	-3.41%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0384	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.325354	-3.95%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0058	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.326014	-4.00%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0034	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.332607	-4.37%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0089	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.329226	-3.25%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0599	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.316287	-2.21%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0712	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.268453	-3.05%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1633	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.27284	-3.13%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1388	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.276809	-3.26%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1568	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.246137	-2.79%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2157	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.242463	-2.66%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2520	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.236241	-2.40%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2259	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.261116	-2.79%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1131	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.253308	-2.46%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0345	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.254588	-2.31%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0512	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.249861	-1.98%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0895	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.251542	-1.74%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0090	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.246262	-1.26%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0400	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.249598	-1.03%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0080	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.221668	+0.08%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.2048	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.263206	-0.53%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0304	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.259267	-0.01%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0368	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.255434	+0.64%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0276	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.26816	+1.81%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0098	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.263073	+0.97%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0660	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.255629	+1.60%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0272	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.264056	+2.19%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1827	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.251633	+1.92%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0155	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.25628	+2.23%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0087	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.261451	+2.01%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0533	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.266426	+3.03%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0241	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.268635	+2.34%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0076	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.267434	+1.92%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0458	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.272409	+1.91%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0471	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.269685	+1.12%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0874	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.272311	+0.52%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0987	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.270093	+0.97%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0458	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240817	-0.86%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0254	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.212063	-1.59%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0974	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.196538	-2.41%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1223	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.197711	-2.41%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1271	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.200339	-2.32%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0963	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.197784	-2.33%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1354	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.202234	-2.30%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0843	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.204164	-2.31%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0458	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.210953	-2.29%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0586	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.216533	-2.29%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0883	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.23261	-2.35%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1458	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.230382	-2.30%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0880	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.233267	-2.32%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1151	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.230173	-2.30%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0796	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.228626	-2.34%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0781	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.220152	-2.28%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0030	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.216903	-2.30%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0287	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.211263	-2.28%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1139	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.209239	-2.27%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.1005	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.197496	-2.23%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1605	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.200085	-2.21%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1351	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.202753	-2.19%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1500	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.203837	-2.19%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0903	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.202903	-2.17%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0871	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.196348	-2.17%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0995	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.204361	-1.99%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0716	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.210907	-2.04%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0213	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.211912	-2.03%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0174	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216214	-1.85%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0376	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214654	-1.58%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220341	-1.41%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0237	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.215936	-1.76%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0521	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.216477	-1.87%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0466	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.217051	-1.83%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0014	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.216679	-2.00%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0043	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.215555	-2.02%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0046	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.215922	-1.85%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0083	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.208959	-1.85%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0468	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.205711	-2.18%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0238	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.216932	-2.06%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.215609	-2.09%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0115	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.21436	-2.07%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0342	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.213394	-2.20%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0222	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.216605	-2.25%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0195	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.216553	-2.23%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0404	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.21815	-2.22%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0119	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.210869	-2.33%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0471	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.207781	-2.40%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0489	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.207604	-2.44%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0319	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.202807	-2.45%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0507	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.198595	-2.36%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0789	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.186326	-2.14%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.1108	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.197795	-2.32%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0734	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.198194	-2.22%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0346	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.20022	-2.24%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0221	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.200587	-2.20%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0275	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.207833	-2.15%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0225	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.215161	-2.24%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0435	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.216324	-2.34%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0767	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.215686	-2.40%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0167	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.212508	-2.38%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0009	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.212262	-2.45%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0175	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.209116	-2.42%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0237	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.208461	-2.36%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0579	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.214373	-2.47%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0674	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.219887	-2.53%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0422	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.227311	-2.57%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0009	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.220545	-2.59%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0160	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.216548	-2.50%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0073	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.216821	-2.38%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0109	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.215528	-2.30%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0011	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.206895	-1.62%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0248	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.212851	-1.55%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0120	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.209286	-1.47%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0705	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.210176	-1.19%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0460	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.209945	+0.16%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0135	✓	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.215319	+0.33%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0014	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.225626	-0.74%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0198	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.234711	-0.88%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0828	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.249028	-1.65%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0934	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.265201	-2.25%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1641	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.269102	-2.39%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1637	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.265599	-2.39%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1548	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.257279	-2.32%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1022	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.253449	-2.29%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0465	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.263756	-2.35%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0429	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.276989	-2.43%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0362	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.271307	-2.51%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0467	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.278061	-2.47%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0171	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.278171	-2.43%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0019	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.276832	-2.32%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0349	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.274968	-2.42%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0291	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.281988	-2.39%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0207	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.280915	-2.32%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0171	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.278452	-2.30%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0027	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.276999	-2.29%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0318	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.282627	-2.31%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0187	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.297355	-2.31%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0219	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.300435	-2.23%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0388	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.300161	-2.29%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0249	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.302825	-2.22%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0246	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.315578	-1.99%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0668	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.306059	-1.90%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0412	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.302297	-2.14%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0250	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.302747	-2.15%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0137	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.301536	-2.13%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0111	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.310221	-1.80%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0095	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.312557	-1.84%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0063	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.294698	-2.03%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0762	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.292388	-2.08%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0416	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.295223	-1.98%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0324	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.296678	-1.92%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0289	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.291004	-1.92%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0308	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.291577	-1.83%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0398	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.299317	-1.70%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0292	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.300271	-1.49%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0159	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.308069	-1.20%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0304	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.313054	-1.24%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0460	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.309272	-1.16%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0277	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.31172	-0.98%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0352	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.316608	-0.94%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0462	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312106	-1.11%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0245	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.312706	-1.14%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0366	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.314679	-1.48%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0460	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321402	-1.14%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0282	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.327544	-0.95%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0485	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.31884	-1.20%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0362	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.312248	-1.25%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0020	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.30689	-1.42%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0114	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.302725	-1.42%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0326	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.29447	-2.14%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0557	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.309194	-1.78%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0290	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.299751	-1.88%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0659	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.293402	-2.17%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0682	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.293904	-2.29%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0428	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.292431	-2.26%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0442	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.291975	-2.45%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0027	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.28898	-2.47%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0251	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.289294	-2.43%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0335	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.278925	-2.41%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0379	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.281224	-2.39%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0209	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.286929	-2.44%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0209	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.27254	-2.46%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0606	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.26855	-2.31%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0890	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.265042	-2.16%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0831	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.274132	-2.17%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0693	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.279813	-2.13%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0154	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.283339	-2.26%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0343	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.288066	-2.22%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0501	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.286622	-2.24%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0041	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.289951	-2.18%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0147	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.279432	-2.13%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0130	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.282094	-2.15%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0177	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.283327	-2.13%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0477	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.293312	-2.07%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0010	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.30916	-1.79%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0488	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.325532	-1.11%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0738	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.33173	-1.01%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0770	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.321574	-1.39%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0734	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.310036	-1.92%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0513	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.316888	-1.95%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.0863	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.309782	-2.12%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0282	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.311733	-2.19%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0003	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.314738	-2.22%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0095	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.313711	-2.33%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0080	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.3139	-2.27%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0260	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.311442	-2.34%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0225	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.312273	-2.38%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0077	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.307225	-2.41%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0332	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.316716	-2.16%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0295	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.322473	-2.49%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0188	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.329189	-2.49%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0205	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.33735	-2.42%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0514	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.346738	-2.46%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0871	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.33887	-2.43%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0840	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.346632	-2.49%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1347	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.350757	-2.54%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1325	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.309472	-2.22%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0210	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.290837	-2.11%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.1054	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.286742	-2.53%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.2068	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.296339	-2.55%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1924	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.297386	-2.53%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1792	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.303581	-2.32%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1520	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.313748	-2.20%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1194	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.32166	-2.32%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0232	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.321387	-2.46%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0294	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.324232	-2.40%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.0838	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.365375	-2.51%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1632	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.362012	-2.37%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1618	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.355196	-1.91%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1423	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.35391	-1.86%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.0910	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.371803	-2.11%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1058	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.376094	-2.16%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1180	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.387039	-2.14%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1359	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.39323	-1.94%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0541	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.39924	-1.98%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0546	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.359468	+0.92%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0296	✗	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.360952	-1.03%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0849	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.360424	-1.23%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1516	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352362	-1.38%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2210	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344696	-0.32%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2343	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.359162	-0.92%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2501	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.382057	-2.06%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2569	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.399921	-2.10%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2093	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.413859	-2.39%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0973	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.421504	-2.36%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0359	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.416254	-2.29%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0292	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.41934	-2.14%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0608	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.423968	-2.24%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0156	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.423472	-2.22%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0091	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.428162	-2.18%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0201	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.439412	-2.14%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0330	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.423756	-2.04%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0076	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.445105	-2.00%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0145	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.454449	-1.83%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0384	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.46679	-1.52%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0064	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.472717	-1.41%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0063	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.483958	-1.37%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0178	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.504655	-1.18%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0157	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.451908	-1.44%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0493	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.437805	-2.17%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0181	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.442817	-2.16%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0068	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.444114	-2.18%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0011	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.450683	-2.15%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0106	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.442821	-2.16%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0382	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.448917	-2.13%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0440	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.476259	-1.68%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0627	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.491171	-1.67%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0525	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.481125	-2.11%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0515	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.475725	-2.23%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0432	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.481019	-2.29%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0522	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.471818	-2.36%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0778	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.45533	-2.37%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0518	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.484119	-2.38%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0808	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.464682	-2.38%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0313	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.466694	-2.41%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0042	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.420749	-2.49%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.1030	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.4177	-2.47%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1238	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.420693	-2.46%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.1145	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.431812	-2.46%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0788	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.434914	-2.44%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1164	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.454071	-2.46%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0694	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.464366	-2.44%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0410	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.484003	-2.42%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1068	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.475293	-2.42%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.0917	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.442557	-2.26%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0524	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.452306	-2.29%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0430	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.444326	-2.39%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0099	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.440422	-2.24%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0220	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.464577	-2.34%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0172	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.465125	-2.45%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0936	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.469835	-2.44%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0694	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.483027	-2.46%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0439	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.502378	-2.41%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0078	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.508269	-2.42%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0369	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.511524	-2.44%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0611	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.521355	-2.44%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0572	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.512603	-2.44%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.0876	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.491693	-2.48%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0351	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.4966	-2.63%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0096	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.505354	-2.69%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0400	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.524367	-2.62%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0284	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.489022	-2.31%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0023	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.527335	-2.60%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0128	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.533681	-2.63%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0093	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.568859	-2.66%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.0957	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.58648	-2.72%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1519	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.600775	-2.77%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1922	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.607622	-2.76%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1869	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.588091	-2.65%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1271	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.602985	-2.74%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1687	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.521163	-1.82%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0514	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.450547	-0.28%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1643	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.450819	-0.13%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2121	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.466353	-1.26%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2982	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.501458	-1.75%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3148	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.494424	-1.31%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2652	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.505554	-1.64%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3307	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511239	-1.74%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2252	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.514317	-1.38%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0345	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.555737	-2.14%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0118	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.583517	-2.26%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0476	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.607029	-2.31%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0138	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.607831	-2.40%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0291	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.626602	-2.35%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0284	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.626257	-2.24%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0743	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.629447	-2.24%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0431	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.602679	-2.05%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0324	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.629739	-2.20%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0183	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.561035	-1.85%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0791	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.549117	-2.24%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1351	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.594872	-2.45%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1674	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.613305	-2.45%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1680	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.60938	-2.45%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1555	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.615095	-2.41%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1151	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.59387	-2.48%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1820	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.587674	-2.54%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1612	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.673499	-2.39%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0635	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.723727	-2.45%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1099	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.662044	-2.47%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0272	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.665818	-2.50%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0413	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.64693	-2.50%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0015	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.600613	-2.37%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0225	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.61766	-2.35%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0904	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.649928	-2.43%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0085	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.657341	-2.34%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0350	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.609522	-2.12%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0425	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.600738	-1.94%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0611	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.612497	-2.03%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0519	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.640517	-2.17%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0060	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.66101	-2.23%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0233	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.68333	-2.26%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0415	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.690509	-2.25%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0673	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.604423	-1.97%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0793	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.57435	-2.09%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1604	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.66929	-1.82%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1096	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.701749	-1.51%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0889	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.692041	-1.80%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0800	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.725811	-1.38%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0764	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.702603	-1.61%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1072	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.708904	-1.75%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0037	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.719866	-1.76%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0905	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.731155	-1.96%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0832	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.711334	-2.29%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0550	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.669265	-2.55%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0386	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.675241	-2.56%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0470	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.692147	-2.45%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1265	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.678919	-2.30%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1216	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.667145	-2.26%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0862	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.679938	-2.18%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0768	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.719832	-2.38%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0665	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.698852	-2.35%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0483	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.729934	-2.30%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0773	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.766925	-2.23%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0290	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.786935	-2.17%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0323	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.784185	-2.20%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0464	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.795876	-2.11%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0116	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.760013	-2.31%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0169	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.