DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s0

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

70.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0642

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0038

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5376	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5283	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3187	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2659	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2508	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.5976	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9694	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9848	-1.04%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0891	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.2002	-1.01%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0924	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.1915	-0.86%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1104	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.551	-0.81%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1189	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7629	-0.76%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1367	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.35	-0.77%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1524	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.2608	-0.68%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1364	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.9376	-0.84%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0888	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.2041	-0.83%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0843	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.3757	-0.85%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0814	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.2009	-0.84%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0612	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.1355	-0.88%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0540	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.0876	-0.92%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0157	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.0124	-0.87%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0065	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.2523	-0.99%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0063	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.9586	-0.87%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0042	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.678	-0.78%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0259	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.3453	-0.94%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0186	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.1117	-0.88%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0071	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.5626	-0.78%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0347	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.0936	-0.95%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0001	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.0934	-0.99%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0265	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.5422	-1.00%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0026	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.902	-0.38%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0240	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.115	-1.08%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0462	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.3037	-1.14%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0232	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.5122	-1.28%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0218	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.6653	-1.11%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0086	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.605	-0.52%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0726	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7378	-0.10%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1286	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.609	-0.50%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0023	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2689	-0.38%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0201	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0733	+0.09%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0475	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9557	+0.52%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0703	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6777	+0.77%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0741	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.696	+1.31%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0420	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.4464	+0.51%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1406	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.1856	+2.51%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0397	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	17.0249	+2.57%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0078	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.3241	+2.72%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0081	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	16.0132	+2.93%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0140	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.8021	+3.55%	15.558	+8.84%	0.0970	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.303	+2.55%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1307	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.7518	+2.55%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1508	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.9301	+2.65%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0501	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3899	+2.30%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1140	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.5641	+2.19%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0701	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.3949	+1.88%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0579	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.2463	+2.26%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0074	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0809	+1.66%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8468	+1.33%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0507	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0262	+1.26%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0409	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.3489	+0.69%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0191	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0373	+0.37%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0018	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0826	+0.59%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0826	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9239	-0.26%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0738	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8362	-0.77%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0355	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5975	-0.98%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0367	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.956	-1.01%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0641	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8593	-0.91%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0411	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9302	-0.89%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0537	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8682	-0.85%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1389	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0384	-0.84%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1555	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1465	-0.81%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1119	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.868	-0.90%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1130	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6626	-0.95%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0566	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8108	-1.09%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0345	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6497	-1.16%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0183	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.606	-1.15%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0200	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3724	-1.10%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0050	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8263	-1.16%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0267	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.2203	-1.23%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0093	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.1141	-1.18%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0330	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.084	-1.11%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0326	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.9711	-1.00%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0494	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.0124	-1.11%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0548	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.4233	-1.34%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0629	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5765	-0.63%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1034	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5106	-0.61%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1477	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.123	-0.54%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1800	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6151	-0.60%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1577	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5182	-0.54%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1521	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5359	-0.50%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1506	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.93	-0.53%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1363	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4193	-0.41%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0322	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5664	-0.25%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0431	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6484	-0.63%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1003	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6401	-0.63%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0884	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.6504	-0.52%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0808	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5108	-0.58%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0790	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2379	-0.74%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1183	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3664	-1.00%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0900	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.574	-1.38%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0974	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.2339	-2.23%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0002	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0093	-1.54%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0442	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1446	-0.96%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1176	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.055	-0.94%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1328	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9059	-0.96%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1928	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8657	-0.96%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1821	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8978	-1.04%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2098	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0906	-1.12%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1457	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0119	-1.19%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1000	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1474	-1.22%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0005	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3435	-1.22%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0399	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.048	-1.20%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0280	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.82	-1.10%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0198	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6329	-0.90%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0358	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1584	-1.09%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0488	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0001	-0.95%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0444	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.377	-0.97%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0522	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0927	-0.93%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0002	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.83	-1.19%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0076	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0135	-1.36%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0809	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0896	-0.78%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0287	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4179	-0.82%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0431	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3482	-0.74%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0336	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7794	-0.79%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5315	-0.74%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4059	-0.64%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9489	-0.76%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0743	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2889	-0.82%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5596	-0.87%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6918	-0.94%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.1208	-0.99%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.9185	-0.94%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0576	-0.94%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7913	-0.34%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.946	-0.13%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.2418	-0.24%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.3888	+0.06%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0037	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.461	+1.39%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0749	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.347	+2.02%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0661	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.2442	+0.70%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.5212	+0.10%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1635	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6863	-0.41%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1277	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.467	-0.94%	12.271	-21.41%	0.1085	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.8202	-1.13%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0947	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.