DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s0

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1029

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.2394	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.785	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.6078	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.5886	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.5832	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.9095	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.278	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.2662	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.6095	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.5232	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.0262	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.1836	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.6928	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.5777	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.2407	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.5723	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.7489	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.6707	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.5635	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.5094	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.47	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.6361	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.3819	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.131	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.7288	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.5228	-4.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.0387	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.5056	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.511	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.9552	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.3581	-3.41%	15.295	-14.89%	0.1030	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.5554	-4.31%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1333	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.7419	-4.35%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1490	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.9377	-4.52%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1701	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.0732	-4.62%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1625	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.1174	-3.63%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0812	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.3442	-2.76%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0173	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.0333	-3.95%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0243	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.7086	-3.81%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0183	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.5075	-3.43%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0095	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.3782	-3.12%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0198	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.1069	-2.90%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0503	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.0253	-2.76%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0481	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.8405	-2.98%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0018	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.4647	-2.05%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1173	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.2839	-1.90%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0727	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.5907	-1.90%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1194	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.3005	-1.65%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1224	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.4774	+1.28%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2011	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.7869	-1.15%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2031	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2095	-1.22%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1646	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4315	-0.78%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1916	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.9704	-0.69%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1968	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.1997	-0.37%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1722	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.0796	-0.35%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2049	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.2594	+2.35%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2038	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.0289	+1.28%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1776	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.8681	+1.49%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2129	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.0847	+1.69%	18.275	+31.94%	0.2033	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2926	+0.29%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1791	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9842	-0.01%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1481	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.4143	+3.14%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2220	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0241	+0.58%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2834	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8267	-0.85%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2623	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5683	-1.23%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2045	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9011	-1.46%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1030	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.794	-1.46%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0285	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8654	-1.43%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1135	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8035	-1.39%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1150	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9652	-1.44%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.0859	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0542	-1.57%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0673	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6462	-2.61%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0104	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4582	-2.54%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0647	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.5671	-2.97%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1209	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4341	-2.84%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0292	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.422	-2.59%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0634	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2321	-2.22%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0327	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6254	-2.71%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0119	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.9247	-3.44%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1536	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.82	-3.40%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1265	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.7891	-3.34%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0939	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.6633	-3.35%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.1016	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.6732	-3.68%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1225	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.0703	-3.94%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1160	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4843	-1.42%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4104	-1.47%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0251	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0378	-1.30%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0168	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5137	-1.47%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0052	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.431	-1.29%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0060	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4469	-1.26%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0333	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8129	-1.51%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0072	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2486	-1.78%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.1002	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3809	-1.73%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1228	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4855	-1.91%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1044	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4938	-1.78%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0646	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5165	-1.57%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0309	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3887	-1.55%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0183	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.0599	-2.07%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0699	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.2265	-2.04%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0730	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4391	-2.36%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0777	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.217	-2.37%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0134	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9836	-1.75%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0832	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1357	-1.04%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1360	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0456	-1.02%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1492	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8954	-1.06%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1367	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8347	-1.24%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1254	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8755	-1.24%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1265	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0611	-1.38%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1512	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9811	-1.47%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1913	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.093	-1.70%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1737	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2475	-2.06%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1479	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9128	-2.41%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1641	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6261	-2.87%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1715	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.3956	-3.11%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1787	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.8952	-3.42%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0144	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.702	-3.64%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0179	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.0579	-3.75%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0410	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.7754	-3.77%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0088	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.5076	-4.13%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0357	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.6623	-4.24%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0433	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.8268	-3.13%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0681	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.1928	-2.78%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0784	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.0815	-3.07%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0828	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5262	-2.92%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0840	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.2564	-3.10%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.1175	-3.15%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1043	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.683	-2.97%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0323	-2.89%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1314	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2893	-3.01%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.375	-3.41%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1174	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.846	-3.23%	12.513	+2.21%	0.0890	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.686	-2.88%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.8509	-2.64%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5713	-2.20%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.7182	-2.04%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0079	-2.14%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0771	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1212	-2.11%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.0786	-1.72%	11.216	-8.74%	0.1246	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9121	-1.57%	11.145	-7.91%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8303	-2.45%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.1170	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.0149	-3.39%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1752	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.1845	-3.81%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1570	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.9384	-4.33%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1381	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.2923	-4.43%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1255	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.