XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s9

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1812

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0656

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.076005	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.07598	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.0727	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.071012	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.07134	-7.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072959	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076391	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.078805	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074256	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076635	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074503	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082334	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.081368	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078957	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077946	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.08252	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085863	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.090711	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.092394	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.091257	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.089093	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.09193	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.090353	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.091377	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.093745	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101258	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.105978	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.108188	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.105353	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.08781	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094258	-2.20%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.0980	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095864	-2.17%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.1095	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086291	-3.30%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1310	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.08887	-3.60%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1631	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.089968	-4.10%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1803	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.082859	-5.22%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1485	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.077599	-4.17%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0390	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.078299	-4.37%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0423	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.08107	-3.39%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0731	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.075434	-3.03%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0227	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.077883	-2.72%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0484	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.080287	-2.66%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0199	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.081732	-2.80%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0509	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.086938	-2.52%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1033	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.094661	-3.74%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1865	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.090471	-2.66%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1155	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.088446	-1.27%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0892	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.091602	-1.63%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0847	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.092117	-1.16%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0917	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09581	-0.68%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0712	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.081935	-1.61%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0284	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.081489	-1.39%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0002	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083205	-0.79%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0316	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.08306	-1.22%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0269	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086206	-0.76%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0354	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084203	-0.43%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.1102	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090942	+0.81%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1296	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088097	+0.43%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1718	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090463	-0.01%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0997	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097258	-0.12%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1722	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100208	-1.41%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.1873	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092608	-1.19%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1098	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099841	-1.73%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1619	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.085366	-3.94%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0650	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.075922	-5.58%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0073	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.070252	-7.43%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0151	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.070738	-7.02%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1029	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069363	-7.30%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1026	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.070726	-6.74%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1420	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.07117	-6.80%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2006	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070565	-6.36%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1632	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.069304	-6.24%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1212	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.07337	-6.56%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1412	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.073472	-6.62%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1085	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.071763	-6.33%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0241	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.071126	-6.52%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0353	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070724	-6.64%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0879	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.070076	-6.66%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0427	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069983	-6.65%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0309	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.07246	-6.98%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0678	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.072171	-6.97%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1552	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.070818	-6.82%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1472	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069949	-6.92%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1556	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068546	-6.80%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1137	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072808	-6.72%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1042	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.072209	-6.40%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1282	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.07795	-6.70%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1853	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.074093	-6.03%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1425	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.080207	-5.92%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1392	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.078631	-5.55%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0768	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.080094	-5.38%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0338	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.07746	-4.55%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0527	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081106	-4.47%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0167	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080339	-3.96%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0320	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081219	-4.50%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0965	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.076912	-4.34%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0134	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.078971	-4.51%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0305	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.080952	-4.99%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0552	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.081852	-5.26%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0588	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086825	-5.63%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0919	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.087694	-5.91%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1187	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084059	-6.08%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1535	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.083488	-6.04%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0567	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.085219	-6.25%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0831	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.085947	-6.43%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1320	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.088943	-6.77%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1983	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.084835	-6.67%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1785	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09172	-7.17%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2228	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.1004	-8.06%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3062	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.098351	-7.78%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2444	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098091	-7.98%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2438	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.097772	-8.37%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2757	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.088017	-7.45%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1889	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.084272	-7.19%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2054	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080556	-6.98%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1731	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.095879	-8.60%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2946	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.088243	-7.89%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1446	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.092291	-8.49%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2341	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.094256	-9.11%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2082	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.09475	-9.68%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2233	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.084608	-8.03%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0671	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.081865	-7.81%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0630	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.078353	-7.66%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0315	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.081895	-8.19%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0550	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.086079	-8.72%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0347	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.091141	-9.58%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1538	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.088471	-9.54%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1124	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.09927	-11.84%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1407	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.082715	-9.40%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0879	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.081565	-9.52%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1583	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.081329	-9.23%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1538	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.078909	-9.30%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1832	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.074646	-9.63%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1690	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.069049	-8.42%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2696	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.057607	-5.87%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.4033	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.06184	-6.45%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3981	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.065082	-7.03%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3535	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.064467	-6.97%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4265	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.061241	-6.50%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.5060	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.062464	-6.77%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4766	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.076982	-8.79%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3395	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.084204	-10.33%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2696	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.078719	-8.68%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3077	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.083988	-9.69%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3103	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.080894	-9.21%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3874	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.081996	-9.89%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5326	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.08001	-9.80%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4759	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.08519	-10.80%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4625	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077763	-8.62%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6038	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.080178	-8.99%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6257	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.07846	-8.82%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5481	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074445	-8.43%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5138	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.077097	-8.54%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3832	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075536	-8.11%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4478	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.082461	-8.07%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4294	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080404	-7.79%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5381	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075493	-7.54%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5694	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077652	-7.28%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6483	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.077704	-7.05%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4214	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.080596	-7.04%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3697	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.082354	-7.47%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3768	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.088411	-8.24%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3440	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.086133	-8.56%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3061	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.088223	-8.15%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2034	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.094777	-7.44%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0153	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.099841	-6.99%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0111	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.097965	-7.75%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0282	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.100984	-8.36%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0281	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.098714	-7.40%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0104	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.094257	-5.79%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0251	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.087471	-5.49%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2611	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.083478	-5.57%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3880	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.083638	-6.76%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2356	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.084237	-7.02%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2219	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.084049	-7.74%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1355	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.083643	-8.29%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1286	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.085303	-8.33%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0811	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.088013	-8.41%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1323	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.090991	-7.53%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0125	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.094294	-6.36%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0176	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.092708	-7.43%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0674	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.093119	-6.93%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1270	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.094831	-6.15%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0885	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.095436	-6.21%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0994	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.094965	-7.44%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0788	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.096553	-7.69%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1314	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.094578	-8.93%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2031	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.100598	-8.00%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2058	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.116943	-8.21%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3413	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.126821	-9.93%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4362	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.119043	-9.16%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3704	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.12105	-9.66%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3588	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.125788	-10.15%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3813	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.112537	-9.43%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3425	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.122918	-10.08%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3398	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.117446	-9.90%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2568	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.111516	-9.45%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2115	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.112737	-9.59%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1915	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.117248	-10.02%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2443	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.10839	-9.75%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3183	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.109814	-9.73%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3972	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.106	-9.67%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4219	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.099754	-9.56%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3286	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.106017	-10.99%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3838	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.097084	-8.41%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2637	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086501	-6.84%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1095	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.082594	-6.52%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0638	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.081119	-6.11%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0415	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.083639	-5.65%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0598	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.084597	-5.21%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0717	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.089243	-4.71%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0614	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.09625	-4.23%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0814	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.093656	-4.14%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0748	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.092856	-3.83%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0512	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.087058	-4.38%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0067	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.088977	-4.02%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0225	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.091131	-3.31%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0639	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.095475	-3.56%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0191	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.104523	-3.62%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0823	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114205	-3.66%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1854	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.118778	-4.06%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0993	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104424	-2.82%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2235	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.106353	-3.53%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2110	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.104521	-3.53%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1768	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.102799	-3.48%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2336	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.096705	-2.91%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2418	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096106	-3.07%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2103	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088714	-2.51%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2859	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.089813	-3.48%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2439	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.091839	-3.12%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2334	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.09552	-3.22%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2226	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.112745	-5.22%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1134	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.108475	-5.01%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1355	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.108799	-5.96%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1231	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.10018	-4.23%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0725	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.093926	-3.76%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0673	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.097531	-4.29%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0936	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.088838	-3.12%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0300	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.09136	-3.42%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0039	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.097962	-5.26%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0566	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084391	-3.11%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0038	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084284	-3.12%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0366	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086801	-3.07%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0574	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09256	-4.28%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0184	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.091091	-4.27%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0025	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.089686	-4.23%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0081	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.088523	-4.14%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0231	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.091765	-5.01%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0246	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.09573	-6.33%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0760	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.091001	-5.40%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1617	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.095294	-6.76%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1616	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.091322	-6.14%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0826	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08704	-5.24%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1336	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.079161	-2.99%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2330	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.078503	-3.14%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2693	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.080384	-3.90%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2122	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079476	-3.78%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2277	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080687	-3.71%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1374	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080366	-4.04%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2439	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077461	-1.82%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0832	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.089342	-5.81%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2516	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.089168	-6.24%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4380	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.095804	-7.84%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3581	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.094273	-6.94%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4800	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.098039	-7.77%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3766	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.110269	-10.24%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4681	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.112818	-10.25%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4561	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.132707	-8.48%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3448	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.127157	-8.12%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3589	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.115937	-7.14%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4842	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.109945	-7.30%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4523	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.120526	-6.64%	0.087	-32.61%	0.3959	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.116485	-6.36%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3714	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.115136	-6.28%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4481	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.117928	-6.41%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4051	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.113078	-6.24%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4322	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.123879	-7.41%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4636	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.121011	-7.91%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5415	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129225	-7.96%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5105	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.133324	-7.86%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4286	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.131527	-7.89%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4729	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.149374	-7.68%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3188	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.148676	-8.05%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3300	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.140781	-8.17%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2080	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.150997	-8.21%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0677	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.148077	-8.03%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0569	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.155662	-8.00%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0099	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.15244	-7.67%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0834	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.164703	-7.83%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0394	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.190925	-8.74%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0284	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.175258	-7.66%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0689	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.176641	-8.29%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1580	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.181242	-8.83%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2011	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.177257	-9.38%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1645	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.156886	-8.25%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1121	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.148141	-8.10%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1477	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.150856	-7.90%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1375	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.145042	-8.32%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.142568	-8.26%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.140837	-8.01%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.129557	-7.29%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.123767	-7.08%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.12337	-7.24%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.120885	-6.94%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.119399	-7.01%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.120086	-7.13%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.126779	-7.46%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.121458	-7.43%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.111129	-6.85%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1268	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.116379	-7.08%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1154	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.123559	-7.41%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.125567	-7.16%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1385	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.140423	-7.34%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0625	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.144618	-7.41%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.13756	-7.30%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1723	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.151396	-7.26%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0852	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.