ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s0

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0955

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0592

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.298561	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.321767	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.29846	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.294412	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.300723	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.288282	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.30009	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.274844	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.288791	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.296751	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.301685	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.300667	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.273455	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.284446	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.276539	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.299169	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.293743	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.304357	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.285187	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.299582	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.302982	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.301532	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.304713	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.295204	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.302114	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.299497	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.305564	-9.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.306502	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.311849	-10.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.31456	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.307917	-4.80%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.0972	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.256348	-7.42%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2790	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.260417	-7.54%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1982	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.263784	-7.82%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1641	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.234363	-7.44%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2563	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.230749	-7.37%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2226	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.224574	-7.22%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2790	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.248543	-7.47%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1315	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.240917	-7.23%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1774	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.242096	-7.10%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2277	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.237372	-6.88%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2380	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.238639	-6.78%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2332	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.232827	-6.65%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1794	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.235376	-6.67%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.2254	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.205117	-7.40%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.3166	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.248244	-6.18%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1965	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.244332	-5.77%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1809	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.240788	-5.13%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.2204	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.256125	-2.76%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1393	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.250437	-3.88%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1725	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.243293	-3.30%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.2097	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.253584	-1.86%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.2035	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.240418	-2.63%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2583	✗	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.24775	-1.18%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.2017	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.255278	-0.40%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1773	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.267228	+3.34%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1522	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.271077	+3.27%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1579	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.272217	+3.74%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1453	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.281669	+5.38%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1404	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.279123	+4.66%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.0893	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.281698	+3.99%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0150	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.285925	+6.89%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0700	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.242982	+0.03%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0390	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.207351	-3.78%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1857	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.188701	-6.31%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1515	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.189749	-6.34%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.1291	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.192004	-6.39%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0668	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.189354	-6.49%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1575	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.193678	-6.44%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.1155	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.195567	-6.43%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.1077	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.202227	-6.33%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0543	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.207712	-6.27%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0442	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.223456	-6.19%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0675	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.221732	-5.97%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0416	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.224661	-5.92%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.1903	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.221799	-5.86%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0127	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.22016	-5.95%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0282	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.212065	-5.87%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0068	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.208786	-5.95%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0205	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.203145	-6.04%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0756	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.201167	-6.04%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0451	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.189369	-6.25%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.1143	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.191899	-6.21%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0663	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.194914	-5.97%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0833	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.195767	-6.06%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0928	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.19479	-6.08%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0790	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.188134	-6.26%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1410	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.196629	-5.69%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.1277	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.202848	-5.78%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0898	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.203816	-5.77%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0966	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.208613	-5.30%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.1100	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.207809	-4.72%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0989	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.214057	-4.22%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0425	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.208874	-4.97%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.209153	-5.19%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0378	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.209926	-5.05%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0313	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.209065	-5.44%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0047	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.207963	-5.47%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0164	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.20906	-4.97%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.202343	-4.96%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0538	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.197668	-6.01%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0715	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.209485	-5.42%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0592	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.20825	-5.43%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.1325	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.207274	-5.31%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.1192	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.205801	-5.68%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.1249	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.208655	-5.84%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0840	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.209124	-5.59%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0995	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.211111	-5.37%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0567	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.203634	-5.68%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0802	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.200376	-5.88%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0710	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.200029	-6.00%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0551	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.195027	-6.19%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0181	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.190569	-6.31%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0326	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.178049	-6.49%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0728	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.189568	-6.39%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0490	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.189777	-6.38%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0346	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.191729	-6.38%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0009	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.192001	-6.39%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0168	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.199067	-6.28%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0209	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.206423	-6.21%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0096	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.207797	-6.19%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0302	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.207337	-6.18%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0257	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.204038	-6.28%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0528	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.203882	-6.30%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0634	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.200588	-6.40%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0807	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.199816	-6.41%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0785	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.205842	-6.35%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0779	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.211465	-6.27%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0611	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.218939	-6.16%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0230	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.212084	-6.32%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0121	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.207924	-6.38%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0373	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.208049	-6.33%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0602	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.206647	-6.33%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0610	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.197256	-6.20%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0721	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.202934	-6.14%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0547	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.199053	-6.28%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.1174	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.199299	-6.30%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.1054	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.196988	-6.02%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0867	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.201803	-5.96%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0374	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.213335	-6.14%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0060	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.222436	-6.07%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0286	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.237578	-6.17%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0835	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.254138	-6.33%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1410	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.258132	-6.37%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.1955	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.254596	-6.43%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1422	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.246159	-6.55%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1039	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.242148	-6.65%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0776	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.252325	-6.58%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1139	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.265512	-6.48%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1237	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.260018	-6.57%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0284	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.266648	-6.47%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0687	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.266643	-6.47%	0.221	-22.48%	0.0924	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.265073	-6.47%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1032	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.263419	-6.52%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.0881	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.270268	-6.45%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1248	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.268988	-6.47%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1249	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.266438	-6.51%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.0968	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.264926	-6.55%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0723	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.270503	-6.50%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0606	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.285203	-6.31%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1274	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.289011	-5.95%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1332	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.288005	-6.25%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1325	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.291173	-5.98%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1426	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.304847	-5.33%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2050	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.29592	-5.15%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1449	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.291031	-5.78%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1698	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.291278	-5.86%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1762	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.290096	-5.84%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1650	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.300219	-4.96%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1276	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.30227	-5.07%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1536	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.283571	-5.73%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0620	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.280642	-6.01%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0184	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.283574	-5.85%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0069	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.284873	-5.83%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0002	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.278533	-6.12%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0046	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.278985	-6.07%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0397	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.28694	-5.77%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.0800	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.288439	-5.37%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0432	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.297503	-4.59%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0262	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.302162	-4.68%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.0794	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.298548	-4.59%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0426	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.302014	-4.06%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0459	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.307385	-3.82%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0612	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.301953	-4.32%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.0777	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.302668	-4.31%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0583	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.303862	-4.86%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0776	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.312301	-3.94%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1006	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.320311	-3.14%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1244	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.310867	-3.67%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.0940	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.304681	-3.64%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0324	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.299066	-3.93%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0240	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.295406	-3.81%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0015	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.283806	-5.68%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0097	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.300764	-4.46%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0019	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.291362	-4.63%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0018	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.283819	-5.36%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0161	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.283759	-5.67%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0155	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.282933	-5.44%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0222	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.280811	-6.18%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0149	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.277905	-6.21%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0386	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.277822	-6.30%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0262	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.267544	-6.39%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0116	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.269795	-6.35%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0105	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.275621	-6.28%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0078	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.261303	-6.48%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0575	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.256997	-6.51%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0657	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.253209	-6.53%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0928	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.262174	-6.43%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0540	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.267708	-6.36%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0447	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.271543	-6.33%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0773	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.276975	-5.98%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0688	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.27521	-6.14%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0675	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.278648	-5.99%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0740	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.267144	-6.43%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0913	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.269891	-6.39%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0973	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.271467	-6.23%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.1331	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.281375	-6.05%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0929	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.298199	-5.27%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0513	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.317048	-3.69%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0069	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.324422	-3.19%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0252	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.313285	-3.93%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0182	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.299976	-5.10%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0050	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.306754	-5.09%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0176	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.299148	-5.48%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0282	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.300842	-5.60%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0097	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.303665	-5.66%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0291	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.301678	-6.08%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0274	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.301057	-6.27%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.0621	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.298869	-6.28%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0138	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.299877	-6.26%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0206	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.296125	-5.93%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0365	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.307619	-4.97%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0185	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.309876	-6.30%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.0574	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.316701	-6.19%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.0666	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.32383	-6.33%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.1757	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.333406	-6.21%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.1902	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.325532	-6.27%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.1849	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.333735	-6.12%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.1612	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.338099	-6.06%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1486	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.296475	-6.33%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.0722	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.277579	-6.57%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0086	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.27357	-7.01%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0391	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.283069	-6.92%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0163	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.283782	-6.99%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0076	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.28957	-6.83%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0261	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.299454	-6.65%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.0792	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.307337	-6.67%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.0530	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.306947	-6.84%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0012	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.309529	-6.82%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0055	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.350459	-6.49%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.0987	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.346877	-6.45%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1051	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.339435	-6.26%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1272	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.338009	-6.26%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.0899	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.355772	-6.33%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1366	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.360005	-6.35%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1231	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.370562	-6.31%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1372	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.376148	-6.20%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1486	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.381948	-6.22%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1209	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.336683	-5.48%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1021	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.342967	-5.96%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0001	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.342621	-6.11%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0166	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.334508	-6.38%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0591	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.324107	-6.27%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1472	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.339552	-6.33%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1407	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.364563	-6.55%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.2163	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.382262	-6.42%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1820	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.396698	-6.44%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.2059	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.40416	-6.38%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1776	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.398619	-6.43%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1781	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.401195	-6.37%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0983	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.406066	-6.37%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0510	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.405469	-6.38%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0097	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.409976	-6.33%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0252	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.420978	-6.24%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0025	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.404979	-6.38%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0701	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.427512	-5.88%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.1194	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.437644	-5.46%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.1211	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.451497	-4.75%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0793	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.458349	-4.41%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0869	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.470417	-4.13%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1655	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.493293	-3.41%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1399	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.438883	-4.28%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2483	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.420903	-5.94%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.2295	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.425753	-5.93%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.2346	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.42676	-6.00%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.2141	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.43341	-5.90%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2508	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.425823	-5.92%	0.401	-11.40%	0.3007	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.432188	-5.78%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.3037	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.462861	-4.45%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.3004	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.478299	-4.24%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0809	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.465192	-5.35%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0264	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.459037	-5.66%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0496	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.463868	-5.78%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.0706	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.454119	-6.02%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0538	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.437435	-6.21%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.0593	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.466269	-5.98%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.0697	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.446805	-6.13%	0.424	-10.92%	0.0847	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.449094	-6.09%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0589	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.403275	-6.54%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0480	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.399889	-6.63%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0805	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.402629	-6.65%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0450	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.41361	-6.57%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0177	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.416482	-6.58%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0186	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.435665	-6.41%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0179	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.445856	-6.33%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0251	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.465232	-6.20%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.0880	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.456526	-6.28%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.0694	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.423281	-6.52%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0303	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.432884	-6.48%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0348	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.42484	-6.67%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0292	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.420275	-6.71%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0377	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.444597	-6.54%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.0751	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.445364	-6.59%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0092	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.449936	-6.57%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0030	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.464008	-6.30%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0105	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.483085	-6.16%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0248	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.489254	-6.08%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0531	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.491449	-6.27%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.0784	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.501051	-6.24%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.0836	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.491878	-6.38%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0540	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.470856	-6.61%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0100	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.476159	-6.64%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0447	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.485072	-6.59%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0684	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.503028	-6.59%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0011	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.466612	-6.79%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0208	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.504961	-6.73%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0138	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.511067	-6.76%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0109	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.545308	-6.69%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.0825	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.562381	-6.72%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2084	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.575805	-6.81%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2449	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.581402	-6.96%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.2960	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.564015	-6.64%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2310	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.577839	-6.80%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2702	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.498369	-6.11%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1332	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.424242	-6.10%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0557	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.423448	-6.19%	0.496	+9.88%	0.1283	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.441652	-6.49%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1557	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.477853	-6.38%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0738	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.468837	-6.42%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0880	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.480433	-6.53%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0541	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.486139	-6.57%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0800	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.487965	-6.43%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0828	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.531108	-6.48%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0462	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.558831	-6.39%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0353	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.582141	-6.32%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0040	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.583559	-6.30%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0981	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.601727	-6.23%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0510	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.600917	-6.19%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0602	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.604348	-6.14%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0944	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.577695	-6.11%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.1099	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.604637	-6.10%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0616	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.535733	-6.27%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0996	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.524351	-6.65%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.2128	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.570351	-6.47%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2652	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.588488	-6.40%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2521	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.584927	-6.37%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2506	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.591246	-6.20%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2257	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.569639	-6.46%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3607	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.562879	-6.65%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4441	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.648801	-5.97%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3522	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.698277	-5.88%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3560	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.636543	-6.23%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3434	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.640038	-6.28%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3790	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.621476	-6.33%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2792	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.575205	-6.50%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1384	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.591633	-6.46%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0928	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.623776	-6.35%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0324	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.630555	-6.32%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0449	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.58269	-6.43%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0920	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.573132	-6.44%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0862	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.584866	-6.45%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0819	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.61305	-6.36%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0886	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.633737	-6.27%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0911	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.656433	-6.10%	0.597	-14.60%	0.1074	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.663309	-6.10%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.1145	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.575624	-6.65%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1458	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.54472	-7.14%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2867	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.646059	-5.23%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2541	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.681371	-4.37%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.2054	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.669768	-4.96%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1783	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.70836	-3.76%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1692	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.684006	-4.21%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.1028	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.689526	-4.43%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0066	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.700883	-4.36%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0066	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.710255	-4.77%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0120	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.687483	-5.57%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0211	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.641412	-6.61%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0576	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.647193	-6.61%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0015	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.663399	-6.50%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1058	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.64905	-6.60%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0040	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.636482	-6.76%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0817	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.648554	-6.70%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0056	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.689051	-6.56%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0259	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.667148	-6.78%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0237	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.698552	-6.50%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0442	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.736922	-6.05%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0414	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.757274	-5.86%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0499	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.754498	-5.90%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0056	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.767918	-5.55%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0565	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.730418	-6.12%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0205	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.