BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

67.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2541

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0436

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.049673	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.048845	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046047	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.047595	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052137	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.05509	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.043165	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04224	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.046096	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.053225	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.06496	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066784	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067369	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064915	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066545	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066261	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061007	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.061345	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.060672	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.061713	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.064317	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065109	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.06608	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066382	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070686	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070838	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068477	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066243	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.062942	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.069308	+0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068801	+0.91%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.2703	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.064943	-1.82%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2732	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.06428	-1.88%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.3102	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.063823	-2.08%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2763	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.060938	-2.44%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1749	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.059894	-2.48%	0.056	-8.82%	0.1063	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.061586	-2.55%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3561	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061015	-2.60%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3486	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060193	-2.65%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2619	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.062424	-2.51%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1560	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.062694	-2.41%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0193	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.058952	-2.70%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.1114	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.060269	-2.68%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.1077	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.065923	-2.58%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0201	✓	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.065867	-2.33%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0024	✓	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.066031	-2.04%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0158	✓	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.067456	-1.89%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1197	✓	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.067533	-1.63%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1257	✓	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.068952	-0.97%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1317	✓	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.06573	-2.29%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.0923	✓	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.065904	-2.31%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.0608	✓	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.067256	-1.64%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0429	✓	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.066502	-1.97%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0337	✓	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.069639	-1.36%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.0692	✓	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.070956	-0.73%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0427	✓	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.074048	+1.08%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.0662	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.072988	+1.07%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.0842	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.06919	+0.26%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.0697	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.073217	+1.30%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.1722	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074406	+1.30%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1324	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.075417	+1.31%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.1644	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.09354	+2.87%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3629	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.082113	-2.45%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.2662	✓	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.076115	-5.73%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2276	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.073859	-6.48%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2513	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.072465	-6.40%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2536	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.072835	-6.60%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2441	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.074443	-6.68%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.2913	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.070214	-6.49%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2385	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.070452	-6.53%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.2051	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.071504	-6.58%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2378	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.071711	-6.46%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.2864	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.07238	-6.41%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.3022	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.069409	-6.27%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.1614	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.072386	-6.25%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.2110	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.073114	-6.13%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2342	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.078873	-6.37%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.3038	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.075554	-6.16%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2570	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.07184	-6.35%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.2037	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.071568	-6.42%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.2032	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.070951	-6.48%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.1863	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.070168	-6.69%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.1723	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.07388	-6.53%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.2230	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.075017	-5.66%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.1894	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.075633	-5.69%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.1858	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.075018	-5.29%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.1631	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.075308	-5.05%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.1754	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.083855	-3.66%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.2962	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.081287	-3.89%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.2242	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.081088	-3.94%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.1980	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.072241	-4.86%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.0681	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.081373	-3.41%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0153	✓	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.082572	-3.32%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0347	✓	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.08261	-3.76%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0511	✓	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.086612	-4.03%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.0923	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.088213	-4.24%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.1267	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.087603	-4.49%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.1029	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.08705	-4.69%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.0760	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.084989	-5.01%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.1050	✓	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.082545	-5.53%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.0709	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.089606	-5.40%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.1766	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.096824	-5.25%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.2303	✓	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.092876	-5.52%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.1854	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.098689	-5.07%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.2977	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.10623	-4.66%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3458	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.081489	-6.39%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.0814	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.07929	-6.76%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0483	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.090036	-5.08%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.1193	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.087647	-5.10%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1398	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.087496	-4.92%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1400	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.090874	-4.30%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.1942	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.097429	-3.75%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.2780	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.125722	-3.68%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.5165	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.095513	-4.68%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.2754	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.076517	-5.82%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0192	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.07566	-6.19%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0159	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.069889	-6.66%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0726	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.063228	-5.64%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.2440	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.066463	-6.51%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1745	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.077737	-6.81%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0420	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.093329	-6.19%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2324	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.088467	-6.13%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.0730	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.087924	-6.23%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0663	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.082846	-6.34%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0236	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.091674	-6.30%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0310	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.089095	-6.54%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0092	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.073105	-6.03%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2353	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.071837	-5.65%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2690	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.073563	-6.38%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.2197	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.068473	-4.30%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2546	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.06653	-3.72%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.3863	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.070607	-5.76%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.3665	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.069247	-5.30%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3471	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.060667	-3.49%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.5021	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.062356	-3.55%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5601	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.062462	-3.52%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3435	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.066927	-4.57%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2392	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.063763	-3.97%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3557	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.05987	-3.65%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.3997	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.060666	-3.75%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4266	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.066782	-4.80%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.3729	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.062238	-4.22%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.5737	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.067884	-4.72%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8348	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.068245	-4.35%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6409	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.073311	-4.76%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3283	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.072526	-5.01%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3379	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.057726	-5.20%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.4958	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.059084	-5.03%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3735	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.059168	-4.84%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4725	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.066139	-3.80%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.4979	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.065933	-3.75%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6428	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.069656	-3.32%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5066	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.06867	-3.42%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5094	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.081434	-3.05%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.2464	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.074005	-3.45%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.4550	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.067758	-4.26%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5103	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.068489	-4.20%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.2777	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.067279	-4.49%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2672	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.072643	-4.15%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2140	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.071677	-4.32%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1578	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.083648	-3.76%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0500	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.085399	-3.86%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0129	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.106032	-4.06%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2895	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.101138	-3.43%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.3473	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.095157	-3.16%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.2391	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.092516	-3.90%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.2360	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.085931	-4.61%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0884	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.08761	-4.72%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.1450	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.083903	-4.70%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.1254	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.086341	-4.62%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1703	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.089996	-4.99%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.1084	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.09273	-6.30%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2435	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.109394	-6.01%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.3703	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.102779	-6.72%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.3287	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.104965	-6.59%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.2884	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.122868	-5.41%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4538	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.131693	-4.89%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.7340	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.130573	-4.67%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.7011	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.128306	-4.11%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.6876	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.129325	-3.97%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.6266	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.118251	-3.61%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.5397	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.131821	-2.94%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5830	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.111597	-2.74%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.4148	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.12586	-3.67%	0.084	-35.71%	0.4199	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.109595	-3.83%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3786	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.082671	-4.09%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.1945	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.089064	-2.36%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.2356	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.116041	-5.85%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.5032	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.136371	-17.92%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.6258	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.083697	-2.15%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.1658	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.07382	-1.76%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.0744	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064498	-1.83%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.2571	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.057581	-3.23%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5232	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.052687	-3.65%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.5753	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.051688	-4.02%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5237	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.051289	-4.29%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5134	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.059851	-3.37%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.2883	✗	1.00